MAA vs NXRT Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Mid-America Apartment and NexPoint Residential Trust both focus on Sun Belt apartment markets, but Mid-America Apartment operates at a much larger scale across numerous metropolitan markets, while NexPoint Residential Trust is a smaller REIT pursuing a more concentrated value-add renovation strategy.
MAA offers scale and diversification across the broader Sun Belt region, while NXRT offers a more concentrated, renovation-driven growth strategy with higher potential upside and risk. The decision depends on whether you prefer diversified scale or a more focused value-add approach.
MAA holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MAA leads on both 1-year return (-13.17%) and forward P/E quality (39.52x vs -10.90x for NXRT), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, NXRT is growing revenue faster (2.40%), while MAA maintains the higher operating margin (25.36%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NXRT (+22.41%) than for MAA (+10.98%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want diversified exposure across numerous Sun Belt apartment markets
- Value a development and redevelopment pipeline as an internal growth driver
- Prefer the scale and operating history of one of the largest Sun Belt apartment REITs
- Believe broad Sun Belt population and job growth trends will continue supporting rental demand
- Want more concentrated exposure to a value-add apartment renovation strategy
- Are comfortable with the higher risk profile of a smaller, less diversified REIT
- Believe renovation-driven rent growth can outpace broader market rent trends
- Prefer a more focused portfolio over a highly diversified large-scale apartment REIT
| Metric | MAA | NXRT |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 37.2 | N/A |
| AI ranki | #1513 | N/A |
| Latest closei | $121.17 | $21.29 |
| 1M returni | -6.91% | -7.18% |
| 6M returni | -2.68% | -9.74% |
| 1Y returni | -13.17% | -28.26% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MAA | NXRT |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.62K (-13.8%) started 2025-09-18 | $7.8K (-22.0%) started 2025-09-17 |
| 5Y ago | $8.45K (-15.5%) started 2021-09-20 | $5.82K (-41.8%) started 2021-09-17 |
| 10Y ago | $24.67K (+146.7%) started 2016-09-19 | $26.66K (+166.6%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MAA | NXRT |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $15.42B | $1.24B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 37.90 | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | 39.52 | -10.90 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 9.40 | 8.57 |
| Analyst targeti | $143.84 | $29.50 |
| Target upsidei | +10.98% | +22.41% |
| Metric | MAA | NXRT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 1.00% | 2.40% |
| Earnings growthi | 13.70% | N/A |
| EPS growthi | +13.70% | N/A |
| FCF margini | +41.52% | +28.20% |
| Operating margini | 25.36% | 11.20% |
| Profit margini | 18.17% | -13.21% |
| ROIC proxyi | 7.05% | -11.09% |
| Return on equityi | 7.05% | -11.09% |
| Dividend yieldi | 4.72% | 9.06% |
| Payout ratioi | 178.07% | 4743.15% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | 10 yrs |
| Betai | 0.72 | 1.19 |
| Debt/equityi | 102.38 | 629.18 |
| Current ratioi | 0.05 | 2.87 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.03 | 0.91 |
Over the past year, MAA and NXRT have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.62), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MAA | NXRT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -13.78% | -28.26% |
| CAGRi | -13.79% | -28.27% | |
| Volatilityi | 18.93% | 27.97% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.93 | -1.21 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.30 | -1.65 | |
| Max drawdowni | 14.78% | 30.17% | |
| Current drawdowni | 14.78% | 30.17% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 6.53% | 11.76% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 7.34% | 13.61% | |
| Max daily dropi | 3.39% | 5.71% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 6.01% | 9.22% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -26.54% | -56.06% |
| CAGRi | -5.99% | -15.17% | |
| Volatilityi | 22.30% | 31.76% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.37 | -0.50 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.52 | -0.70 | |
| Max drawdowni | 45.40% | 71.52% | |
| Current drawdowni | 40.09% | 71.52% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 27.56% | 48.99% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 29.50% | 52.83% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.45% | 10.16% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 10.45% | 19.88% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +73.88% | +61.15% |
| CAGRi | +5.69% | +4.89% | |
| Volatilityi | 24.15% | 34.71% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.23 | 0.26 | |
| Max drawdowni | 45.40% | 71.52% | |
| Current drawdowni | 40.09% | 71.52% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 17.22% | 28.63% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 22.07% | 38.51% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.71% | 27.61% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 30.56% | 33.06% |
| Category | MAA | NXRT |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. | NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. |
| Sector | Real Estate | Real Estate |
| Industry | REIT - Residential | REIT - Residential |
| Core business | A large real estate investment trust that owns and operates apartment communities concentrated across Sun Belt metropolitan markets in the southeastern and southwestern United States. | A smaller real estate investment trust that owns and operates apartment communities concentrated in Sun Belt markets, with a business strategy focused on acquiring and renovating value-add apartment properties. |
| Investor focus | Same-store revenue and occupancy trends across its Sun Belt portfolio, new apartment supply pressure in key growth markets, and development and redevelopment pipeline contribution to growth. | Value-add renovation program returns and pace, same-store revenue growth from renovated units, and portfolio concentration risk given its smaller scale. |
- Large scale across numerous Sun Belt metropolitan markets provides significant diversification within the broader Sun Belt growth region
- Long operating history in Sun Belt apartment markets has built deep local operating expertise across many submarkets
- Development and redevelopment pipeline provides an internal growth avenue beyond acquiring existing apartment communities
- Value-add renovation strategy targets underperforming apartment properties with potential for meaningful rent growth after improvements
- Concentrated Sun Belt market focus aligns with a region that has generally benefited from strong population and job growth trends
- Smaller, more focused portfolio allows for concentrated management attention on renovation execution and asset-level performance
- Sun Belt market concentration exposes the portfolio to regional new apartment supply cycles that can pressure occupancy and rent growth
- Population and job growth trends in Sun Belt markets, while generally favorable, are not guaranteed to continue at the same pace indefinitely
- Large scale requires continued disciplined capital allocation across a broad, geographically dispersed portfolio
- Smaller scale relative to larger Sun Belt apartment REITs provides less diversification and potentially less access to capital
- Value-add renovation strategy carries execution risk tied to construction costs and the ability to achieve targeted rent increases
- Concentration in fewer markets and properties creates more idiosyncratic risk than a highly diversified, large-scale apartment REIT
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