CarMax, Inc. (KMX) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer CyclicalAuto & Truck Dealerships
$53.33
as of 2026-10-16
+1.5% (52-week)50D MA $57.01  |  200D MA $45.72

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
37
Weak
Price CAGR
0.2%
1Y Return
+21.9%
Analyst Upside
+4.3%
Rev Growth
5.5%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$61.52+15.4% potential
Bear Case
$40.71
Bull Case
$85.07
Model Confidence90%

An even blend of the BriMind AI model's DCF and momentum target ($59.27) and Wall Street's consensus target ($63.77).

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

KMX Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how KMX's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$28.20B
Cost of Revenue
-$24.87B
Gross Profit
$3.33B11.8% margin
Operating Expenses
-$2.36B
Operating Income
$965.8M3.4% margin
Tax & Other
-$743.3M
Net Income
$222.5M0.8% margin
Gross Margin
11.8%
Operating Margin
3.4%
Net Margin
0.8%

Key Financial Metrics

CarMax, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 38.58x, generates $-160.0M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 307.79, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 3.6% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$8.81B
P/E (Trailing)
38.58
P/E (Forward)
20.25
PEG Ratio
0.61
Revenue
$28.20B
Revenue Growth
5.5%
Earnings Growth
-5.2%
Gross Margin
11.8%
Operating Margin
3.4%
Net Margin
0.8%
Return on Equity
3.6%
Return on Assets
1.6%
Free Cash Flow
$-160.0M
Debt / Equity
307.79
Current Ratio
2.71
Quick Ratio
0.18
Beta
1.16
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
0.5%
Inst. Ownership
105.2%
Short % Float
10.1%
Book Value / Share
$43.12

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering CarMax, Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $54.85 (+2.8% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$54.85+2.8% upside

Technical Price Signals

KMX is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $57.01 and above its 200-day average of $45.72. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$53.33
50-Day MA
$57.01
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$45.72
▲ Price above
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

Compare KMX with Peers

KMX vs CVNACarMax vs Carvana — Used Auto Retail Giant vs Digital C
CARG vs KMXCarGurus vs CarMax — Online Auto Marketplace vs Used-Ca

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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