Samsara Inc. (IOT) Stock Analysis 2026

TechnologyIoT & Connected Operations Software
$42.59
as of 2026-10-15
-2.7% (52-week)50D MA $37.15  |  200D MA $33.64

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
37
Weak
Price CAGR
11.4%
1Y Return
+12.7%
Analyst Upside
+9.9%
Rev Growth
30.5%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$51.27+20.4% potential
Bear Case
$34.66
Bull Case
$62.76
Model Confidence90%

An even blend of the BriMind AI model's DCF and momentum target ($50.48) and Wall Street's consensus target ($52.07).

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Samsara Inc.

Samsara sells a connected operations platform to companies that run physical fleets and facilities — trucking, construction, utilities, field services, and government. Hardware installed in vehicles and equipment streams location, video, and sensor data to a cloud platform that customers use to improve safety, compliance, fuel efficiency, and maintenance planning.

How Samsara Makes Money

Samsara earns recurring subscription revenue per connected device or asset, typically on multi-year contracts, with hardware sold at low or negative margin to drive platform adoption. Revenue expands as customers connect more vehicles and equipment and adopt additional modules such as dash cameras, equipment monitoring, and site visibility. The measurable return — fewer accidents, lower insurance costs, less fuel burned — supports renewal and expansion.

Samsara Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Samsara's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$1.73B
Cost of Revenue
-$410.2M
Gross Profit
$1.32B76.3% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.29B
Operating Income
$26.0M1.5% margin
Net Income
$57.5M3.3% margin
Gross Margin
76.3%
Operating Margin
1.5%
Net Margin
3.3%

Key Financial Metrics

Samsara Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 368.00x, generates $242.7M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 4.58, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 4.4% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$21.44B
P/E (Trailing)
368.00
P/E (Forward)
40.60
Price / Book
14.22
Revenue
$1.73B
Revenue Growth
30.5%
EPS (Trailing)
$0.10
EPS (Forward)
$0.91
Gross Margin
76.3%
Operating Margin
1.5%
Net Margin
3.3%
Return on Equity
4.4%
Return on Assets
-0.3%
Free Cash Flow
$242.7M
Debt / Equity
4.58
Current Ratio
1.62
Quick Ratio
1.20
Beta
1.34
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
3.9%
Inst. Ownership
110.1%
Short % Float
9.1%
Book Value / Share
$2.59

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Samsara Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $45.66 (+7.2% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$45.66+7.2% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for IOT

We use 3 valuation models to estimate IOT's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$2.41
-94.3% vs current
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$1.50
-96.5% vs current
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$13.60
-68.1% vs current
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$1.50 – $13.60
Average Estimate
$5.84
Potential Downside
-86.3%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

IOT is currently in a golden cross pattern, trading above its 50-day average of $37.15 and above its 200-day average of $33.64. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$42.59
50-Day MA
$37.15
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$33.64
▲ Price above
Golden Cross Pattern
Price above both MAs — bullish signal

IOT Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

IOT's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Physical operations industries remain substantially under-digitised, leaving a large addressable base of unconnected assets.
  • Return on investment is concretely measurable in accident reduction, insurance premiums, and fuel savings, which supports renewals.
  • Land-and-expand works well as customers connect more assets and add modules, driving strong net revenue retention.
  • Accumulated operational data creates an analytics advantage competitors would need years to match.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Customers are concentrated in cyclical industries — freight, construction — where equipment counts shrink in downturns.
  • Hardware sold below cost to win subscriptions consumes cash and weighs on gross margin.
  • Fleet telematics is a competitive market with established vendors and low-cost alternatives.
  • Valuation reflects premium growth expectations that leave little tolerance for deceleration.

What to Watch: IOT Key Metrics

Annual recurring revenue growth
Net revenue retention
Large customer count growth
Non-GAAP gross margin
Free cash flow

IOT Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare IOT with Peers

IOT vs PTCSamsara vs PTC Inc. — Connected-Fleet IoT Platform vs I

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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