CLF vs X Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
CLF and X (U.S. Steel) are the two largest U.S. flat-rolled integrated steel producers, both serving the automotive and construction sectors with blast furnace steelmaking and growing EAF capabilities. CLF's automotive focus and iron ore self-sufficiency contrast with U.S. Steel's broader market mix and the overhang of the Nippon Steel acquisition attempt.
CLF vs X pits two major U.S. integrated flat-rolled steel producers against each other — Cleveland-Cliffs' automotive-focused domestic champion strategy versus U.S. Steel's diversified steel company navigating potential foreign acquisition.
CLF and X are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
- →Want the dominant U.S. automotive steel supplier with vertical integration from iron ore through finished automotive sheet
- →Value CLF's scale following its AK Steel and ArcelorMittal USA acquisitions creating a North American flat-rolled leader
- →Believe U.S. automotive production recovery and trade protection will support CLF's earnings normalization
- →See value in U.S. Steel through the lens of the Nippon Steel acquisition premium or standalone recovery
- →Want exposure to flat-rolled steel across automotive, appliance, and construction markets with EAF and blast furnace capacity
- →Believe Big River Steel's EAF operations represent a transformational modernization of U.S. Steel's cost structure
| Metric | CLF | X |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 43.1 | N/A |
| AI rank | #817 | N/A |
| Latest close | $12.28 | N/A |
| 1M return | +20.99% | N/A |
| 6M return | -5.03% | N/A |
| 1Y return | +67.53% | N/A |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CLF | X |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $16.75K (+67.5%) started 2025-06-18 | N/A |
| 5Y ago | $6.06K (-39.4%) started 2021-06-18 | N/A |
| 10Y ago | $27.19K (+171.9%) started 2016-06-20 | N/A |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CLF | X |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $7B | N/A |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | N/A |
| Forward P/E | 24.50 | N/A |
| Price/Sales | 0.37 | 0.79 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.82 | N/A |
| Analyst target | $11.70 | N/A |
| Target upside | -4.72% | N/A |
| Metric | CLF | X |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 6.30% | N/A |
| Earnings growth | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growth | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margin | -0.32% | N/A |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | -6.44% | N/A |
| ROIC proxy | -18.60% | N/A |
| Return on equity | -18.60% | N/A |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | N/A |
| Beta | 2.09 | 1.00 |
| Debt/equity | 129.32 | N/A |
| Current ratio | 2.02 | N/A |
| Quick ratio | 0.58 | N/A |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CLF | X |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +67.53% | N/A |
| CAGR | +67.59% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.04 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 51.67% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 17.24% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 29.53% | N/A | |
| 5Y | Growth | -39.42% | N/A |
| CAGR | -9.54% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.05 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 82.37% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 17.24% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 29.53% | N/A | |
| 10Y | Growth | +157.31% | N/A |
| CAGR | +9.92% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.39 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 82.37% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 24.27% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 34.50% | N/A |
| Category | CLF | X |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | United States Steel Corporation |
| Sector | Materials - Steel | Materials - Steel |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Cleveland-Cliffs is the largest flat-rolled steel producer in North America, operating integrated steelmaking facilities using iron ore pellets (from its own mines) through blast furnaces and electric arc furnaces, primarily serving the automotive sector. | United States Steel Corporation is a major integrated flat-rolled steel producer operating blast furnace facilities in North America (Big River Steel EAF operations) and Slovakia, with exposure to multiple end markets including automotive, appliance, construction, and energy. |
| Investor focus | Investors track CLF's automotive steel contract pricing, hot-rolled coil steel prices, iron ore pellet self-sufficiency advantage, EBITDA per ton, and the company's leverage reduction trajectory. | Investors track U.S. Steel's hot-rolled coil pricing, capacity utilization, Big River Steel EAF facility performance, and the outcome of Nippon Steel's proposed acquisition (announced 2023). |
- →Vertically integrated from iron ore mining through steel production provides a cost and supply security advantage over scrap-dependent EAF competitors
- →Dominant automotive steel supplier position with long-term contracts providing volume stability
- →AK Steel and ArcelorMittal USA acquisitions created a scaled North American flat-rolled platform
- →Big River Steel EAF operations provide lower-cost, newer-generation steelmaking capacity alongside traditional integrated blast furnace operations
- →Geographic diversification includes both North American and European (Slovakia) operations
- →Nippon Steel acquisition offer provided a premium exit opportunity for shareholders, though subject to regulatory review
- →Automotive production cycles directly affect demand for automotive-grade steel, making CLF earnings sensitive to vehicle production rates
- →Significant debt from acquisition activity increases financial risk during steel price downturns
- →Competition from mini-mills (Nucor, Steel Dynamics) expanding into flat-rolled with lower-cost EAF production
- →Nippon Steel's proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel faces significant regulatory and political opposition over domestic steel security
- →Legacy blast furnace operations are higher-cost than newer EAF mini-mills and require continued investment
- →Flat-rolled steel prices are highly cyclical, creating significant earnings volatility over the steel cycle
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