MCHP vs NXPI Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Microchip Technology and NXP Semiconductors both serve embedded and automotive semiconductor markets, but Microchip Technology maintains a broader, more diversified microcontroller and analog product portfolio, while NXP Semiconductors has a leading position specifically in automotive semiconductor content alongside industrial and IoT exposure.
MCHP offers diversified embedded semiconductor exposure across many end markets, while NXPI offers concentrated leadership in automotive semiconductor content growth. The decision depends on whether you prefer broad diversification or focused automotive semiconductor leadership.
NXPI holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. NXPI leads on both 1-year return (+24.91%) and forward P/E quality (12.36x vs 15.98x for MCHP), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, MCHP is growing revenue faster (38.00%), while NXPI maintains the higher operating margin (30.41%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for MCHP (+48.96%) than for NXPI (+39.15%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want diversified exposure across industrial, automotive, consumer, and communications microcontroller markets
- Believe broad-based semiconductor demand recovery will benefit a diversified chip portfolio
- Value long-standing customer relationships built through sticky embedded design wins
- Prefer diversification across many end markets over concentrated automotive exposure
- Want concentrated exposure to growing automotive semiconductor content per vehicle
- Believe increasing vehicle electrification and connectivity will drive long-term chip demand
- Value established relationships with major global automakers
- Are comfortable with the longer design cycles inherent in automotive semiconductor markets
| Metric | MCHP | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 54.9 | 54.3 |
| AI ranki | #260 | #294 |
| Latest closei | $77.90 | $262.79 |
| 1M returni | -4.21% | +7.85% |
| 3M returni | -3.43% | +10.60% |
| 6M returni | -20.90% | -10.11% |
| 1Y returni | +24.82% | +24.91% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MCHP | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.09K (+30.9%) started 2025-11-04 | $12.86K (+28.6%) started 2025-11-04 |
| 5Y ago | $10.8K (+8.0%) started 2021-11-04 | $13.68K (+36.8%) started 2021-11-04 |
| 10Y ago | $35.2K (+252.0%) started 2016-11-04 | $32.97K (+229.7%) started 2016-11-04 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MCHP | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $39.6B | $56.38B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 107.25 | 19.08 |
| Forward P/Ei | 15.98 | 12.36 |
| Price/Salesi | 8.00 | 4.26 |
| EV/Revenuei | 8.73 | 4.89 |
| Analyst targeti | $108.64 | $311.10 |
| Target upsidei | +48.96% | +39.15% |
| Metric | MCHP | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 38.00% | 19.50% |
| Earnings growthi | -81.60% | 72.60% |
| EPS growthi | -81.60% | +72.60% |
| FCF margini | +26.64% | +26.96% |
| Operating margini | 23.96% | 30.41% |
| Profit margini | 9.34% | 22.56% |
| ROIC proxyi | 7.19% | 27.92% |
| Return on equityi | 7.19% | 27.92% |
| Dividend yieldi | 2.50% | 1.80% |
| Payout ratioi | 267.65% | 31.91% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.74 | 1.82 |
| Debt/equityi | 83.69 | 93.33 |
| Current ratioi | 1.92 | 2.04 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.96 | 1.19 |
Over the past year, MCHP and NXPI have moved strongly in the same direction (correlation of 0.77), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MCHP | NXPI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +30.92% | +28.55% |
| CAGRi | +30.99% | +28.62% | |
| Volatilityi | 50.04% | 49.47% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.70 | 0.66 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.14 | 1.14 | |
| Max drawdowni | 32.38% | 34.18% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.31% | 21.01% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.60% | 14.56% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.86% | 18.44% | |
| Max daily dropi | 9.20% | 8.15% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 16.06% | 16.25% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +0.62% | +27.92% |
| CAGRi | +0.12% | +5.05% | |
| Volatilityi | 45.93% | 42.35% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.13 | 0.22 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.20 | 0.33 | |
| Max drawdowni | 63.77% | 46.47% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.31% | 21.01% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 20.83% | 19.83% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.66% | 22.32% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.80% | 11.25% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.13% | 19.21% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +200.11% | +195.53% |
| CAGRi | +11.62% | +11.45% | |
| Volatilityi | 42.94% | 40.87% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.37 | 0.36 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.53 | 0.53 | |
| Max drawdowni | 63.77% | 53.26% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.31% | 21.01% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 15.11% | 15.71% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 19.76% | 19.70% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.29% | 19.38% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 29.72% | 35.51% |
| Category | MCHP | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Microchip Technology Incorporated | NXP Semiconductors N.V. |
| Sector | Technology | Technology |
| Industry | Semiconductors | Semiconductors |
| Core business | A semiconductor company that designs and manufactures microcontrollers, analog, and mixed-signal chips used across a broad range of embedded control applications in industrial, automotive, consumer, and communications markets. | A semiconductor company that designs and manufactures automotive, industrial, and IoT chips, with a leading position in automotive semiconductor content including microcontrollers, connectivity, and security chips for vehicles. |
| Investor focus | Microcontroller and analog chip demand recovery across end markets, inventory normalization following prior channel destocking, and margin trends amid capacity utilization changes. | Automotive semiconductor content growth per vehicle, industrial and IoT segment demand recovery, and customer inventory normalization trends across its end markets. |
- Broad microcontroller and analog product portfolio serves highly diversified end markets, reducing reliance on any single industry's demand cycle
- Long-standing customer relationships across industrial and embedded applications provide a sticky, recurring revenue base once designs are won
- Diversified manufacturing and product strategy has historically supported relatively resilient gross margins across semiconductor cycles
- Leading position in automotive semiconductor content provides exposure to the growing trend of increasing chip content per vehicle
- Diversified exposure across automotive, industrial, and IoT end markets spreads demand risk across multiple growth drivers
- Established relationships with major global automakers support long design cycles and sticky customer relationships once chips are designed into vehicle platforms
- Semiconductor demand across industrial and broad-based end markets remains cyclical, tied to customer inventory levels and capital spending
- Recovery from periods of channel inventory destocking can take longer than initially expected, affecting near-term revenue visibility
- Competitive pressure from other microcontroller and analog chip suppliers requires continued design win execution
- Automotive semiconductor demand can be affected by broader vehicle production cycles and automaker inventory management
- Industrial and IoT end market demand has experienced periods of inventory destocking that affect near-term revenue visibility
- Long automotive design cycles mean that new growth opportunities can take considerable time to convert into meaningful revenue
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