Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) Stock Analysis 2026

$895.00
as of 2026-08-28

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
84
Strong
Price CAGR
38.2%
1Y Return
+573.9%
Analyst Upside
+28.3%
Rev Growth
109.3%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$1530.78+71.0% potential
Bear Case
$686.79
Bull Case
$1530.78
Model Confidence82%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

LITE Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how LITE's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$3.01B
Cost of Revenue
-$1.68B
Gross Profit
$1.33B44.2% margin
Operating Expenses
-$491.0M
Operating Income
$842.5M28.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$7.78B
Net Income
-$-6.94B-230.1% margin
Gross Margin
44.2%
Operating Margin
28.0%
Net Margin
-230.1%
EBITDA Margin
20.4%

Key Financial Metrics

Lumentum Holdings Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 156.17x, generates $224.7M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 35.99, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -240.0% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$80.28B
Enterprise Value
$61.44B
P/E (Trailing)
156.17
P/E (Forward)
27.11
PEG Ratio
0.63
EV / EBITDA
120.76
Price / Sales
40.44
Price / Book
72.11
Revenue
$3.01B
Revenue Growth
109.3%
EBITDA
$508.8M
EPS (Trailing)
$5.64
EPS (Forward)
$18.10
Gross Margin
44.2%
Operating Margin
28.0%
Net Margin
-230.1%
Return on Equity
-240.0%
Return on Assets
5.8%
Free Cash Flow
$224.7M
Total Cash
$3.17B
Total Debt
$3.31B
Debt / Equity
35.99
Current Ratio
1.68
Quick Ratio
1.32
Beta
1.51
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
0.8%
Inst. Ownership
102.7%
Short % Float
13.0%
Book Value / Share
$52.41

Lumentum Holdings Inc. Valuation Context

156.2xTrailing P/E

Lumentum Holdings Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 156.2x. Forward P/E: 27.1x. Not enough sector peers in our coverage to compute a reliable sector median.

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

24 analysts covering Lumentum Holdings Inc. currently lean toward a Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $1148.30 (+28.3% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingBuy(24 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$600.00-33.0%
Mean Target$1148.30+28.3% upside
High Target$1400.00+56.4%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for LITE

We use 4 valuation models to estimate LITE's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$81.56
-90.9% vs current
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
DCF Model (10yr)
$60.65
-93.2% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$84.60
-90.5% vs current
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$271.51
-69.7% vs current
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$60.65 – $271.51
Average Estimate
$124.58
Potential Downside
-86.1%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Compare LITE with Peers

LITE vs COHRWhich Photonics Stock Has More Upside?
CRDO vs LITECredo vs Lumentum — SerDes Connectivity vs Optical Comp

LITE — Related Investment Themes

Top Photonic Computing Stocks6 stocks in theme

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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