Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU) Stock Analysis 2026

Financial ServicesDigital Banking — Latin America
$14.73
as of 2026-10-15
-8.1% (52-week)50D MA $14.04  |  200D MA $14.97

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
33
Weak
Price CAGR
9.6%
1Y Return
+8.0%
Analyst Upside
+16.5%
Rev Growth
52.1%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Nu Holdings Ltd.

Nu Holdings operates Nubank, a digital bank serving well over a hundred million customers across Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia. It began with a no-fee credit card and expanded into deposits, personal lending, investments, insurance, and payments, all delivered through a mobile app with no branch network. Its structural advantage is cost: serving a customer digitally costs a small fraction of what incumbent Latin American banks spend, allowing Nu to profitably serve segments traditional banks priced out.

How Nu Makes Money

Nu earns net interest income on credit cards, personal loans, and its deposit-funded lending book, plus fee revenue from interchange, marketplace products, insurance, and investment services. The model depends on low-cost deposit funding and very low customer acquisition and servicing costs. Key economics are average revenue per active customer, cost to serve, and credit quality — the last being the central swing factor, since consumer lending in emerging markets carries meaningful loss rates.

Nu Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Nu's revenue flows through to profit. As a financial-sector company, Nu doesn't report a traditional cost-of-revenue/gross-margin split, so the cascade starts from operating expenses and works down to net income — the actual profit shareholders own. A high net margin indicates efficient expense control and capital allocation.

Revenue
$8.44B
Operating Expenses & Cost of Revenue
-$4.21B
Operating Income
$4.23B50.2% margin
Tax & Other
-$626.9M
Net Income
$3.61B42.7% margin
Operating Margin
50.2%
Net Margin
42.7%

Key Financial Metrics

Nu Holdings Ltd. trades at a trailing P/E of 21.10x, hasn't disclosed meaningful free cash flow, hasn't disclosed a debt/equity ratio, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 31.6% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$74.39B
P/E (Trailing)
21.10
P/E (Forward)
13.43
PEG Ratio
0.67
Price / Book
5.61
Revenue
$8.44B
Revenue Growth
52.1%
Earnings Growth
66.3%
EPS (Trailing)
$0.73
EPS (Forward)
$1.15
Gross Margin
0.0%
Operating Margin
50.2%
Net Margin
42.7%
Return on Equity
31.6%
Return on Assets
5.0%
Beta
0.94
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
2.0%
Inst. Ownership
82.0%
Short % Float
3.4%
Book Value / Share
$2.74

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Nu Holdings Ltd. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $18.78 (+27.5% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$18.78+27.5% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for NU

We use 3 valuation models to estimate NU's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

NU is currently in a short-term uptrend, trading above its 50-day average of $14.04 and below its 200-day average of $14.97. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$14.73
50-Day MA
$14.04
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$14.97
▼ Price below
Short-term Uptrend
Above 50-day MA but mixed longer-term

NU Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

NU's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Latin America remains substantially underbanked, and Nu reaches customers incumbents cannot serve profitably through branch networks.
  • Cost to serve per active customer is a small fraction of incumbent bank costs, a structural advantage that widens as scale grows.
  • Average revenue per active customer keeps rising as customers adopt lending, investing, and insurance products beyond the original card.
  • Mexico and Colombia offer substantial runway to replicate a playbook already proven at scale in Brazil.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Consumer credit losses in Latin America are structurally high and rise quickly in economic downturns, which is the primary threat to earnings.
  • Currency exposure means Brazilian real and Mexican peso weakness reduces dollar-reported results even when local performance is strong.
  • Brazilian and Mexican regulators can alter interchange caps, interest rate rules, or capital requirements with material earnings impact.
  • Incumbent banks and other regional fintechs have responded with their own digital offerings, raising competition for deposits and lending.

What to Watch: NU Key Metrics

Active customers and activity rate
Average revenue per active customer
Cost to serve per active customer
90-day non-performing loan ratio
Deposit base growth

NU Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full NU in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Nu Holdings Ltd..

Compare NU with Peers

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NU vs SCHWNu Holdings vs Charles Schwab — Emerging Market Banking

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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