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LIVE
CRML
Critical Metals Corp · Mining / Critical Minerals
$7.11
+9.05% this month
VERSUS
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MP
MP Materials Corp · Mining / Critical Minerals
$60.05
+31.46% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
CRML
2
MP
3
Comparison scoreboard
MP LEADS 3/5AI Score
CRML 22.8
MP ✓59.6
1Y Return
CRML ✓+21.12%
MP -12.05%
Fwd P/E
CRML -37.42
MP ✓67.86
Target Up.
CRML ✓+82.84%
MP +25.52%
Op. Margin
CRML -4516.06%
MP ✓-14.72%
Metrics last refreshed: 8/23/2026
Quick take
CRML vs MP Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Critical Metals Corp is an early-stage explorer betting on future rare earth project development, while MP Materials is the established operator of an active US rare earth mine with direct government support.
Investors weighing Critical Metals Corp against MP Materials are choosing between a speculative early-stage developer and a more established, production-stage rare earth company with strategic backing.
Live analysis · updated 8/23/2026
MP holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. CRML has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+21.12% vs -12.05%), though MP has the better forward P/E setup (67.86x vs -37.42x for CRML). MP leads on both revenue growth (119.70%) and operating margin (-14.72%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for CRML (+82.84%) than for MP (+25.52%).
Normalized 1Y performance
CRML
MP
Recent returns
CRML
MP
Analyst price targets & sentiment
CRML · 2 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$8.00
analyst high$18.00
analyst mean$13.00
current price$7.11
+82.8% upside to analyst mean
MP · 16 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Strong Buy (1.3/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$58.00
analyst high$100.00
analyst mean$75.38
current price$60.05
+25.5% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
CRML may suit investors who:
- Are comfortable with early-stage, pre-production mining risk
- Want exposure to potential upside from new rare earth project development
- Believe in growing demand for non-China critical mineral supply chains
- Can tolerate financing and dilution risk typical of developers
MP may suit investors who:
- Prefer an established, currently operating rare earth producer
- Want exposure to US government-backed strategic minerals initiatives
- Believe in the long-term buildout of a domestic rare earth supply chain
- Can tolerate volatility tied to rare earth pricing and Chinese supply dynamics
Performance & AI score
| Metric | CRML | MP |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 22.8 | 59.6 |
| AI rank | #3887 | #166 |
| Latest close | $7.11 | $60.05 |
| 1M return | +9.05% | +31.46% |
| 6M return | -24.36% | +2.54% |
| 1Y return | +21.12% | -12.05% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CRML | MP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $12.11K (+21.1%) started 2025-08-21 | $8.79K (-12.1%) started 2025-08-21 |
| 5Y ago | $7.15K (-28.5%) started 2022-02-07 | $18.95K (+89.5%) started 2021-08-23 |
| 10Y ago | $7.15K (-28.5%) started 2022-02-07 | $60.05K (+500.5%) started 2020-06-22 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | CRML | MP |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $1.04B | $10.7B |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | N/A |
| Forward P/E | -37.42 | 67.86 |
| Price/Sales | 1358.85 | 25.69 |
| EV/Revenue | 1020.33 | 25.56 |
| Analyst target | $13.00 | $75.38 |
| Target upside | +82.84% | +25.52% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | CRML | MP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 57.80% | 119.70% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growth | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margin | +6779.41% | -104.01% |
| Operating margin | -4516.06% | -14.72% |
| Profit margin | 0.00% | -14.56% |
| ROIC proxy | -140.98% | -3.58% |
| Return on equity | -140.98% | -3.58% |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Beta | 1.91 | 1.92 |
| Debt/equity | 1.65 | 41.40 |
| Current ratio | 0.75 | 9.51 |
| Quick ratio | 0.75 | 8.44 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
CRML max drawdown82.88%
MP max drawdown61.38%
CRML max wkly drop45.71%
MP max wkly drop24.88%
5Y risk snapshot
CRML max drawdown93.91%
MP max drawdown81.99%
CRML max wkly drop56.69%
MP max wkly drop24.88%
10Y risk snapshot
CRML max drawdown93.91%
MP max drawdown81.99%
CRML max wkly drop56.69%
MP max wkly drop25.69%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | CRML | MP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +21.12% | -12.05% |
| CAGR | +21.14% | -12.06% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.81 | 0.15 | |
| Max drawdown | 82.88% | 61.38% | |
| Max daily drop | 24.19% | 11.99% | |
| Max wkly drop | 45.71% | 24.88% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -28.46% | +89.49% |
| CAGR | -7.12% | +13.65% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.49 | 0.46 | |
| Max drawdown | 93.91% | 81.99% | |
| Max daily drop | 34.06% | 14.29% | |
| Max wkly drop | 56.69% | 24.88% | |
| 10Y | Growth | -28.46% | +500.50% |
| CAGR | -7.12% | +33.76% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.49 | 0.69 | |
| Max drawdown | 93.91% | 81.99% | |
| Max daily drop | 34.06% | 18.27% | |
| Max wkly drop | 56.69% | 25.69% |
Business comparison
| Category | CRML | MP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Critical Metals Corp | MP Materials Corp |
| Sector | Mining / Critical Minerals | Mining / Critical Minerals |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Critical Metals Corp is an early-stage company focused on developing rare earth and critical mineral projects intended to support supply chains outside of China. | MP Materials owns and operates the Mountain Pass rare earth mine in California, the only integrated rare earth mining and processing operation of scale in the United States, and has attracted US government backing. |
| Investor focus | Watch project development milestones, permitting progress, and financing needs as the company works to advance its assets toward production. | Watch progress on downstream processing and magnet manufacturing capacity as the company works to move beyond raw material extraction. |
CRML strengths
- Positioned in the strategically important critical minerals and rare earth space
- Potential to benefit from government and industry interest in non-China supply chains
- Exploration and development assets that could offer significant upside if advanced successfully
MP strengths
- Operates an established, producing rare earth mine with a long operating history
- Backing and support from the US government tied to strategic minerals policy
- Positioned as a leading candidate for building a domestic rare earth supply chain
Risks to watch — CRML
- Early-stage development status with no established production track record
- Financing and dilution risk common to pre-revenue mining developers
- Long lead times and permitting uncertainty typical of new mine development
Risks to watch — MP
- Rare earth prices are volatile and heavily influenced by Chinese supply and policy
- Significant capital investment required to build out downstream processing and magnet capacity
- Execution risk in scaling new processing operations on schedule
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