Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) Stock Analysis 2026

Financial ServicesDigital Bank & Auto Lending
$37.73
as of 2026-10-15
-0.7% (52-week)50D MA $41.47  |  200D MA $42.47

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
39
Weak
Price CAGR
6.9%
1Y Return
+1.7%
Analyst Upside
+32.3%
Rev Growth
11.0%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Ally Financial Inc.

Ally Financial is a branchless digital bank whose largest business is automotive lending — financing vehicle purchases through dealer relationships — funded substantially by retail deposits gathered online. It also operates insurance, corporate finance, and a smaller credit card business. The absence of branches gives a structural cost advantage, while the auto loan concentration makes credit performance the dominant earnings variable.

How Ally Financial Makes Money

Ally earns net interest income on the spread between what it pays depositors and what it charges borrowers, principally on auto loans originated through dealerships. Because deposits are gathered online rather than through branches, Ally must pay competitive rates to attract and retain them, which makes deposit cost a key sensitivity. Profitability depends on net interest margin, origination volume and yield, and credit losses on the auto book.

Ally Financial Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Ally Financial's revenue flows through to profit. As a financial-sector company, Ally Financial doesn't report a traditional cost-of-revenue/gross-margin split, so the cascade starts from operating expenses and works down to net income — the actual profit shareholders own. A high net margin indicates efficient expense control and capital allocation.

Revenue
$7.90B
Operating Expenses & Cost of Revenue
-$5.90B
Operating Income
$2.00B25.3% margin
Tax & Other
-$541.9M
Net Income
$1.45B18.4% margin
Operating Margin
25.3%
Net Margin
18.4%

Key Financial Metrics

Ally Financial Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 8.84x, hasn't disclosed meaningful free cash flow, hasn't disclosed a debt/equity ratio, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 9.7% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$11.43B
P/E (Trailing)
8.84
P/E (Forward)
6.06
PEG Ratio
0.26
Price / Book
0.85
Revenue
$7.90B
Revenue Growth
11.0%
Earnings Growth
13.5%
EPS (Trailing)
$4.25
EPS (Forward)
$6.20
Gross Margin
0.0%
Operating Margin
25.3%
Net Margin
18.4%
Return on Equity
9.7%
Return on Assets
0.7%
Beta
1.10
Dividend Yield
3.2%
Payout Ratio
28.2%
Insider Ownership
9.6%
Inst. Ownership
88.8%
Short % Float
5.1%
Book Value / Share
$44.38

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Ally Financial Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $49.73 (+31.8% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$49.73+31.8% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for ALLY

We use 3 valuation models to estimate ALLY's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

ALLY is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $41.47 and below its 200-day average of $42.47. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$37.73
50-Day MA
$41.47
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$42.47
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

ALLY Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

ALLY's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • No branch network means a structurally lower operating cost base than traditional banks with comparable deposit scale.
  • Auto loan yields reprice upward as older, lower-rate loans mature and are replaced at current rates, expanding net interest margin.
  • Deep dealer relationships built over decades provide origination volume that digital-only entrants cannot easily replicate.
  • Insurance and corporate finance provide fee and underwriting income that diversifies away from pure lending spread.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Auto loan credit losses have risen as used vehicle values normalised and borrower finances tightened, and further deterioration hits earnings directly.
  • Online deposits are rate-sensitive and can be repriced away by competitors, compressing net interest margin.
  • Heavy concentration in auto lending means no meaningful diversification when that specific credit cycle turns.
  • Used vehicle value declines reduce recovery on defaulted loans, raising loss severity as well as loss frequency.

What to Watch: ALLY Key Metrics

Net interest margin
Retail auto net charge-off rate
30+ day delinquency rate
Origination volume and yield
Deposit cost and balances

ALLY Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full ALLY in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Ally Financial Inc..

Compare ALLY with Peers

ALLY vs SYFAlly Financial vs Synchrony Financial — Digital Auto Le
COF vs ALLYCapital One vs Ally Financial — Diversified Card Issuer
ALLY vs SCHWAlly Financial vs Charles Schwab — Digital Bank vs Brok
ALLY vs AXPAlly Financial vs American Express — Digital Auto Lende
ALLY vs CBOEAlly Financial vs Cboe Global Markets — Digital Auto Le
ALLY vs TROWAlly Financial vs T. Rowe Price — Digital Auto Lender v
CME vs ALLYCME Group vs Ally Financial — Derivatives Exchange vs D
ALLY vs BKAlly Financial vs Bank of New York Mellon — Digital Aut

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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