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CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. · Materials - Steel
$12.28
+20.99% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
X
United States Steel Corporation · Materials - Steel
N/A
N/A this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
CLF
0
X
0
MIXED SETUP
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUP
AI Score
CLF 43.1
X N/A
1Y Return
CLF +67.53%
X N/A
Fwd P/E
CLF 24.50
X N/A
Target Up.
CLF -4.72%
X N/A
Op. Margin
CLF N/A
X N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take

CLF vs X Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

CLF and X (U.S. Steel) are the two largest U.S. flat-rolled integrated steel producers, both serving the automotive and construction sectors with blast furnace steelmaking and growing EAF capabilities. CLF's automotive focus and iron ore self-sufficiency contrast with U.S. Steel's broader market mix and the overhang of the Nippon Steel acquisition attempt.

CLF vs X pits two major U.S. integrated flat-rolled steel producers against each other — Cleveland-Cliffs' automotive-focused domestic champion strategy versus U.S. Steel's diversified steel company navigating potential foreign acquisition.

Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026

CLF and X are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.

Normalized 1Y performance
CLF
X
Not enough data to chart yet.
Recent returns
CLF
X
Analyst price targets & sentiment
CLF · 10 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Hold (2.9/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$8.00
analyst high$15.00
analyst mean$11.70
current price$12.28
-4.7% upside to analyst mean
X
Price target data unavailable
N/A
Who should consider this stock?
CLF may suit investors who:
  • Want the dominant U.S. automotive steel supplier with vertical integration from iron ore through finished automotive sheet
  • Value CLF's scale following its AK Steel and ArcelorMittal USA acquisitions creating a North American flat-rolled leader
  • Believe U.S. automotive production recovery and trade protection will support CLF's earnings normalization
X may suit investors who:
  • See value in U.S. Steel through the lens of the Nippon Steel acquisition premium or standalone recovery
  • Want exposure to flat-rolled steel across automotive, appliance, and construction markets with EAF and blast furnace capacity
  • Believe Big River Steel's EAF operations represent a transformational modernization of U.S. Steel's cost structure
Performance & AI score
MetricCLFX
AI score43.1N/A
AI rank#817N/A
Latest close$12.28N/A
1M return+20.99%N/A
6M return-5.03%N/A
1Y return+67.53%N/A
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodCLFX
1Y ago$16.75K (+67.5%)
started 2025-06-18
N/A
5Y ago$6.06K (-39.4%)
started 2021-06-18
N/A
10Y ago$27.19K (+171.9%)
started 2016-06-20
N/A

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricCLFX
Market cap$7BN/A
Trailing P/EN/AN/A
Forward P/E24.50N/A
Price/Sales0.370.79
EV/Revenue0.82N/A
Analyst target$11.70N/A
Target upside-4.72%N/A
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricCLFX
Revenue growth6.30%N/A
Earnings growthN/AN/A
EPS growthN/AN/A
FCF margin-0.32%N/A
Operating marginN/AN/A
Profit margin-6.44%N/A
ROIC proxy-18.60%N/A
Return on equity-18.60%N/A
Dividend yield0.00%N/A
Beta2.091.00
Debt/equity129.32N/A
Current ratio2.02N/A
Quick ratio0.58N/A
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
CLF max drawdown51.67%
X max drawdownN/A
CLF max wkly drop29.53%
X max wkly dropN/A
5Y risk snapshot
CLF max drawdown82.37%
X max drawdownN/A
CLF max wkly drop29.53%
X max wkly dropN/A
10Y risk snapshot
CLF max drawdown82.37%
X max drawdownN/A
CLF max wkly drop34.50%
X max wkly dropN/A
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricCLFX
1YGrowth+67.53%N/A
CAGR+67.59%N/A
Sharpe ratio1.04N/A
Max drawdown51.67%N/A
Max daily drop17.24%N/A
Max wkly drop29.53%N/A
5YGrowth-39.42%N/A
CAGR-9.54%N/A
Sharpe ratio0.05N/A
Max drawdown82.37%N/A
Max daily drop17.24%N/A
Max wkly drop29.53%N/A
10YGrowth+157.31%N/A
CAGR+9.92%N/A
Sharpe ratio0.39N/A
Max drawdown82.37%N/A
Max daily drop24.27%N/A
Max wkly drop34.50%N/A
Business comparison
CategoryCLFX
CompanyCleveland-Cliffs Inc.United States Steel Corporation
SectorMaterials - SteelMaterials - Steel
IndustryN/AN/A
Core businessCleveland-Cliffs is the largest flat-rolled steel producer in North America, operating integrated steelmaking facilities using iron ore pellets (from its own mines) through blast furnaces and electric arc furnaces, primarily serving the automotive sector.United States Steel Corporation is a major integrated flat-rolled steel producer operating blast furnace facilities in North America (Big River Steel EAF operations) and Slovakia, with exposure to multiple end markets including automotive, appliance, construction, and energy.
Investor focusInvestors track CLF's automotive steel contract pricing, hot-rolled coil steel prices, iron ore pellet self-sufficiency advantage, EBITDA per ton, and the company's leverage reduction trajectory.Investors track U.S. Steel's hot-rolled coil pricing, capacity utilization, Big River Steel EAF facility performance, and the outcome of Nippon Steel's proposed acquisition (announced 2023).
CLF strengths
  • Vertically integrated from iron ore mining through steel production provides a cost and supply security advantage over scrap-dependent EAF competitors
  • Dominant automotive steel supplier position with long-term contracts providing volume stability
  • AK Steel and ArcelorMittal USA acquisitions created a scaled North American flat-rolled platform
X strengths
  • Big River Steel EAF operations provide lower-cost, newer-generation steelmaking capacity alongside traditional integrated blast furnace operations
  • Geographic diversification includes both North American and European (Slovakia) operations
  • Nippon Steel acquisition offer provided a premium exit opportunity for shareholders, though subject to regulatory review
Risks to watch — CLF
  • Automotive production cycles directly affect demand for automotive-grade steel, making CLF earnings sensitive to vehicle production rates
  • Significant debt from acquisition activity increases financial risk during steel price downturns
  • Competition from mini-mills (Nucor, Steel Dynamics) expanding into flat-rolled with lower-cost EAF production
Risks to watch — X
  • Nippon Steel's proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel faces significant regulatory and political opposition over domestic steel security
  • Legacy blast furnace operations are higher-cost than newer EAF mini-mills and require continued investment
  • Flat-rolled steel prices are highly cyclical, creating significant earnings volatility over the steel cycle
Frequently asked questions
Flat-rolled steel refers to steel produced in coils or sheets through hot-rolling or cold-rolling processes — used extensively in automotive body panels, appliance housings, construction products (roofing, beams), and packaging. It represents the largest segment of U.S. steel consumption.
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