LLY vs ABBV: Eli Lilly vs AbbVie Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Eli Lilly is the GLP-1 growth juggernaut with the fastest-growing drug franchise in pharma history and massive obesity market expansion potential. AbbVie is a diversified pharma company navigating the Humira-to-Skyrizi/Rinvoq transition with a high dividend yield and broader therapeutic area exposure. Lilly has superior growth; AbbVie has better income and diversification.
Use this LLY vs ABBV comparison to evaluate two pharma investment approaches. Eli Lilly offers concentrated GLP-1/obesity growth at a premium valuation; AbbVie offers diversified pharma income with strong immunology growth at a more moderate valuation.
LLY holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. LLY has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+52.48% vs +36.66%), though ABBV trades at the lower forward P/E (13.32x vs 24.71x). LLY leads on both revenue growth (55.50%) and operating margin (49.39%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ABBV (+17.12%) than for LLY (+10.94%).
- →Want exposure to the GLP-1/obesity megatrend through the market-leading tirzepatide franchise
- →Believe the obesity drug market TAM is large enough to justify Eli Lilly's premium valuation
- →Value Lilly's pipeline optionality in Alzheimer's, oncology, and next-generation oral GLP-1 formulations
- →Are comfortable with a growth-stock valuation for a pharmaceutical company
- →Prefer a diversified pharma company with exposure across immunology, aesthetics, neuroscience, and oncology
- →Value AbbVie's high dividend yield and Dividend Aristocrat status for income-oriented portfolios
- →Believe Skyrizi and Rinvoq can fully replace and exceed Humira revenue over the next several years
- →Want pharma exposure at a more moderate valuation with better near-term income generation
| Metric | LLY | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 73.1 | 51.3 |
| AI rank | #24 | #345 |
| Latest close | $1,208.12 | $253.35 |
| 1M return | +11.56% | +17.62% |
| 6M return | +12.18% | +10.20% |
| 1Y return | +52.48% | +36.66% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | LLY | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $15.19K (+51.9%) started 2025-06-26 | $13.56K (+35.6%) started 2025-06-26 |
| 5Y ago | $57.4K (+474.0%) started 2021-06-28 | $30.98K (+209.8%) started 2021-06-28 |
| 10Y ago | $222.34K (+2123.4%) started 2016-06-27 | $99.97K (+899.7%) started 2016-06-27 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | LLY | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $979.64B | $382.49B |
| Trailing P/E | 39.07 | 106.12 |
| Forward P/E | 24.71 | 13.32 |
| Price/Sales | 14.10 | 5.85 |
| EV/Revenue | 14.09 | 7.10 |
| Analyst target | $1,218.72 | $253.55 |
| Target upside | +10.94% | +17.12% |
| Metric | LLY | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 55.50% | 12.40% |
| Earnings growth | 169.90% | -46.20% |
| EPS growth | +169.90% | -46.20% |
| FCF margin | +12.67% | +33.13% |
| Operating margin | 49.39% | 32.16% |
| Profit margin | 34.99% | 5.79% |
| ROIC proxy | 107.46% | 6225.00% |
| Return on equity | 107.46% | 6225.00% |
| Dividend yield | 0.63% | 3.20% |
| Beta | 0.52 | 0.31 |
| Debt/equity | 139.01 | 4789.60 |
| Current ratio | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Quick ratio | 0.72 | 0.52 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | LLY | ABBV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +51.94% | +35.63% |
| CAGR | +52.03% | +35.69% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.17 | 1.14 | |
| Max drawdown | 23.31% | 19.23% | |
| Max daily drop | 14.14% | 5.20% | |
| Max wkly drop | 17.93% | 8.49% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +451.04% | +161.91% |
| CAGR | +40.73% | +21.26% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.08 | 0.76 | |
| Max drawdown | 34.48% | 21.92% | |
| Max daily drop | 14.14% | 12.57% | |
| Max wkly drop | 17.93% | 17.30% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +1782.49% | +531.36% |
| CAGR | +34.13% | +20.24% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.97 | 0.67 | |
| Max drawdown | 34.48% | 45.09% | |
| Max daily drop | 14.14% | 16.25% | |
| Max wkly drop | 17.93% | 19.39% |
| Category | LLY | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Eli Lilly and Company | AbbVie Inc. |
| Sector | Healthcare | Healthcare |
| Industry | Drug Manufacturers - General | Drug Manufacturers - General |
| Core business | Global pharmaceutical company leading the GLP-1 revolution with Mounjaro (tirzepatide) for diabetes and Zepbound for obesity. Also developing treatments in Alzheimer's, oncology, and immunology. | Global biopharmaceutical company with leading positions in immunology (Skyrizi, Rinvoq), aesthetics (Botox, Juvederm), neuroscience, oncology, and eye care. Navigating the Humira biosimilar transition. |
| Investor focus | Mounjaro/Zepbound prescription growth, manufacturing capacity expansion, obesity market penetration, Alzheimer's drug (donanemab) commercial launch, and pipeline depth. | Skyrizi and Rinvoq growth trajectory post-Humira, aesthetics recovery, neuroscience pipeline, dividend sustainability, and revenue diversification beyond immunology. |
- →Market-leading GLP-1 franchise — Mounjaro and Zepbound are the fastest-growing drug brands in pharma history
- →Obesity represents a massive TAM expansion — tens of millions of potential patients beyond the diabetes population
- →Strong pipeline with donanemab (Alzheimer's), oncology assets, and next-generation oral GLP-1 formulations
- →Skyrizi and Rinvoq are successfully replacing Humira revenue with combined peak sales potentially exceeding Humira's peak
- →Diversified revenue across immunology, aesthetics (Allergan), neuroscience, and oncology provides stability
- →Strong dividend with high yield — AbbVie is a Dividend Aristocrat with a commitment to growing its payout
- →Premium valuation (highest P/E among large-cap pharma) requires sustained GLP-1 demand and supply execution
- →Manufacturing capacity constraints for tirzepatide — scaling production to meet demand is a multi-year challenge
- →GLP-1 competition from Novo Nordisk (semaglutide) and emerging oral GLP-1 players could pressure market share
- →Humira biosimilar erosion continues — Skyrizi and Rinvoq must grow fast enough to offset the decline
- →Aesthetics market (Botox, Juvederm) has been softer than expected due to consumer spending headwinds
- →Patent cliffs on key drugs create ongoing need for pipeline replenishment through R&D and M&A
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