DIS vs NFLX Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
NFLX is the pure-play streaming leader with the largest global subscriber base and a singular strategic focus, while DIS offers diversified exposure across streaming, theme parks, and legacy media, with theme parks providing a high-margin offset to streaming and linear TV pressures. Both have reached streaming profitability after years of investment.
DIS vs NFLX contrasts a diversified entertainment conglomerate balancing streaming against theme parks and declining linear TV against the world's leading pure-play streaming subscription service.
DIS holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. DIS leads on both 1-year return (-9.26%) and forward P/E quality (14.52x vs 21.39x for NFLX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. NFLX leads on both revenue growth (13.40%) and operating margin (33.38%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for DIS (+18.26%) than for NFLX (+14.61%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want diversified exposure across streaming, theme parks, and iconic entertainment brands
- Value the high-margin, recession-resistant cash flow from theme parks
- Believe streaming margin improvement will continue alongside parks growth
- Want pure-play exposure to the global streaming entertainment market
- Value Netflix's scale advantages in content investment and subscriber base
- Prefer a simpler, more focused strategic narrative over a diversified conglomerate
| Metric | DIS | NFLX |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 41.1 | 58.0 |
| AI ranki | #1086 | #210 |
| Latest closei | $105.35 | $75.31 |
| 1M returni | +1.35% | -3.16% |
| 6M returni | +6.20% | -17.91% |
| 1Y returni | -9.26% | -38.70% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | DIS | NFLX |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.17K (-8.3%) started 2025-09-18 | $6.24K (-37.6%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $6.05K (-39.5%) started 2021-09-20 | $13.09K (+30.9%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $12.93K (+29.3%) started 2016-09-19 | $76.8K (+668.0%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | DIS | NFLX |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $186.65B | $340.28B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 22.29 | 25.70 |
| Forward P/Ei | 14.52 | 21.39 |
| Price/Salesi | 2.18 | 13.15 |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.37 | 7.19 |
| Analyst targeti | $127.84 | $93.66 |
| Target upsidei | +18.26% | +14.61% |
| Metric | DIS | NFLX |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 6.80% | 13.40% |
| Earnings growthi | -48.30% | 11.10% |
| EPS growthi | -48.30% | +11.10% |
| FCF margini | +4.92% | +52.49% |
| Operating margini | 19.30% | 33.38% |
| Profit margini | 8.70% | 28.22% |
| ROIC proxyi | 8.01% | 49.54% |
| Return on equityi | 8.01% | 49.54% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.39% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 30.93% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | 1 yr | N/A |
| Betai | 1.40 | 1.51 |
| Debt/equityi | 39.40 | 55.24 |
| Current ratioi | 0.71 | 1.14 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.56 | 0.92 |
Over the past year, DIS and NFLX have moved barely in the same direction (correlation of 0.00), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | DIS | NFLX |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -8.28% | -37.65% |
| CAGRi | -8.29% | -37.67% | |
| Volatilityi | 26.51% | 897.39% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.36 | 0.85 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.50 | 8.08 | |
| Max drawdowni | 20.77% | 91.04% | |
| Current drawdowni | 9.69% | 39.33% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 9.42% | 27.14% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 10.76% | 30.45% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.75% | 89.81% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 10.27% | 89.92% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -40.29% | +30.88% |
| CAGRi | -9.81% | +5.54% | |
| Volatilityi | 29.62% | 403.96% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.35 | 0.43 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.49 | 3.35 | |
| Max drawdowni | 55.59% | 91.69% | |
| Current drawdowni | 40.29% | 43.76% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 39.27% | 29.81% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 40.78% | 37.48% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.16% | 89.81% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 16.34% | 89.92% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +21.16% | +668.00% |
| CAGRi | +1.94% | +22.62% | |
| Volatilityi | 29.04% | 286.72% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.06 | 0.37 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.08 | 2.60 | |
| Max drawdowni | 60.72% | 91.69% | |
| Current drawdowni | 47.18% | 43.76% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 27.22% | 20.40% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 34.34% | 28.41% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.16% | 89.81% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 19.45% | 89.92% |
| Category | DIS | NFLX |
|---|---|---|
| Company | The Walt Disney Company | Netflix, Inc. |
| Sector | Communication Services | Communication Services |
| Industry | Entertainment | Entertainment |
| Core business | Disney is a diversified global entertainment company spanning streaming (Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+), theme parks and resorts, traditional linear television networks, and a film and consumer products studio business. | Netflix is the world's leading pure-play subscription streaming service, producing and licensing film and television content globally, with a growing advertising-supported tier and expansion into live events and gaming. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Disney+ subscriber growth and profitability, theme park attendance and pricing, linear TV network secular decline, and the company's path to combined streaming segment margin improvement. | Investors track global subscriber growth, average revenue per member, advertising tier adoption, and Netflix's content spending efficiency and operating margin trajectory. |
- Unmatched portfolio of entertainment brands including Marvel, Pixar, Star Wars, and ESPN
- High-margin, recession-resistant theme parks and experiences segment
- Streaming business has achieved profitability following years of investment
- Largest global streaming subscriber base with industry-leading content investment scale
- Pure-play streaming focus allows for clearer strategic execution than diversified media peers
- Growing, high-margin advertising-supported tier expands monetization options
- Linear television networks face structural secular subscriber decline
- Streaming segment historically required years of losses before reaching profitability
- Complex multi-segment structure makes capital allocation and succession decisions more challenging
- Intensifying competition from Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, and other streaming services
- Content costs remain a significant and ongoing expense
- Password-sharing crackdown and pricing increases carry subscriber churn risk
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