MOMO vs JOYY Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
MOMO (Hello Group) and JOYY are both Chinese social entertainment companies built on live streaming virtual gift monetization — Hello Group focused on Chinese dating and social networking (Momo, Tantan), versus JOYY's mix of Chinese YY Live and international BIGO LIVE live streaming. Both face a mature Chinese live streaming market but JOYY has more international revenue diversification.
MOMO vs JOYY is China-focused social dating live streaming (Hello Group's Momo and Tantan) versus globally diversified live streaming operator (JOYY's BIGO LIVE international plus YY Live China) — both are value stocks trading at significant discounts to U.S. tech peers with Chinese regulatory and growth headwinds.
MOMO holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. JOYY has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+35.80% vs -33.60%), though MOMO has the better forward P/E setup (0.71x vs 12.45x for JOYY). On fundamentals, JOYY is growing revenue faster (16.30%), while MOMO maintains the higher operating margin (9.57%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for MOMO (+58.84%) than for JOYY (+12.34%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to Chinese adult social networking and dating with the Momo app and Tantan (China's largest swiping dating app) as the primary assets
- Value Hello Group's established virtual gift live streaming monetization and paying user base in China's social entertainment market
- See the combination of Momo's casual social network and Tantan's dating focus as complementary and defensible within the Chinese social landscape
- Want Chinese social entertainment with significant international diversification through BIGO LIVE's presence in Southeast Asia, South Asia, and Middle East
- Value JOYY's asset discount — the company has traded well below estimated sum-of-parts value, potentially offering a margin of safety
- See BIGO LIVE's international markets as higher-growth than saturated Chinese live streaming, providing a different risk/return profile than purely China-domestic competitors
| Metric | MOMO | JOYY |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 24.8 | 34.9 |
| AI ranki | #3094 | #1754 |
| Latest closei | $4.90 | $78.88 |
| 1M returni | -14.93% | +6.97% |
| 6M returni | -16.94% | +39.93% |
| 1Y returni | -33.60% | +35.80% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MOMO | JOYY |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.96K (-30.4%) started 2025-09-17 | $14.68K (+46.8%) started 2025-09-17 |
| 5Y ago | $10.37K (+3.7%) started 2021-09-17 | $23.5K (+135.0%) started 2021-09-17 |
| 10Y ago | $6.32K (-36.8%) started 2016-09-19 | $25.57K (+155.7%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MOMO | JOYY |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $703.81M | $3.86B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 4.85 | 18.69 |
| Forward P/Ei | 0.71 | 12.45 |
| Price/Salesi | 0.07 | 1.70 |
| EV/Revenuei | -0.77 | 1.14 |
| Analyst targeti | $7.78 | $88.61 |
| Target upsidei | +58.84% | +12.34% |
| Metric | MOMO | JOYY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | -5.10% | 16.30% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | -12.70% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | -12.70% |
| FCF margini | +39.86% | N/A |
| Operating margini | 9.57% | 2.34% |
| Profit margini | 11.04% | 9.58% |
| ROIC proxyi | 10.22% | -25.49% |
| Return on equityi | 10.22% | -25.49% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.00% | 6.84% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 113.74% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| Debt/equityi | 0.63 | 1.07 |
| Current ratioi | 5.13 | 2.00 |
| Quick ratioi | 4.77 | 1.64 |
Over the past year, MOMO and JOYY have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.35), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MOMO | JOYY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -33.60% | +35.80% |
| CAGRi | -33.62% | +35.83% | |
| Volatilityi | 28.66% | 32.36% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.45 | 0.97 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.91 | 1.66 | |
| Max drawdowni | 33.60% | 20.97% | |
| Current drawdowni | 33.60% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 16.55% | 6.20% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.77% | 8.61% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.02% | 5.12% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 10.68% | 7.83% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -35.08% | +81.56% |
| CAGRi | -8.28% | +12.67% | |
| Volatilityi | 61.26% | 58.15% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.40 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.13 | 0.66 | |
| Max drawdowni | 65.90% | 59.05% | |
| Current drawdowni | 47.18% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 34.52% | 25.17% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 37.50% | 30.05% | |
| Max daily dropi | 27.82% | 21.47% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 34.78% | 38.93% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -65.59% | +90.14% |
| CAGRi | -10.12% | +6.64% | |
| Volatilityi | 58.53% | 56.58% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.03 | 0.31 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.04 | 0.48 | |
| Max drawdowni | 90.31% | 83.52% | |
| Current drawdowni | 84.99% | 31.38% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 60.09% | 50.78% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 65.86% | 55.66% | |
| Max daily dropi | 27.82% | 26.48% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 34.78% | 38.93% |
| Category | MOMO | JOYY |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Hello Group Inc. (formerly Momo Inc.) | JOYY Inc. |
| Sector | Technology - Chinese Social Entertainment | Technology - Global Social Live Streaming |
| Industry | Internet Content & Information | Internet Content & Information |
| Core business | Hello Group (rebranded from Momo Inc.) operates the Momo social networking and live streaming app for Chinese adults and Tantan (a Tinder-style dating app in China and selected international markets), monetizing through virtual gifts in live streaming and premium subscriptions. | JOYY operates a global portfolio of live streaming and social entertainment platforms — including YY Live (China's largest PC live entertainment platform), BIGO LIVE (international live streaming in Southeast Asia and Middle East), and Hago (social gaming) — focused increasingly on international markets. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Hello Group's monthly active users across Momo and Tantan, paying user counts, average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) from virtual gifts and subscriptions, and the revenue mix between live streaming virtual gifts and value-added services. | Investors track JOYY's revenue breakdown between YY Live (Chinese domestic, subject to sale pressure) and BIGO LIVE (international growth), BIGO LIVE's monthly active user growth and monetization, and the company's transition from China-focused to internationally-focused social entertainment. |
- Momo is a leading adult social networking platform in China with an established user base and brand identity in casual social interaction and dating
- Tantan (China's largest swiping-based dating app) provides exposure to Chinese digital dating with a distinct user base from Momo's existing users
- Virtual gift live streaming monetization is a proven Chinese internet business model with high margins once user base is established
- BIGO LIVE is one of the most popular international short video and live streaming platforms in Southeast Asia, South Asia, and Middle East — less exposed to Chinese regulatory risk than domestic competitors
- Geographic diversification through international operations in markets less competitive than China's social media landscape
- Significant cash balance and buybacks make JOYY attractive on an asset-basis relative to market capitalization in periods of depressed valuation
- Chinese social entertainment live streaming market is mature and competitive — ByteDance (Douyin), Kuaishou, and other platforms compete for user time and virtual gift spending
- User growth has plateaued — Hello Group is primarily a user monetization story rather than a user acquisition growth story at this stage
- Live streaming entertainment business models face increased regulatory oversight in China regarding content standards and payment flows
- JOYY attempted to sell YY Live (the China domestic segment) to Baidu — the deal was terminated in 2022, leaving JOYY with the Chinese domestic live streaming business it sought to exit
- International live streaming markets (Southeast Asia, Middle East) are competitive with TikTok, YouTube Live, and regional players competing for user time
- JOYY's stock has historically traded at a significant discount to its sum-of-parts value — unlocking this value has been challenging due to market skepticism and corporate structure complexity
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.