TTD vs META: The Trade Desk vs Meta Platforms Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
The Trade Desk is an independent open internet programmatic platform benefiting from advertiser diversification away from Meta, while Meta is the largest social advertising walled garden with first-party data advantages. Meta has better near-term ROAS with AI-powered Advantage+; Trade Desk benefits when advertisers seek open internet reach.
TTD vs META is open internet programmatic DSP versus social advertising walled garden — Trade Desk wins if CTV advertising scale and advertiser diversification from social to open internet continue; Meta wins if Advantage+ AI continues improving ROAS and keeps advertising budgets concentrated in Facebook and Instagram.
META holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. META has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+2.67% vs -74.31%), though TTD has the better forward P/E setup (14.62x vs 19.04x for META). META leads on both revenue growth (28.00%) and operating margin (34.83%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for META (+13.45%) than for TTD (-8.00%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- believe advertisers will continue diversifying from social media walled gardens toward CTV and open internet
- want independent programmatic exposure without Meta's regulatory and privacy risk concentration
- value Trade Desk's CTV positioning as streaming TV audiences grow and linear TV advertising declines
- prefer a smaller, faster-growing advertising technology company vs Meta's scale
- prefer the largest social advertising platform with first-party data advantages and AI-powered targeting improvement
- value Meta's 2B+ daily active people as an unmatched advertising audience scale
- believe Advantage+ AI continues improving ROAS, justifying continued budget concentration in Meta
- want social advertising scale with upside from WhatsApp monetization and AI features
| Metric | TTD | META |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 41.2 | 53.6 |
| AI ranki | #799 | #309 |
| Latest closei | $13.13 | $736.72 |
| 1M returni | -12.47% | +9.92% |
| 3M returni | -31.33% | +10.86% |
| 6M returni | -42.31% | +8.84% |
| 1Y returni | -74.31% | +2.67% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | TTD | META |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $2.63K (-73.7%) started 2025-10-16 | $10.35K (+3.5%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $1.62K (-83.8%) started 2021-10-18 | $22.18K (+121.8%) started 2021-10-18 |
| 10Y ago | $49.98K (+399.8%) started 2016-10-17 | $58.31K (+483.1%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | TTD | META |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $6.84B | $1.7T |
| Trailing P/Ei | 17.32 | 25.07 |
| Forward P/Ei | 14.62 | 19.04 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 10.30 |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.81 | 7.53 |
| Analyst targeti | $13.39 | $755.28 |
| Target upsidei | -8.00% | +13.45% |
| Metric | TTD | META |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 3.00% | 28.00% |
| Earnings growthi | -23.60% | -13.40% |
| EPS growthi | -23.60% | -13.40% |
| FCF margini | +19.50% | +9.44% |
| Operating margini | 14.21% | 34.83% |
| Profit margini | 13.61% | 29.83% |
| ROIC proxyi | 15.44% | 29.85% |
| Return on equityi | 15.44% | 29.85% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 0.32% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 7.91% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.04 | 1.24 |
| Debt/equityi | 16.86 | 43.00 |
| Current ratioi | 1.72 | 2.23 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.68 | 1.99 |
Over the past year, TTD and META have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.18), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | TTD | META |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -73.69% | +3.46% |
| CAGRi | -73.75% | +3.47% | |
| Volatilityi | 56.50% | 41.83% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -2.16 | 0.18 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -2.79 | 0.27 | |
| Max drawdowni | 77.98% | 30.06% | |
| Current drawdowni | 75.74% | 5.26% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 52.32% | 15.34% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 56.12% | 16.73% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.90% | 11.33% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 29.89% | 16.52% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -83.75% | +120.73% |
| CAGRi | -30.51% | +17.18% | |
| Volatilityi | 67.64% | 45.30% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.26 | 0.48 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.38 | 0.70 | |
| Max drawdowni | 91.46% | 74.42% | |
| Current drawdowni | 90.59% | 6.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 44.87% | 20.92% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 51.39% | 28.65% | |
| Max daily dropi | 38.61% | 26.39% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 42.53% | 30.98% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +399.81% | +480.36% |
| CAGRi | +17.47% | +19.23% | |
| Volatilityi | 67.87% | 39.57% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.51 | 0.53 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.78 | 0.76 | |
| Max drawdowni | 91.46% | 76.74% | |
| Current drawdowni | 90.59% | 6.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 29.18% | 16.74% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 38.43% | 24.18% | |
| Max daily dropi | 38.61% | 26.39% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 42.53% | 30.98% |
| Category | TTD | META |
|---|---|---|
| Company | The Trade Desk, Inc. | Meta Platforms, Inc. |
| Sector | Communication Services | Communication Services |
| Industry | Advertising Agencies | Internet Content & Information |
| Core business | Independent buy-side programmatic advertising platform for CTV, audio, display, and mobile across the open internet. Trade Desk does not compete with publishers for ad revenue. | Social media conglomerate with Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and the Reels short-video platform. Meta's advertising business is one of the largest globally, powered by first-party social graph data and AI-driven ad targeting. |
| Investor focus | CTV advertising spend, UID2 adoption, retail media integration, and revenue growth from incremental budget shifts from social to open internet. | Daily active people growth and engagement, ad revenue per user (ARPU) expansion, AI-driven ad performance improvement (Advantage+), and Reality Labs investment level. |
- Trade Desk benefits when advertisers diversify away from Meta and Google — open internet spend captures that budget
- CTV growth is the most significant structural driver as streaming TV displaces linear TV viewership and advertising
- UID2 and privacy-safe targeting give advertisers alternatives to relying on Meta's first-party social data
- Meta's first-party social graph data (2B+ daily active people) enables targeting precision that open internet alternatives cannot fully replicate
- Reels has successfully captured short-video attention that was shifting to TikTok — Meta's engagement story is re-accelerating
- Advantage+ AI-powered automated advertising has significantly improved advertiser ROAS, making Meta more competitive vs manual targeting alternatives
- Meta's ROAS (return on ad spend) improvements from AI have made it more competitive vs open internet buys
- CTV ad prices can be volatile and measurement standardization across streaming platforms lags Meta's measurement capabilities
- Trade Desk has no media ownership — it must access publisher inventory through supply paths that Meta controls for its own inventory
- Apple's ATT privacy framework permanently reduced Meta's ability to track iOS users off-platform, reducing targeting precision
- Regulatory scrutiny across EU, FTC, and DOJ creates ongoing compliance risk for Meta's data use and ad practices
- Reality Labs (metaverse/AI glasses) is a significant ongoing loss that reduces Meta's overall earnings power while the market is unproven
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