Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Stock Analysis 2026

IndustrialsRailroads
$287.87
as of 2026-10-21
+31.5% (52-week)50D MA $291.32  |  200D MA $258.93

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
54
Neutral
Price CAGR
14.4%
1Y Return
+27.9%
Analyst Upside
+13.9%
Rev Growth
11.5%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

UNP Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how UNP's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$25.41B
Cost of Revenue
-$11.11B
Gross Profit
$14.30B56.3% margin
Operating Expenses
-$3.89B
Operating Income
$10.41B41.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$3.08B
Net Income
$7.33B28.8% margin
Gross Margin
56.3%
Operating Margin
41.0%
Net Margin
28.8%
EBITDA Margin
50.2%

Key Financial Metrics

Union Pacific Corporation trades at a trailing P/E of 24.87x, generates $4.72B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 150.77, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 39.7% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$182.62B
Enterprise Value
$165.97B
P/E (Trailing)
24.87
P/E (Forward)
21.72
PEG Ratio
3.39
EV / EBITDA
13.63
Price / Sales
5.51
Price / Book
8.34
Revenue
$25.41B
Revenue Growth
11.5%
Earnings Growth
6.6%
EBITDA
$12.18B
Gross Margin
56.3%
Operating Margin
41.0%
Net Margin
28.8%
Return on Equity
39.7%
Return on Assets
9.3%
Free Cash Flow
$4.72B
Total Cash
$1.43B
Total Debt
$33.90B
Debt / Equity
150.77
Current Ratio
0.99
Quick Ratio
0.76
Beta
0.96
Dividend Yield
1.8%
Payout Ratio
44.7%
Insider Ownership
0.1%
Inst. Ownership
91.5%
Short % Float
4.9%
Book Value / Share
$32.71

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

27 analysts covering Union Pacific Corporation currently lean toward a Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $329.25 (+14.4% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingBuy(27 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$202.00-29.8%
Mean Target$329.25+14.4% upside
High Target$267.00+-7.2%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for UNP

We use 1 valuation model to estimate UNP's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

UNP is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $291.32 and above its 200-day average of $258.93. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$287.87
50-Day MA
$291.32
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$258.93
▲ Price above
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution
Read the full UNP in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for UNP.

Compare UNP with Peers

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CP vs UNPCanadian Pacific Kansas City vs Union Pacific — Cross-B
UNP vs UPSUnion Pacific vs UPS — Rail Network Moat vs Parcel Deli

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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