DOW vs DD Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Dow and DuPont both trace their roots to a shared corporate history but have taken different strategic paths, with Dow focused on large-scale commodity petrochemicals like polyethylene, while DuPont has repositioned itself around specialty materials serving electronics, water treatment, and healthcare markets.
DOW offers exposure to commodity chemical cycle recovery potential, while DD offers exposure to more differentiated specialty materials tied to electronics and water treatment demand. The decision depends on whether you prefer commodity cycle exposure or specialty materials differentiation.
DD holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. DD has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+73.06% vs +43.31%), though DOW has the better forward P/E setup (16.62x vs 17.09x for DD). On fundamentals, DOW is growing revenue faster (19.70%), while DD maintains the higher operating margin (14.24%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for DD (+21.18%) than for DOW (+13.69%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to global-scale commodity petrochemical production
- Believe commodity chemical pricing cycles are positioned for eventual recovery
- Value diversified end-market exposure across packaging, construction, and industrial applications
- Are comfortable with the cyclicality inherent in commodity chemical markets
- Prefer exposure to specialty materials for electronics, water treatment, and healthcare markets
- Believe semiconductor and electronics materials demand offers a differentiated long-term growth driver
- Value a portfolio restructured toward less cyclical specialty end markets
- Are comfortable navigating the company's complex corporate restructuring history
| Metric | DOW | DD |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 28.2 | 41.9 |
| AI ranki | #2405 | #1006 |
| Latest closei | $34.18 | $141.30 |
| 1M returni | +22.20% | +8.71% |
| 3M returni | +14.35% | +0.01% |
| 6M returni | -15.77% | +211.16% |
| 1Y returni | +43.31% | +73.06% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | DOW | DD |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $14.71K (+47.1%) started 2025-11-03 | $40.73K (+307.3%) started 2025-11-03 |
| 5Y ago | $8.54K (-14.6%) started 2021-11-03 | $20.22K (+102.2%) started 2021-11-03 |
| 10Y ago | $13.88K (+38.8%) started 2019-03-20 | $27.12K (+171.2%) started 2016-11-03 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | DOW | DD |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $22.04B | $18.44B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 62.67 | 36.71 |
| Forward P/Ei | 16.62 | 17.09 |
| Price/Salesi | 0.47 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 0.94 | 2.86 |
| Analyst targeti | $34.69 | $165.47 |
| Target upsidei | +13.69% | +21.18% |
| Metric | DOW | DD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 19.70% | 4.00% |
| Earnings growthi | -73.30% | 149.60% |
| EPS growthi | -73.30% | +149.60% |
| FCF margini | +0.58% | +26.26% |
| Operating margini | 11.59% | 14.24% |
| Profit margini | -3.13% | 0.79% |
| ROIC proxyi | -5.54% | 1.79% |
| Return on equityi | -5.54% | 1.79% |
| Dividend yieldi | 4.59% | 1.76% |
| Payout ratioi | 700.00% | 81.45% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.42 | 1.08 |
| Debt/equityi | 111.91 | 22.90 |
| Current ratioi | 1.75 | 2.43 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.89 | 1.64 |
Over the past year, DOW and DD have moved barely in opposite directions (correlation of -0.06), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | DOW | DD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +47.14% | +307.32% |
| CAGRi | +47.30% | +308.97% | |
| Volatilityi | 41.55% | 198.23% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.04 | 1.16 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.63 | 12.53 | |
| Max drawdowni | 35.47% | 17.64% | |
| Current drawdowni | 18.37% | 4.12% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 14.44% | 5.77% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 18.86% | 7.37% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.82% | 4.50% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 10.86% | 9.55% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -30.25% | +88.66% |
| CAGRi | -6.95% | +13.54% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.11% | 96.01% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.17 | 0.37 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.25 | 1.09 | |
| Max drawdowni | 65.60% | 60.89% | |
| Current drawdowni | 43.07% | 4.12% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 28.72% | 17.93% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 34.04% | 23.22% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.45% | 57.51% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.43% | 57.37% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -5.10% | +123.01% |
| CAGRi | -0.68% | +8.35% | |
| Volatilityi | 38.43% | 71.87% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.06 | 0.28 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.08 | 0.71 | |
| Max drawdowni | 65.60% | 72.74% | |
| Current drawdowni | 43.07% | 4.12% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 24.48% | 25.60% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 29.85% | 30.01% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.66% | 57.51% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 40.97% | 57.37% |
| Category | DOW | DD |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Dow Inc. | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. |
| Sector | Basic Materials | Basic Materials |
| Industry | Chemicals | Specialty Chemicals |
| Core business | A global materials science company producing commodity and performance plastics, industrial intermediates, and coatings, with a significant portion of revenue tied to polyethylene and other large-scale petrochemical products. | A specialty materials science company providing technology-based products for the electronics, water treatment, industrial, and healthcare markets, following a series of corporate restructurings that separated its commodity chemical businesses. |
| Investor focus | Commodity chemical pricing and volume cycles, plant utilization rates, and capital allocation between growth projects and shareholder returns during industry downturns. | Electronics and semiconductor materials segment growth, water treatment technology demand, and margin trends following the company's portfolio restructuring toward specialty end markets. |
- Global scale in commodity petrochemical production provides cost advantages through economies of scale in manufacturing
- Diversified end-market exposure spanning packaging, construction, and industrial applications spreads demand risk across the economy
- Long operating history and established customer relationships support consistent volume through commodity chemical price cycles
- Focus on specialty materials for electronics, water treatment, and healthcare markets provides more differentiated positioning than commodity chemical producers
- Exposure to semiconductor and electronics materials demand ties the company to long-term technology industry growth trends
- Portfolio restructuring toward specialty end markets has aimed to reduce cyclicality relative to the commodity chemicals business it spun off
- Commodity chemical pricing and margins are highly cyclical, closely tied to global industrial demand and petrochemical feedstock costs
- Large-scale manufacturing facilities require substantial ongoing capital investment to maintain competitiveness
- Global commodity chemical oversupply, particularly from newer international capacity, can pressure pricing during downturns
- Specialty materials businesses still carry exposure to cyclical end markets like electronics and industrial manufacturing
- History of complex corporate restructuring and business separations can make historical financial comparisons more difficult for investors
- Competition in specialty electronics and water treatment materials continues to intensify as other specialty chemical companies target the same markets
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