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Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Brewers
$42.09
as of 2026-08-26

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
26
Weak
Price CAGR
-6.3%
1Y Return
-18.7%
Analyst Upside
+5.9%
Rev Growth
-3.3%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$44.11+4.8% potential
Bear Case
$31.61
Bull Case
$61.75
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

TAP Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how TAP's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$11.08B
Cost of Revenue
-$6.98B
Gross Profit
$4.10B37.0% margin
Operating Expenses
-$2.85B
Operating Income
$1.25B11.3% margin
Tax & Other
-$3.56B
Net Income
-$-2.31B-20.8% margin
Gross Margin
37.0%
Operating Margin
11.3%
Net Margin
-20.8%
EBITDA Margin
21.2%

Key Financial Metrics

Molson Coors Beverage Company trades at a trailing P/E of 8.52x, generates $935.1M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 76.03, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -19.5% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$8.01B
Enterprise Value
$17.06B
P/E (Trailing)
8.52
P/E (Forward)
8.74
EV / EBITDA
7.10
Price / Sales
0.93
Price / Book
0.80
Revenue
$11.08B
Revenue Growth
-3.3%
Earnings Growth
-42.3%
EBITDA
$2.40B
Gross Margin
37.0%
Operating Margin
11.3%
Net Margin
-20.8%
Return on Equity
-19.5%
Return on Assets
3.8%
Free Cash Flow
$935.1M
Total Cash
$412.7M
Total Debt
$6.60B
Debt / Equity
76.03
Current Ratio
0.88
Quick Ratio
0.63
Beta
0.43
Dividend Yield
4.5%
Payout Ratio
35.9%
Book Value / Share
$54.14

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

23 analysts covering Molson Coors Beverage Company currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $45.48 (+8.0% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(23 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$54.0028.3%
Mean Target$45.48+8.0% upside
High Target$86.90+106.5%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for TAP

Across the 1 valuation model available for TAP, fair value estimates range from $103.45 to $103.45, averaging $103.45 — above the current $42.09 price. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

DCF Model (10yr)
$103.45
+145.8% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$103.45 – $103.45
Average Estimate
$103.45
Potential Upside
145.8%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Compare TAP with Peers

TAP vs STZMolson Coors vs Constellation Brands — Which Brewer Sto
STZ vs TAPConstellation Brands vs Molson Coors — Premium Beer vs

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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