SPG vs WELL Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Simon Property Group's premium mall portfolio against Welltower's senior housing and healthcare property focus.
Use this Simon Property Group vs Welltower comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
SPG holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. WELL has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+34.89% vs +17.59%), though SPG has the better forward P/E setup (31.24x vs 74.86x for WELL). On fundamentals, WELL is growing revenue faster (39.10%), while SPG maintains the higher operating margin (46.02%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +8.16% for SPG and +7.84% for WELL.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | SPG | WELL |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 41.7 | 55.2 |
| AI ranki | #969 | #256 |
| Latest closei | $211.63 | $237.32 |
| 1M returni | +3.66% | +3.24% |
| 3M returni | -7.90% | -5.85% |
| 6M returni | +5.20% | +13.69% |
| 1Y returni | +17.59% | +34.89% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SPG | WELL |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.84K (+18.4%) started 2025-10-23 | $13.48K (+34.8%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $21.74K (+117.4%) started 2021-10-25 | $36.02K (+260.2%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $29.52K (+195.2%) started 2016-10-24 | $69.48K (+594.8%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SPG | WELL |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $80.34B | $171.55B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 14.94 | 106.28 |
| Forward P/Ei | 31.24 | 74.86 |
| Price/Salesi | 10.20 | 11.81 |
| EV/Revenuei | 14.17 | 14.93 |
| Analyst targeti | $228.89 | $256.73 |
| Target upsidei | +8.16% | +7.84% |
| Metric | SPG | WELL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 19.50% | 39.10% |
| Earnings growthi | -12.50% | 35.60% |
| EPS growthi | -12.50% | +35.60% |
| FCF margini | +37.39% | +21.59% |
| Operating margini | 46.02% | 16.56% |
| Profit margini | 66.57% | 12.15% |
| ROIC proxyi | 120.51% | 3.84% |
| Return on equityi | 120.51% | 3.84% |
| Dividend yieldi | 4.21% | 1.43% |
| Payout ratioi | 62.10% | 132.74% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.33 | 0.76 |
| Debt/equityi | 503.50 | 41.38 |
| Current ratioi | 0.27 | 1.32 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.26 | 0.95 |
Over the past year, SPG and WELL have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.45), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SPG | WELL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +18.42% | +34.79% |
| CAGRi | +18.45% | +34.85% | |
| Volatilityi | 19.17% | 22.65% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.75 | 1.24 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.12 | 1.80 | |
| Max drawdowni | 16.52% | 12.61% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.59% | 5.85% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 4.31% | 5.00% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 6.39% | 6.26% | |
| Max daily dropi | 3.57% | 4.93% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 6.70% | 10.44% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +75.26% | +224.12% |
| CAGRi | +11.89% | +26.55% | |
| Volatilityi | 25.90% | 23.80% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.39 | 0.92 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.55 | 1.36 | |
| Max drawdowni | 45.84% | 40.78% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.59% | 5.85% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.74% | 8.48% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 18.54% | 12.55% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.11% | 6.38% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 15.68% | 13.27% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +68.22% | +369.00% |
| CAGRi | +5.34% | +16.72% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.13% | 31.96% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.21 | 0.50 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.30 | 0.72 | |
| Max drawdowni | 75.34% | 63.33% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.59% | 5.85% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 18.13% | 11.34% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.71% | 16.55% | |
| Max daily dropi | 26.71% | 24.40% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 55.74% | 41.19% |
| Category | SPG | WELL |
|---|---|---|
| Company | SPG | WELL |
| Sector | Real Estate | Real Estate |
| Industry | REIT - Retail | REIT - Healthcare Facilities |
| Core business | Simon Property Group, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT). | Welltower Inc., an S&P 500 company, is positioned at the center of the silver economy, focusing on rental housing for aging seniors across the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada. |
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