SOFI vs NU: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) and Nu Holdings (NU) are both digital banking challengers — but they operate in entirely different markets with very different fundamental profiles. NU reported a net profit margin of ~42% and ROE of ~30%, while SOFI's net margin runs ~15% and ROE ~7%. NU has 100M+ customers across Latin America; SoFi has 7–8M US members. SoFi has a national bank charter and B2B technology platforms (Galileo, Technisys) that NU does not; NU has geographic scale and proven profitability that SoFi is still building toward.
SOFI vs NU is the US digital bank using a national bank charter and B2B fintech infrastructure to build structural margin advantages in American financial services (SoFi) versus the world's largest digital bank by customer count, with proven GAAP profitability and a multi-decade Latin American banking disruption opportunity (Nu Holdings). Both are category leaders in their respective geographies — but they are fundamentally different risk/reward profiles, not direct competitors.
NU holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. NU leads on both 1-year return (-14.63%) and forward P/E quality (13.43x vs 21.70x for SOFI), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. NU leads on both revenue growth (52.10%) and operating margin (50.15%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NU (+21.96%) than for SOFI (+13.58%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- prefer US digital banking exposure with a national bank charter enabling structurally lower-cost deposit-funded lending — the key long-term margin driver
- value Galileo B2B banking infrastructure (serving other fintech companies) as revenue diversification beyond SoFi's own consumer lending cycle
- want a higher-beta, higher-upside US fintech position with potential for significant operating leverage as the bank charter matures and deposit funding displaces warehouse credit
- are comfortable with student loan policy sensitivity, 2.1x beta volatility, and a longer wait for the bank charter economics to fully mature
- prefer the world's largest digital bank with 100M+ customers, net margin above 40%, and ROE above 30% — rare profitability metrics for a high-growth company
- value Nubank's enormous Latin American market opportunity — 650M+ people with historically high bank fees and limited digital financial access across Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia
- want lower-beta (0.95x) digital banking exposure with Mexico and Colombia early-stage growth providing long-duration runway beyond the already-profitable Brazil business
- are comfortable with Brazilian Real / Mexican Peso currency risk, Brazil credit cycle exposure, and traditional bank competitive response in digital consumer finance
| Metric | SOFI | NU |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 38.5 | 32.9 |
| AI ranki | #1353 | #2077 |
| Latest closei | $16.96 | $13.65 |
| 1M returni | -7.93% | -6.57% |
| 6M returni | -0.70% | -3.60% |
| 1Y returni | -39.67% | -14.63% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SOFI | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.03K (-39.7%) started 2025-09-18 | $8.54K (-14.6%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $11.64K (+16.4%) started 2021-09-20 | $13.21K (+32.1%) started 2021-12-09 |
| 10Y ago | $13.9K (+39.0%) started 2021-01-04 | $13.21K (+32.1%) started 2021-12-09 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SOFI | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $23.04B | $74.39B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 36.41 | 21.10 |
| Forward P/Ei | 21.70 | 13.43 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 5.17 | 7.18 |
| Analyst targeti | $20.26 | $18.78 |
| Target upsidei | +13.58% | +21.96% |
| Metric | SOFI | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 42.60% | 52.10% |
| Earnings growthi | 40.40% | 66.30% |
| EPS growthi | +40.40% | +66.30% |
| FCF margini | N/A | N/A |
| Operating margini | 16.96% | 50.15% |
| Profit margini | 14.91% | 42.73% |
| ROIC proxyi | 7.09% | 31.63% |
| Return on equityi | 7.09% | 31.63% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 2.20 | 0.94 |
| Debt/equityi | 30.84 | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 1.10 | N/A |
| Quick ratioi | 0.46 | N/A |
Over the past year, SOFI and NU have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.49), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SOFI | NU |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -39.67% | -14.63% |
| CAGRi | -39.69% | -14.64% | |
| Volatilityi | 57.00% | 38.26% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.68 | -0.34 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.91 | -0.47 | |
| Max drawdowni | 52.96% | 38.17% | |
| Current drawdowni | 47.35% | 27.24% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 32.98% | 16.39% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 37.02% | 19.91% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.44% | 9.55% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 20.11% | 14.55% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +16.40% | +32.14% |
| CAGRi | +3.09% | +6.01% | |
| Volatilityi | 66.23% | 57.44% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.31 | 0.31 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.46 | 0.45 | |
| Max drawdowni | 81.54% | 72.07% | |
| Current drawdowni | 47.35% | 27.24% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 51.48% | 29.50% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 56.39% | 36.17% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.44% | 18.89% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 24.27% | 36.05% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +39.02% | +32.14% |
| CAGRi | +5.95% | +6.01% | |
| Volatilityi | 71.60% | 57.44% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.36 | 0.31 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.58 | 0.45 | |
| Max drawdowni | 83.32% | 72.07% | |
