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United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Stock Analysis 2026

IndustrialsIntegrated Freight & Logistics
$105.65
as of 2026-08-26

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
41
Neutral
Price CAGR
2.4%
1Y Return
+14.9%
Analyst Upside
+13.9%
Rev Growth
7.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$104.80-0.8% potential
Bear Case
$76.27
Bull Case
$146.71
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

UPS Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how UPS's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$89.93B
Cost of Revenue
-$69.77B
Gross Profit
$20.16B22.4% margin
Operating Expenses
-$12.02B
Operating Income
$8.14B9.1% margin
Tax & Other
-$3.57B
Net Income
$4.57B5.1% margin
Gross Margin
22.4%
Operating Margin
9.1%
Net Margin
5.1%
EBITDA Margin
12.8%

Key Financial Metrics

United Parcel Service, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 18.96x, generates $5.56B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 189.90, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 29.6% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$86.79B
Enterprise Value
$103.75B
P/E (Trailing)
18.96
P/E (Forward)
12.63
EV / EBITDA
8.93
Price / Sales
0.92
Price / Book
5.31
Revenue
$89.93B
Revenue Growth
7.6%
Earnings Growth
-53.0%
EBITDA
$11.61B
Gross Margin
22.4%
Operating Margin
9.1%
Net Margin
5.1%
Return on Equity
29.6%
Return on Assets
7.2%
Free Cash Flow
$5.56B
Total Cash
$5.06B
Total Debt
$25.59B
Debt / Equity
189.90
Current Ratio
1.18
Quick Ratio
1.05
Beta
1.04
Dividend Yield
6.4%
Payout Ratio
121.9%
Book Value / Share
$17.70

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

32 analysts covering United Parcel Service, Inc. currently lean toward a Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $116.15 (+9.9% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingBuy(32 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$80.00-24.3%
Mean Target$116.15+9.9% upside
High Target$150.00+42.0%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for UPS

Across the 1 valuation model available for UPS, fair value estimates range from $159.07 to $159.07, averaging $159.07 — above the current $105.65 price. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

DCF Model (10yr)
$159.07
+50.6% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$159.07 – $159.07
Average Estimate
$159.07
Potential Upside
50.6%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Compare UPS with Peers

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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