Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) Stock Analysis 2026

IndustrialsTrucking
$182.70
as of 2026-10-23
+23.8% (52-week)50D MA $217.22  |  200D MA $195.50

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
64
Moderate
Price CAGR
23.7%
1Y Return
+36.0%
Analyst Upside
+23.7%
Rev Growth
10.4%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

ODFL Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how ODFL's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$5.60B
Cost of Revenue
-$3.39B
Gross Profit
$2.22B39.6% margin
Operating Expenses
-$601.2M
Operating Income
$1.62B28.8% margin
Tax & Other
-$526.2M
Net Income
$1.09B19.4% margin
Gross Margin
39.6%
Operating Margin
28.8%
Net Margin
19.4%
EBITDA Margin
32.2%

Key Financial Metrics

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 38.20x, generates $970.8M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 0.44, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 24.8% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$41.31B
Enterprise Value
$33.84B
P/E (Trailing)
38.20
P/E (Forward)
29.91
PEG Ratio
2.81
EV / EBITDA
18.35
Price / Sales
5.91
Price / Book
8.02
Revenue
$5.60B
Revenue Growth
10.4%
Earnings Growth
32.3%
EBITDA
$1.84B
Gross Margin
39.6%
Operating Margin
28.8%
Net Margin
19.4%
Return on Equity
24.8%
Return on Assets
15.8%
Free Cash Flow
$970.8M
Total Cash
$97.2M
Total Debt
$60.0M
Debt / Equity
0.44
Current Ratio
1.89
Quick Ratio
1.71
Beta
1.18
Dividend Yield
0.6%
Payout Ratio
21.9%
Insider Ownership
8.2%
Inst. Ownership
81.3%
Short % Float
4.3%
Book Value / Share
$21.92

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

22 analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $232.14 (+27.1% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(22 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$134.00-26.7%
Mean Target$232.14+27.1% upside
High Target$200.00+9.5%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for ODFL

We use 1 valuation model to estimate ODFL's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

ODFL is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $217.22 and below its 200-day average of $195.50. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$182.70
50-Day MA
$217.22
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$195.50
▼ Price below
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution
Read the full ODFL in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for ODFL.

Compare ODFL with Peers

ODFL vs UPSOld Dominion Freight Line vs UPS — Less-Than-Truckload
ODFL vs CSXOld Dominion Freight Line vs CSX — Trucking Freight vs
ODFL vs NSCOld Dominion Freight Line vs Norfolk Southern — Truckin
ODFL vs UNPOld Dominion Freight Line vs Union Pacific — Trucking v
ODFL vs XPOOld Dominion vs XPO — LTL Quality vs Turnaround Story
LSTR vs ODFLLandstar vs Old Dominion — Asset-Light vs Asset-Based T
JBHT vs ODFLJB Hunt vs Old Dominion — Intermodal vs LTL: Which Frei
ODFL vs SAIAOld Dominion vs Saia — LTL Premium vs LTL Challenger

Further Reading

Research and guides that put ODFL’s numbers in context — how to read the filings behind them, and the frameworks we use to score them.

SectorsBest Transportation Stocks 2026: UNP, UPS, FDX, ODFL, CSX, UBER, XPO, JBHTMarket TheoryStock Market Seasonality: Monthly Returns, 'Sell in May,' and What History SaysMarket TheoryWe Backtested 929 Insider Cluster Buys — The Signal Everyone Trusts Loses to the S&P 500Fundamentals58% of Insider Selling Is Noise — How to Find the Part That Matters

More Industrials Stock Analysis

In-depth reports on companies operating alongside ODFL — business models, bull and bear cases, and the metrics that matter.

AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.AirlinesACHRArcher Aviation Inc.Aerospace & DefenseMATXMatson, Inc.Marine ShippingTKRThe Timken CompanyTools & AccessoriesFPSForgent Power Solutions, Inc.Electrical Equipment & PartsSERVServe Robotics Inc.Integrated Freight & LogisticsCATCaterpillar Inc.Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryRKLBRocket Lab CorporationAerospace & Defense

Unlock the Full ODFL Analysis

Interactive price charts, real-time AI signals, advanced DCF models, portfolio tracking, earnings analysis, and side-by-side peer comparisons. Start your 14-day free trial — no credit card required.

Start Free TrialBrowse All Stocks
Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
← Back to Home · Browse All Stock Analysis