| Current drawdowni | 47.35% | 27.24% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 51.70% | 29.50% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 56.56% | 36.17% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.44% | 18.89% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 24.27% | 36.05% |
| Category | SOFI | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Company | SoFi Technologies, Inc. | Nu Holdings Ltd. |
| Sector | Financial Services | Financial Services |
| Industry | Credit Services | Banks - Regional |
| Core business | SoFi is a US digital bank and financial services platform offering student and personal loans, mortgages, investing, insurance, credit cards, and banking through SoFi Bank. The national bank charter (received January 2022) is the key structural advantage: it allows SoFi to fund loans with low-cost customer deposits rather than expensive warehouse credit lines, materially improving net interest margins. SoFi also operates two B2B banking technology platforms — Galileo (payment infrastructure serving other fintechs and banks) and Technisys (cloud-native core banking software) — diversifying revenue beyond consumer banking. | Nu Holdings (Nubank) is the world's largest digital bank by customer count, with 100M+ customers primarily in Brazil (its most mature and profitable market), Mexico, and Colombia. Nubank started in 2013 with a zero-fee credit card for customers rejected or overcharged by Brazil's incumbent banking oligopoly, and has expanded into savings accounts, personal loans, insurance, and investment products through its mobile app. Nubank achieved GAAP profitability in 2023, with net margin exceeding 40% — a milestone that validated its low-cost, mobile-first model. |
| Investor focus | Investors track member count and products per member (measures multi-product platform penetration), deposit growth (the foundation of the bank charter advantage), Financial Services segment revenue, Lending segment net interest margin, and Galileo/Technisys platform accounts. | Investors track active customer count and average revenue per active customer (ARPAC) — especially in Brazil where unit economics are most mature — Mexico and Colombia early-stage customer growth, credit quality (non-performing loan ratios by country), and quarterly revenue growth in USD despite Brazilian Real fluctuation. |
- National bank charter enables SoFi to fund loans with lower-cost deposits rather than expensive warehouse credit lines — a structural net interest margin improvement that compounds as the deposit base grows
- Multi-product platform strategy increases revenue per member: SoFi members with 2+ products generate significantly higher lifetime value than single-product customers
- Galileo B2B banking infrastructure serves other fintech companies and banks, providing technology platform revenue that is largely independent of SoFi's own consumer lending cycle
- 100M+ customer base makes Nubank the world's largest digital bank — scale advantages in Brazil are very difficult for new entrants to replicate, and the brand recognition is now comparable to the incumbent banks it disrupted
- Net profit margin above 40% and ROE above 30% demonstrate outstanding capital efficiency and validate the low-cost digital model at scale — rare metrics for a company still in high-growth mode
- Mexico (70M+ unbanked adults) and Colombia (30M+ unbanked) represent 10–15 year growth runways where Nubank is replicating the Brazil playbook against similarly oligopolistic incumbent banks
- Student loan origination volumes are sensitive to federal student loan policy changes, interest rate cycles, and refinancing demand — creating revenue volatility in SoFi's largest legacy segment
- Competition from established banks (Chase, Wells Fargo) and high-growth digital banks (Chime, Ally) in core deposit and personal lending markets, where SoFi is a smaller challenger
- SoFi's beta of 2.1x means it tends to fall significantly more than the market in risk-off environments — making it a high-conviction, high-volatility position
- Brazil credit cycle risk — Nubank's customers often include first-time credit card and loan users with limited credit history, increasing default risk during recessions or high interest rate environments
- Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso currency depreciation directly impacts USD-reported revenue and earnings — investors receive lower dollar returns when LatAm currencies weaken
- Traditional Brazilian banks (Itaú, Bradesco, Santander Brasil) have launched digital banking products after initially underestimating Nubank, creating more competitive pressure in core segments
SOFI vs NU: Which Stock Is Better Right Now?
Based on current fundamentals, NU holds the profitability and capital efficiency advantage. Nu Holdings reports a net profit margin above 40% versus SoFi's approximately 15%, and an ROE above 30% versus SoFi's roughly 7%. NU's 100M+ customer base and early GAAP profitability at scale validate that the business model works — something SoFi is still proving as it matures its bank charter lending economics.
SoFi offers a different risk/reward profile that may be more compelling depending on your investment thesis. SoFi's national bank charter (received 2022) is the key long-term driver: as SoFi replaces warehouse credit lines with low-cost customer deposits, net interest margins improve structurally. Galileo and Technisys add B2B infrastructure revenue that Nubank does not have, partially decoupling SoFi's revenue from consumer lending cycles. And SoFi operates entirely in the US, avoiding Latin American credit cycle risk and currency translation headwinds.
NU carries its own risks: Brazil credit cycles affect first-time borrowers heavily, the Brazilian Real's weakness reduces USD-reported results, and expansion into Mexico and Colombia requires continued capital investment before those markets become profitable. SOFI's high beta (2.1x) makes it significantly more volatile than NU (0.95x beta) in market drawdowns.
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