NXRT vs AIRC Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
NXRT pursues a focused value-add renovation strategy concentrated in Sun Belt apartment markets, while AIRC offers more geographically diversified exposure across both coastal and Sun Belt apartment communities. Both are apartment REITs navigating a period of elevated new supply pressuring near-term rent growth across the sector.
NXRT vs AIRC compares a focused, value-add Sun Belt apartment REIT against a more geographically diversified apartment REIT spanning both coastal and Sun Belt markets.
NXRT and AIRC are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a focused value-add renovation strategy in Sun Belt apartments
- Believe continued unit repositioning will drive above-market rent growth
- Are comfortable with smaller scale and concentrated geographic exposure
- Want more geographically diversified apartment REIT exposure
- Value a portfolio spanning both coastal and Sun Belt markets
- Prefer a larger, more diversified multifamily REIT
| Metric | NXRT | AIRC |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 32.5 | N/A |
| AI ranki | N/A | N/A |
| Latest closei | $18.04 | N/A |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | NXRT | AIRC |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.98K (-30.2%) started 2025-11-03 | N/A |
| 5Y ago | $4.24K (-57.6%) started 2021-11-03 | N/A |
| 10Y ago | $25.04K (+150.4%) started 2016-11-03 | N/A |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | NXRT | AIRC |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.24B | N/A |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | -10.90 | N/A |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 6.92 |
| EV/Revenuei | 8.57 | N/A |
| Analyst targeti | $29.50 | N/A |
| Target upsidei | +22.41% | N/A |
| Metric | NXRT | AIRC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 2.40% | N/A |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growthi | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margini | +28.20% | N/A |
| Operating margini | 11.20% | N/A |
| Profit margini | -13.21% | N/A |
| ROIC proxyi | -11.09% | N/A |
| Return on equityi | -11.09% | N/A |
| Dividend yieldi | 9.06% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 4743.15% | N/A |
| Dividend growth streaki | 10 yrs | N/A |
| Betai | 1.19 | 0.46 |
| Debt/equityi | 629.18 | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 2.87 | N/A |
| Quick ratioi | 0.91 | N/A |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | NXRT | AIRC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -35.84% | N/A |
| CAGRi | -35.94% | N/A | |
| Volatilityi | 31.14% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.43 | N/A | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.96 | N/A | |
| Max drawdowni | 39.98% | N/A | |
| Current drawdowni | 39.28% | N/A | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.65% | N/A | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.29% | N/A | |
| Max daily dropi | 5.71% | N/A | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.28% | N/A | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -68.00% | N/A |
| CAGRi | -20.39% | N/A | |
| Volatilityi | 32.42% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.68 | N/A | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.95 | N/A | |
| Max drawdowni | 76.15% | N/A | |
| Current drawdowni | 75.87% | N/A | |
| Avg drawdowni | 50.91% | N/A | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 54.17% | N/A | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.16% | N/A | |
| Max wkly dropi | 19.88% | N/A | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +51.35% | N/A |
| CAGRi | +4.23% | N/A | |
| Volatilityi | 34.88% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.17 | N/A | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.23 | N/A | |
| Max drawdowni | 76.15% | N/A | |
| Current drawdowni | 75.87% | N/A | |
| Avg drawdowni | 29.42% | N/A | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 39.40% | N/A | |
| Max daily dropi | 27.61% | N/A | |
| Max wkly dropi | 33.06% | N/A |
| Category | NXRT | AIRC |
|---|---|---|
| Company | NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. | Apartment Income REIT Corp. |
| Sector | Real Estate | Real Estate - Apartment REIT |
| Industry | REIT - Residential | N/A |
| Core business | NexPoint Residential Trust is a smaller apartment REIT focused on a value-add strategy, acquiring and renovating middle-income apartment communities primarily in Sun Belt markets to drive rent growth. | Apartment Income REIT owns and operates a diversified portfolio of apartment communities across both coastal and Sun Belt U.S. markets, focused on well-located, higher-quality multifamily properties. |
| Investor focus | Investors track NexPoint's renovation program returns on investment, same-store rent growth from repositioned units, and Sun Belt market supply-demand dynamics. | Investors track Apartment Income REIT's same-store rent growth and occupancy across its diversified geographic footprint, and overall portfolio quality relative to peers. |
- Focused value-add renovation strategy drives above-market rent growth on repositioned units
- Concentrated exposure to faster-growing Sun Belt apartment markets
- Smaller scale provides more room for percentage-based growth
- Diversified geographic footprint spanning both coastal and Sun Belt markets
- Focus on well-located, higher-quality apartment communities
- Larger scale than NexPoint provides more diversification benefits
- Smaller scale than larger apartment REIT peers limits diversification and capital cost advantages
- Value-add renovation strategy carries execution risk and capital expenditure requirements
- Sun Belt markets have seen elevated new apartment supply pressuring near-term rent growth
- Coastal market exposure carries different regulatory and supply dynamics than pure Sun Belt strategies
- Apartment REIT sector broadly faces near-term elevated new supply in many markets
- Must balance growth investment with maintaining portfolio quality across diverse markets
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