Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer DiscretionaryFast-Casual Salads & Bowls

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
22
Weak
Price CAGR
-28.5%
1Y Return
+27.2%
Analyst Upside
-16.5%
Rev Growth
3.8%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Sweetgreen, Inc.

Sweetgreen operates fast-casual restaurants serving salads and grain bowls with an emphasis on fresh, seasonally sourced ingredients, concentrated in urban markets and priced at a premium to typical fast casual. It has invested in digital ordering, which accounts for a large share of sales, and in automated assembly technology intended to improve throughput and labour efficiency.

How Sweetgreen Makes Money

Revenue comes from company-operated restaurants, with a high digital ordering mix through its own app and pickup channels. The urban concentration creates high average unit volumes but also high occupancy and labour costs, and sales are more exposed to office attendance patterns than suburban restaurants. Automation investment aims to lower labour cost per transaction and raise throughput during peak periods.

Sweetgreen Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Sweetgreen's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$681.8M
Cost of Revenue
-$594.9M
Gross Profit
$86.9M12.7% margin
Operating Expenses
-$86.9M
Operating Income
$0-12.6% margin
Net Income
$13.7M2.0% margin
Gross Margin
12.7%
Operating Margin
-12.6%
Net Margin
2.0%

Key Financial Metrics

Sweetgreen, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 74.78x, generates $-61.8M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 76.00, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 3.1% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$801.1M
P/E (Trailing)
74.78
P/E (Forward)
-9.63
Price / Book
1.71
Revenue
$681.8M
Revenue Growth
3.8%
EPS (Trailing)
$0.09
EPS (Forward)
$-0.70
Gross Margin
12.7%
Operating Margin
-12.6%
Net Margin
2.0%
Return on Equity
3.1%
Return on Assets
-9.0%
Free Cash Flow
$-61.8M
Debt / Equity
76.00
Current Ratio
1.43
Quick Ratio
1.30
Beta
2.20
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
3.5%
Inst. Ownership
92.1%
Short % Float
25.5%
Book Value / Share
$3.93

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Sweetgreen, Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $6.65. Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$6.65

Intrinsic Value Estimates for SG

We use 2 valuation models to estimate SG's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$2.82
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$1.35
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
Fair Value Range
$1.35 – $2.82
Average Estimate
$2.09

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

SG is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$6.95
200-Day MA
$6.79

SG Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

SG's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • High digital ordering mix provides customer data, loyalty engagement, and operational efficiency versus counter-only formats.
  • Automated assembly technology could meaningfully improve labour cost per transaction and peak throughput.
  • Premium positioning with genuine ingredient credibility supports pricing in a crowded category.
  • Expansion beyond core urban markets offers lower occupancy costs and a larger addressable footprint.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Urban restaurant concentration ties sales to office attendance, which remains structurally below pre-2020 patterns.
  • Profitability at the corporate level has been elusive, with restaurant-level margins insufficient to cover overhead and growth spending.
  • Premium salad pricing is vulnerable when consumers cut discretionary lunch spending.
  • Automation requires substantial capital and its return remains unproven at scale.

What to Watch: SG Key Metrics

Same-store sales growth
Restaurant-level profit margin
New unit openings and market mix
Automated location performance
Adjusted EBITDA

SG Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare SG with Peers

CAVA vs SGCAVA Group vs Sweetgreen — Mediterranean Fast Casual vs
CMG vs SGChipotle vs Sweetgreen — Proven Unit Economics vs Unpro

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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