Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
$245.81
as of 2026-09-18
-21.1% (52-week)50D MA $301.31  |  200D MA $287.63

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
50
Neutral
Price CAGR
14.3%
1Y Return
-25.2%
Analyst Upside
+41.1%
Rev Growth
6.5%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$240.37-2.2% potential
Bear Case
$172.93
Bull Case
$352.67
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

RCL Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how RCL's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$18.68B
Cost of Revenue
-$9.29B
Gross Profit
$9.39B50.3% margin
Operating Expenses
-$4.34B
Operating Income
$5.06B27.1% margin
Tax & Other
-$659.3M
Net Income
$4.40B23.5% margin
Gross Margin
50.3%
Operating Margin
27.1%
Net Margin
23.5%
EBITDA Margin
35.5%

Key Financial Metrics

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. trades at a trailing P/E of 17.27x, generates $-1.52B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 224.82, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 44.7% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$74.73B
Enterprise Value
$94.96B
P/E (Trailing)
17.27
P/E (Forward)
13.77
PEG Ratio
1.31
EV / EBITDA
15.98
Price / Sales
4.48
Price / Book
9.43
Revenue
$18.68B
Revenue Growth
6.5%
Earnings Growth
-4.6%
EBITDA
$5.94B
Gross Margin
50.3%
Operating Margin
27.1%
Net Margin
23.5%
Return on Equity
44.7%
Return on Assets
7.7%
Free Cash Flow
$-1.52B
Total Cash
$386.0M
Total Debt
$20.12B
Debt / Equity
224.82
Current Ratio
0.21
Quick Ratio
0.11
Beta
1.78
Dividend Yield
1.8%
Payout Ratio
30.9%
Insider Ownership
6.2%
Inst. Ownership
90.9%
Short % Float
5.9%
Book Value / Share
$38.27

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

25 analysts covering Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. currently lean toward a Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $346.92 (+41.1% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingBuy(25 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$200.00-18.6%
Mean Target$346.92+41.1% upside
High Target$330.00+34.3%

Technical Price Signals

RCL is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $301.31 and below its 200-day average of $287.63. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$245.81
50-Day MA
$301.31
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$287.63
▼ Price below
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

Compare RCL with Peers

NCLH vs RCLNorwegian Cruise vs Royal Caribbean — Premium vs Mass C
RCL vs CCLRoyal Caribbean vs Carnival — premium cruise or volume

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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