GEV vs VRT Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
GEV and VRT are both AI infrastructure plays but they sell to different points in the chain. GE Vernova supplies the generation and grid equipment that gets electricity to the site. Vertiv supplies the power distribution and cooling equipment that keeps racks running once it arrives. Vertiv is the more direct and faster-reacting read on hyperscaler capital spending; GE Vernova is the slower-cycle, more diversified play whose demand also comes from utilities regardless of AI.
Use this GEV vs VRT comparison to think about cycle length and customer concentration. Vertiv's order book responds to data centre capital spending within quarters, which cuts both ways. GE Vernova's turbine and grid backlog stretches over years and is underwritten partly by utility demand that exists with or without AI, making it less levered but also less immediately responsive.
VRT holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. VRT leads on both 1-year return (+78.84%) and forward P/E quality (28.21x vs 36.48x for GEV), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. VRT leads on both revenue growth (24.10%) and operating margin (20.36%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for GEV (+35.15%) than for VRT (+31.73%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want AI power exposure with a long backlog and a diversified utility customer base
- Value recurring high-margin servicing on a large installed turbine fleet
- Prefer demand that does not depend solely on hyperscaler capital budgets
- Can tolerate the wind segment as a drag while the rest of the portfolio compounds
- Want the most direct equipment exposure to AI data centre buildouts
- Believe liquid cooling adoption will drive both volume and product mix higher
- Accept hyperscaler customer concentration and a short order cycle
- Are comfortable with a share price that reacts sharply to AI capital spending headlines
| Metric | GEV | VRT |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 52.0 | 72.9 |
| AI ranki | #369 | #27 |
| Latest closei | $957.63 | $253.28 |
| 1M returni | +0.48% | -3.99% |
| 6M returni | +12.25% | +0.88% |
| 1Y returni | +52.25% | +78.84% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | GEV | VRT |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $15.76K (+57.6%) started 2025-09-25 | $18.12K (+81.2%) started 2025-09-25 |
| 5Y ago | $67.63K (+576.3%) started 2024-04-01 | $104.88K (+948.8%) started 2021-09-27 |
| 10Y ago | $67.63K (+576.3%) started 2024-04-01 | $253.53K (+2435.3%) started 2018-08-02 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | GEV | VRT |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $243.67B | $98.83B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 26.24 | 57.95 |
| Forward P/Ei | 36.48 | 28.21 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 5.59 | 8.63 |
| Analyst targeti | $1,236.43 | $338.15 |
| Target upsidei | +35.15% | +31.73% |
| Metric | GEV | VRT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 21.90% | 24.10% |
| Earnings growthi | 32.80% | 53.00% |
| EPS growthi | +32.80% | +53.00% |
| FCF margini | +38.01% | +23.49% |
| Operating margini | 7.47% | 20.36% |
| Profit margini | 23.04% | 15.09% |
| ROIC proxyi | 82.58% | 43.94% |
| Return on equityi | 82.58% | 43.94% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.22% | 0.10% |
| Payout ratioi | 5.73% | 5.09% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 1.03 | 2.08 |
| Debt/equityi | 28.36 | 70.17 |
| Current ratioi | 0.85 | 1.38 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.56 | 0.95 |
Over the past year, GEV and VRT have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.62), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | GEV | VRT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +57.63% | +81.21% |
| CAGRi | +57.73% | +81.37% | |
| Volatilityi | 52.42% | 65.97% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.05 | 1.17 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.60 | 1.76 | |
| Max drawdowni | 25.54% | 40.72% | |
| Current drawdowni | 18.49% | 32.68% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 8.75% | 12.48% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 10.94% | 16.52% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.50% | 17.26% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 15.05% | 25.94% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +575.31% | +948.78% |
| CAGRi | +115.72% | +60.10% | |
| Volatilityi | 53.13% | 64.05% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.64 | 1.00 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 2.49 | 1.43 | |
| Max drawdowni | 38.29% | 70.25% | |
| Current drawdowni | 18.49% | 32.68% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.85% | 23.43% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 11.30% | 31.50% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.52% | 36.74% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 17.79% | 43.58% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +575.31% | +2435.34% |
| CAGRi | +115.72% | +48.70% | |
| Volatilityi | 53.13% | 55.40% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.64 | 0.92 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 2.49 | 1.33 | |
| Max drawdowni | 38.29% | 71.25% | |
| Current drawdowni | 18.49% | 32.68% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.85% | 16.58% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 11.30% | 25.94% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.52% | 36.74% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 17.79% | 47.70% |
| Category | GEV | VRT |
|---|---|---|
| Company | GE Vernova Inc. | Vertiv Holdings Co |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Electrical Equipment & Parts |
| Core business | Power generation and grid equipment company spun out of General Electric, spanning gas turbines and nuclear services, onshore and offshore wind, and electrification products such as transformers and switchgear. | Supplier of the power and thermal management systems inside data centres, including uninterruptible power supplies, busway and power distribution, and increasingly liquid cooling for high-density AI compute racks. |
| Investor focus | Gas turbine orders, grid equipment pricing, wind segment losses, and service revenue on the installed fleet. | Hyperscaler and colocation capital spending, liquid cooling adoption, backlog and book-to-bill, and whether margins hold as volumes scale. |
- Supplies the generation and grid equipment needed before a data centre can be energised at all
- High-margin recurring service revenue from a very large installed turbine base
- Grid equipment supply tightness supports pricing and backlog quality
- Direct beneficiary of AI capital spending, since dense GPU racks require more power delivery and liquid cooling per square foot
- Installed base drives recurring service and spares revenue
- Liquid cooling shifts the product mix toward higher-value, more technical systems
- Wind segment losses continue to mask the quality of the rest of the portfolio
- Very long order-to-revenue cycles delay how quickly demand converts to earnings
- Utility capital plans can slip, pushing out turbine and grid deliveries
- Revenue is concentrated among a small number of very large hyperscale customers with real negotiating power
- A pause in AI capital spending would hit orders quickly, as the order cycle is short
- Competition in cooling and power distribution is intensifying as the opportunity becomes obvious
Compare more than two at a time
This page is a fixed writeup on GEV and VRT. Our comparison engine is the interactive version: load up to five tickers, switch timeframes, and get the correlation, drawdown, and overlap analysis that a static page can't show.
Add three more names beside GEV and VRT, mixing stocks and ETFs in the same table — useful when the real question is which of a whole peer group to own.
AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.
Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.
A scatter plot of forward P/E against return on equity, plus drawdown and 30-day rolling volatility charts, to separate what is cheap from what is merely beaten down.
For ETFs, a top-holdings comparison that exposes hidden overlap between funds. Every comparison exports to CSV for your own spreadsheet work.
Two comparisons a week are free without an account. A 14-day trial removes the limit and adds AI price forecasts, stock rankings, saved watchlists, and the intrinsic value calculator — no credit card required.
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.
Full valuation workup with AI Score, Monte Carlo forecast, and bull/bear case — free preview, premium data from $3.99.