Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) Stock Analysis 2026

EVElectric Vehicle Manufacturing
$14.99
as of 2026-09-18
+17.9% (52-week)50D MA $16.45  |  200D MA $16.29

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
24
Weak
Price CAGR
-31.6%
1Y Return
+19.1%
Analyst Upside
+20.0%
Rev Growth
27.2%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Rivian Automotive Inc.

Rivian is an American electric vehicle manufacturer focused on adventure-oriented SUVs and trucks. The company produces the R1T (electric pickup truck) and R1S (electric SUV), and is developing the more affordable R2 platform targeting the mass market. Rivian also manufactures electric delivery vans for Amazon under an exclusive partnership. The company operates a manufacturing facility in Normal, Illinois, and is building a second plant in Georgia for R2 production.

How Rivian Automotive Makes Money

Rivian earns from vehicle sales (R1T starting ~$70K, R1S starting ~$76K), Amazon delivery van sales (under a 100,000-unit agreement), regulatory credit sales, and planned future services. The company currently sells vehicles at a loss due to low production volumes and high fixed costs. Rivian's path to profitability depends on: increasing production scale, reducing material costs (targeting $5K+ cost reduction per vehicle), and launching the higher-volume R2 platform.

Rivian Automotive Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Rivian Automotive's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$5.88B
Cost of Revenue
-$5.44B
Gross Profit
$442.0M7.5% margin
Operating Expenses
-$442.0M
Operating Income
$0-50.4% margin
Tax & Other
-$3.23B
Net Income
-$-3.23B-55.0% margin
Gross Margin
7.5%
Operating Margin
-50.4%
Net Margin
-55.0%

Key Financial Metrics

Rivian Automotive Inc. doesn't carry a meaningful trailing P/E right now, generates $-1.54B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 104.41, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -57.5% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$22.60B
P/E (Forward)
-8.74
Price / Book
4.16
Revenue
$5.88B
Revenue Growth
27.2%
EPS (Trailing)
$-2.59
EPS (Forward)
$-1.79
Gross Margin
7.5%
Operating Margin
-50.4%
Net Margin
-55.0%
Return on Equity
-57.5%
Return on Assets
-14.4%
Free Cash Flow
$-1.54B
Debt / Equity
104.41
Current Ratio
2.10
Quick Ratio
1.57
Beta
1.61
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
34.5%
Inst. Ownership
40.5%
Short % Float
13.6%
Book Value / Share
$3.75

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Rivian Automotive Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $19.23 (+28.3% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$19.23+28.3% upside

Technical Price Signals

RIVN is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $16.45 and below its 200-day average of $16.29. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$14.99
50-Day MA
$16.45
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$16.29
▼ Price below
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

RIVN Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

RIVN's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • R2 platform (launching 2026) targets the $45K mass-market segment — this dramatically expands Rivian's addressable market beyond luxury adventure vehicles.
  • Amazon partnership provides guaranteed demand for 100,000 delivery vans, creating a steady revenue floor and validating Rivian's commercial vehicle capabilities.
  • Material cost reductions of $5K+ per vehicle are underway through design simplification and supplier renegotiation — path to positive gross margin is credible.
  • Volkswagen's $5B investment validates Rivian's technology and provides access to VW's global manufacturing expertise and supply chain scale.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Current negative gross margins mean every vehicle sold loses money — the company is burning cash and needs continued capital raises or cost improvements.
  • Competition is intensifying from Tesla, Ford (F-150 Lightning), Chevrolet (Silverado EV), and Chinese EV makers in Rivian's premium truck/SUV segment.
  • R2 execution risk is high — the mass-market platform requires a new factory, new supply chain, and dramatically lower cost structure to be profitable.
  • Cash burn rate ($5-6B annually) raises dilution risk — Rivian will likely need additional capital before R2 production generates positive cash flow.

What to Watch: RIVN Key Metrics

Vehicle deliveries & production
Gross margin per vehicle
Cash burn rate
R2 development milestones
Amazon van delivery volume

RIVN Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full RIVN in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Rivian Automotive Inc..

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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