NEE vs EXC Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
NextEra Energy and Exelon both play major roles in the US energy transition, but NextEra combines a regulated Florida utility with the world's largest renewable generation business, while Exelon operates as a pure-play regulated distribution utility across the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest following its nuclear generation spinoff.
NEE offers a blend of regulated stability and renewable energy growth exposure, while EXC offers a simplified, pure-play regulated distribution utility model with data center load growth potential. The decision depends on whether you prefer renewable growth or distribution utility simplicity.
NEE holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. NEE has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-0.89% vs -7.65%), though EXC has the better forward P/E setup (14.46x vs 18.65x for NEE). NEE leads on both revenue growth (12.40%) and operating margin (31.52%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NEE (+20.22%) than for EXC (+11.27%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to the world's largest renewable energy generation business
- Value a regulated Florida utility base supported by population growth
- Believe long-term clean energy demand will continue supporting growth
- Prefer a diversified utility model over a single-fuel regulated business
- Prefer a simplified, pure-play regulated distribution utility model
- Value the stability of serving several major Mid-Atlantic and Midwest metropolitan areas
- Believe data center load growth in its territories supports rate base investment opportunities
- Want a utility investment thesis less complicated by generation asset exposure
| Metric | NEE | EXC |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 51.1 | 51.1 |
| AI ranki | #455 | #933 |
| Latest closei | $82.10 | $44.43 |
| 1M returni | +6.60% | +9.19% |
| 3M returni | -8.55% | -6.52% |
| 6M returni | -13.83% | -5.31% |
| 1Y returni | -0.89% | -7.65% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | NEE | EXC |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.86K (-1.4%) started 2025-10-23 | $9.33K (-6.7%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $11.71K (+17.1%) started 2021-10-25 | $15.89K (+58.9%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $41.24K (+312.4%) started 2016-10-24 | $37.08K (+270.8%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | NEE | EXC |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $170.72B | $45.26B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 18.39 | 16.15 |
| Forward P/Ei | 18.65 | 14.46 |
| Price/Salesi | 5.88 | 1.82 |
| EV/Revenuei | 10.07 | 3.80 |
| Analyst targeti | $98.39 | $48.88 |
| Target upsidei | +20.22% | +11.27% |
| Metric | NEE | EXC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 12.40% | 9.90% |
| Earnings growthi | 53.10% | -0.20% |
| EPS growthi | +53.10% | -0.20% |
| FCF margini | -61.91% | -10.60% |
| Operating margini | 31.52% | 16.59% |
| Profit margini | 32.40% | 10.99% |
| ROIC proxyi | 11.68% | 9.71% |
| Return on equityi | 11.68% | 9.71% |
| Dividend yieldi | 3.05% | 3.82% |
| Payout ratioi | 43.89% | 60.29% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.65 | 0.40 |
| Debt/equityi | 161.68 | 177.36 |
| Current ratioi | 0.53 | 1.09 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.35 | 0.72 |
Over the past year, NEE and EXC have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.46), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | NEE | EXC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -1.38% | -6.66% |
| CAGRi | -1.38% | -6.67% | |
| Volatilityi | 21.20% | 20.10% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.17 | -0.47 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.24 | -0.66 | |
| Max drawdowni | 22.87% | 20.06% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.12% | 11.65% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.97% | 8.14% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 10.12% | 9.38% | |
| Max daily dropi | 4.63% | 3.27% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 6.96% | 7.02% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +6.60% | +37.91% |
| CAGRi | +1.29% | +6.65% | |
| Volatilityi | 26.89% | 20.98% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.02 | 0.20 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.02 | 0.28 | |
| Max drawdowni | 44.97% | 29.05% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.12% | 11.65% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 15.05% | 11.75% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.84% | 13.85% | |
| Max daily dropi | 8.97% | 7.56% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.71% | 15.10% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +226.24% | +159.36% |
| CAGRi | +12.56% | +10.00% | |
| Volatilityi | 25.48% | 23.98% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.42 | 0.33 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.59 | 0.47 | |
| Max drawdowni | 44.97% | 40.04% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.12% | 11.65% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 9.58% | 9.55% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.46% | 12.43% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.42% | 16.09% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 24.36% | 27.20% |
| Category | NEE | EXC |
|---|---|---|
| Company | NextEra Energy, Inc. | Exelon Corporation |
| Sector | Utilities | Utilities |
| Industry | Utilities - Regulated Electric | Utilities - Regulated Electric |
| Core business | A diversified energy company operating one of the largest regulated electric utilities in Florida alongside the world's largest generator of renewable energy from wind and solar sources through its competitive energy business. | A regulated electric and natural gas utility holding company operating multiple distribution utilities across the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest United States, following the separation of its competitive nuclear generation business. |
| Investor focus | Renewable energy development pipeline growth, regulated Florida utility rate base expansion, and earnings growth guidance consistency. | Regulated rate base growth across its distribution utility subsidiaries, data center load growth capture in its service territories, and regulatory relationship quality across multiple state jurisdictions. |
- Position as the largest global renewable energy generator provides differentiated exposure to long-term clean energy demand growth
- Regulated Florida utility operations provide a stable earnings base supported by a growing service territory population
- Long track record of consistent earnings and dividend growth has built strong investor confidence over many years
- Focus on pure-play regulated distribution utility operations following its generation business separation simplifies the investment thesis
- Service territories spanning several major Mid-Atlantic and Midwest metropolitan areas provide a stable, diversified customer base
- Growing data center and large commercial load demand in its territories supports rate base investment opportunities
- Competitive renewable energy business carries more merchant power price risk than the fully regulated utility segment
- Interest rate sensitivity affects financing costs for the substantial capital investment required in renewable project development
- Hurricane and severe weather exposure in Florida creates operational and cost risk for the regulated utility business
- Operating across multiple state regulatory jurisdictions requires navigating varied rate case outcomes and political dynamics
- Focus on regulated distribution alone provides less diversification than utilities with generation or renewable business segments
- Aging infrastructure across some service territories requires sustained capital investment to maintain reliability
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