Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) Stock Analysis 2026

TechnologyCommunication Equipment
$869.54
as of 2026-10-15
+449.3% (52-week)50D MA $815.05  |  200D MA $675.73

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
79
Strong
Price CAGR
39.1%
1Y Return
+637.5%
Analyst Upside
+4.1%
Rev Growth
109.3%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

LITE Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how LITE's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$3.01B
Cost of Revenue
-$1.68B
Gross Profit
$1.33B44.2% margin
Operating Expenses
-$491.0M
Operating Income
$842.5M28.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$7.78B
Net Income
-$-6.94B-230.1% margin
Gross Margin
44.2%
Operating Margin
28.0%
Net Margin
-230.1%
EBITDA Margin
20.4%

Key Financial Metrics

Lumentum Holdings Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 156.17x, generates $224.7M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 35.99, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -240.0% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$77.21B
Enterprise Value
$61.44B
P/E (Trailing)
156.17
P/E (Forward)
25.85
PEG Ratio
0.63
EV / EBITDA
120.76
Price / Sales
40.44
Price / Book
16.42
Revenue
$3.01B
Revenue Growth
109.3%
EBITDA
$508.8M
EPS (Trailing)
$-92.98
EPS (Forward)
$33.30
Gross Margin
44.2%
Operating Margin
28.0%
Net Margin
-230.1%
Return on Equity
-240.0%
Return on Assets
5.8%
Free Cash Flow
$224.7M
Total Cash
$3.17B
Total Debt
$3.31B
Debt / Equity
35.99
Current Ratio
1.68
Quick Ratio
1.32
Beta
1.51
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
0.6%
Inst. Ownership
94.2%
Short % Float
8.8%
Book Value / Share
$52.41

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

24 analysts covering Lumentum Holdings Inc. currently lean toward a Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $1148.43 (+32.1% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingBuy(24 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$600.00-31.0%
Mean Target$1148.43+32.1% upside
High Target$1400.00+61.0%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for LITE

We use 2 valuation models to estimate LITE's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

LITE is currently in a golden cross pattern, trading above its 50-day average of $815.05 and above its 200-day average of $675.73. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$869.54
50-Day MA
$815.05
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$675.73
▲ Price above
Golden Cross Pattern
Price above both MAs — bullish signal
Read the full LITE in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for LITE.

Compare LITE with Peers

LITE vs COHRWhich Photonics Stock Has More Upside?
CRDO vs LITECredo vs Lumentum — SerDes Connectivity vs Optical Comp
CSCO vs LITECisco vs Lumentum — Networking Equipment Giant vs Optic
CIEN vs LITECiena vs Lumentum — Optical Systems vs Optical Componen

LITE — Related Investment Themes

Top Photonic Computing Stocks6 stocks in theme

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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