On Holding AG (ONON) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer DiscretionaryPremium Athletic Footwear & Apparel
$34.75
as of 2026-10-16
-35.8% (52-week)50D MA $34.79  |  200D MA $39.81

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
35
Weak
Price CAGR
0.1%
1Y Return
-16.2%
Analyst Upside
+26.7%
Rev Growth
13.5%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About On Holding AG

On Holding designs and sells premium running footwear and apparel, distinguished by its CloudTec cushioning technology and a deliberately premium price position. It has grown rapidly by building credibility with serious runners first and then extending into lifestyle wear, and by pushing direct-to-consumer sales alongside selective wholesale distribution that protects brand positioning.

How On Makes Money

Revenue comes from wholesale distribution to specialty running and sporting goods retailers and from direct-to-consumer sales through its own stores and website. Direct sales carry substantially higher gross margins and provide customer data and brand control, making mix shift toward direct a key profitability driver. Premium pricing supports gross margins well above mass athletic footwear norms.

On Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how On's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$3.22B
Cost of Revenue
-$1.13B
Gross Profit
$2.09B64.8% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.64B
Operating Income
$451.5M14.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$55.3M
Net Income
$396.2M12.3% margin
Gross Margin
64.8%
Operating Margin
14.0%
Net Margin
12.3%

Key Financial Metrics

On Holding AG trades at a trailing P/E of 19.04x, generates $288.5M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 29.43, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 24.0% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$9.29B
P/E (Trailing)
19.04
P/E (Forward)
13.44
PEG Ratio
0.45
Price / Book
3.93
Revenue
$3.22B
Revenue Growth
13.5%
EPS (Trailing)
$1.46
EPS (Forward)
$2.07
Gross Margin
64.8%
Operating Margin
14.0%
Net Margin
12.3%
Return on Equity
24.0%
Return on Assets
9.6%
Free Cash Flow
$288.5M
Debt / Equity
29.43
Current Ratio
2.83
Quick Ratio
2.12
Beta
2.12
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
24.2%
Inst. Ownership
72.6%
Short % Float
6.9%
Book Value / Share
$7.07

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering On Holding AG currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $44.47 (+28.0% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$44.47+28.0% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for ONON

We use 3 valuation models to estimate ONON's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

ONON is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $34.79 and below its 200-day average of $39.81. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$34.75
50-Day MA
$34.79
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$39.81
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

ONON Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

ONON's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Premium pricing supported by genuine technical credibility produces gross margins far above mass athletic brands.
  • Direct-to-consumer mix shift raises margins and gives control over brand presentation and customer relationships.
  • Strong growth in apparel and in markets outside Europe extends the runway well beyond running shoes.
  • Athletic footwear share is shifting toward newer technical brands and away from long-established incumbents.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Athletic footwear is fashion-influenced, and brand momentum can reverse faster than fundamentals suggest.
  • Premium pricing is exposed if consumer discretionary spending weakens meaningfully.
  • The valuation embeds high growth expectations, leaving little room for a deceleration.
  • Very large incumbent competitors have vastly greater marketing budgets and can respond aggressively to share losses.

What to Watch: ONON Key Metrics

Net sales growth by region
Direct-to-consumer share of sales
Gross margin
Apparel revenue growth
Inventory versus sales growth

ONON Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full ONON in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for On Holding AG.

Compare ONON with Peers

ONON vs NKEOn Running vs Nike — Swiss Challenger vs American Athle
ONON vs LULUOn Running vs Lululemon — Two Premium Athletic Brands C
ONON vs DECKOn Holding vs Deckers Brands — Swiss Running Shoe Disru
SKX vs ONONSkechers vs On Holding — value scale or premium growth?

More Consumer Discretionary Stock Analysis

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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