MP Materials Corp. (MP) Stock Analysis 2026

Basic MaterialsOther Industrial Metals & Mining
$40.17
as of 2026-10-16
-23.4% (52-week)50D MA $51.54  |  200D MA $57.70

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
52
Neutral
Price CAGR
27.4%
1Y Return
-41.1%
Analyst Upside
+63.4%
Rev Growth
119.7%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

MP Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how MP's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$416.2M
Cost of Revenue
-$240.1M
Gross Profit
$176.2M42.3% margin
Operating Expenses
-$176.2M
Operating Income
$0-14.7% margin
Tax & Other
-$60.6M
Net Income
-$-60.6M-14.6% margin
Gross Margin
42.3%
Operating Margin
-14.7%
Net Margin
-14.6%

Key Financial Metrics

MP Materials Corp. doesn't carry a meaningful trailing P/E right now, generates $-432.9M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 41.40, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -3.6% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$9.74B
P/E (Forward)
61.81
Price / Book
4.98
Revenue
$416.2M
Revenue Growth
119.7%
EPS (Trailing)
$-0.33
EPS (Forward)
$0.88
Gross Margin
42.3%
Operating Margin
-14.7%
Net Margin
-14.6%
Return on Equity
-3.6%
Return on Assets
-1.5%
Free Cash Flow
$-432.9M
Debt / Equity
41.40
Current Ratio
9.51
Quick Ratio
8.44
Beta
1.92
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
19.6%
Inst. Ownership
77.6%
Short % Float
17.8%
Book Value / Share
$10.99

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering MP Materials Corp. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $75.38 (+87.6% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$75.38+87.6% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for MP

We use 1 valuation model to estimate MP's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

MP is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $51.54 and below its 200-day average of $57.70. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$40.17
50-Day MA
$51.54
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$57.70
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal
Read the full MP in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for MP.

Compare MP with Peers

MP vs AMMOMP Materials vs AMMO Inc — Rare Earth Mining vs Ammunit
CRML vs MPCritical Metals Corp vs MP Materials — Rare Earth Devel
MP vs USARMP Materials vs USA Rare Earth — Competing Bets on Dome

More Basic Materials Stock Analysis

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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