Wingstop Inc. (WING) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer DiscretionaryFranchised Quick-Service Restaurants
$131.72
as of 2026-10-16
-56.2% (52-week)50D MA $135.74  |  200D MA $192.17

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
39
Weak
Price CAGR
15.8%
1Y Return
-49.3%
Analyst Upside
+65.9%
Rev Growth
6.4%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Wingstop Inc.

Wingstop operates a nearly fully franchised chicken wing restaurant chain with a small-footprint, largely takeout and delivery format. Because almost all locations are franchised, Wingstop itself collects royalties and advertising fees rather than operating restaurants, producing a capital-light business with very high margins and returns on capital that resemble a licensing company more than a restaurant operator.

How Wingstop Makes Money

Revenue comes from franchise royalties, typically a percentage of franchisee sales, plus advertising fund contributions and some company-operated restaurant revenue. The model requires very little capital from Wingstop — franchisees fund construction — so growth in system-wide sales converts directly to high-margin royalty revenue. Domestic same-store sales and net new unit openings are the two variables that drive everything.

Wingstop Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Wingstop's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$720.7M
Cost of Revenue
-$364.5M
Gross Profit
$356.2M49.4% margin
Operating Expenses
-$141.7M
Operating Income
$214.5M29.8% margin
Tax & Other
-$98.1M
Net Income
$116.4M16.2% margin
Gross Margin
49.4%
Operating Margin
29.8%
Net Margin
16.2%

Key Financial Metrics

Wingstop Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 25.89x, generates $98.6M in free cash flow, hasn't disclosed a debt/equity ratio, and hasn't disclosed return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$3.08B
P/E (Trailing)
25.89
P/E (Forward)
21.10
PEG Ratio
1.36
Revenue
$720.7M
Revenue Growth
6.4%
Earnings Growth
19.8%
EPS (Trailing)
$4.37
EPS (Forward)
$5.36
Gross Margin
49.4%
Operating Margin
29.8%
Net Margin
16.2%
Return on Assets
19.0%
Free Cash Flow
$98.6M
Current Ratio
2.97
Quick Ratio
2.17
Beta
1.81
Dividend Yield
1.2%
Payout Ratio
28.4%
Insider Ownership
0.7%
Inst. Ownership
125.6%
Short % Float
15.7%
Book Value / Share
$-28.38

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Wingstop Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $202.89 (+54.0% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$202.89+54.0% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for WING

We use 2 valuation models to estimate WING's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

WING is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $135.74 and below its 200-day average of $192.17. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$131.72
50-Day MA
$135.74
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$192.17
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

WING Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

WING's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • An almost entirely franchised model produces extremely high margins and returns on invested capital with minimal capital intensity.
  • Small-footprint, takeout-oriented locations are inexpensive for franchisees to build, supporting strong unit-level returns and development demand.
  • Digital ordering represents a very high share of sales, improving order accuracy, ticket size, and customer data.
  • International development and menu extension provide growth beyond the domestic unit runway.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • The valuation multiple is exceptionally high, requiring sustained strong same-store sales and unit growth to justify.
  • Chicken wing commodity costs affect franchisee profitability, which eventually influences development appetite and royalty growth.
  • Same-store sales have been driven partly by price and menu innovation, and comparisons become very demanding.
  • Heavy reliance on delivery platforms shares economics and inserts a third party between the brand and customer.

What to Watch: WING Key Metrics

Domestic same-store sales growth
Net new unit openings
System-wide sales growth
Franchisee unit economics
Digital sales mix

WING Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full WING in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Wingstop Inc..

Compare WING with Peers

WING vs DPZWingstop vs Domino's Pizza — Asset-Light Chicken vs Ass
WING vs CMGWingstop vs Chipotle — franchise growth or company-owne
YUM vs WINGYum! Brands vs Wingstop — Legacy Franchise Scale vs Hig

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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