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NFLX
Netflix, Inc. · Communication Services
$73.83
-8.10% this month
VERSUS
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AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. · Technology
$247.31
+3.67% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
NFLX
3
AMZN
2
NFLX LEADS 3/5
Comparison scoreboard
NFLX LEADS 3/5
AI Score
NFLX 58.0
AMZN 60.8
1Y Return
NFLX -40.70%
AMZN +9.91%
Fwd P/E
NFLX 19.10
AMZN 24.81
Target Up.
NFLX +54.21%
AMZN +27.54%
Op. Margin
NFLX 32.30%
AMZN 13.14%
Metrics last refreshed: 7/14/2026
Quick take

NFLX vs AMZN: Netflix vs Amazon Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

Netflix is the pure-play global streaming leader monetizing entirely through subscriptions and ads, while Amazon Prime Video is a bundled content strategy that serves primarily as a Prime membership retention tool. Netflix has cleaner streaming economics; Amazon has massive AWS and advertising cash flows that fund content regardless of direct streaming ROI.

NFLX vs AMZN is pure-play streaming monetization versus content as a bundle retention tool within a diversified technology empire — Netflix wins if streaming becomes a high-margin, sustainable global subscription business; Amazon wins across many businesses while Prime Video adds free retention value.

Live analysis · updated 7/14/2026

NFLX holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. AMZN has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+9.91% vs -40.70%), though NFLX has the better forward P/E setup (19.10x vs 24.81x for AMZN). On fundamentals, AMZN is growing revenue faster (16.60%), while NFLX maintains the higher operating margin (32.30%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NFLX (+54.21%) than for AMZN (+27.54%).

Normalized 1Y performance
NFLX
AMZN
Recent returns
NFLX
AMZN
Analyst price targets & sentiment
NFLX · 45 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.9/5.0)
Price target range
analyst high$1,514.00
analyst mean$113.15
current price$73.83
+54.2% upside to analyst mean
AMZN · 65 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Strong Buy (1.4/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$195.00
analyst mean$312.91
current price$247.31
+27.5% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
NFLX may suit investors who:
  • want pure-play exposure to global streaming subscription growth and operating margin expansion
  • believe Netflix's ad tier and password sharing crackdown create a multi-year earnings acceleration
  • prefer the focused streaming business model without cloud, e-commerce, or logistics complexity
  • are comfortable paying a premium multiple for Netflix's global streaming leadership
AMZN may suit investors who:
  • prefer diversified exposure to AWS cloud, advertising, e-commerce, and AI infrastructure
  • value Prime Video as one of many Prime benefits rather than a standalone streaming investment
  • want Amazon's massive free cash flow generation to fund both AI capex and streaming simultaneously
  • prefer AMZN's more diversified risk profile over pure streaming bet
Performance & AI score
MetricNFLXAMZN
AI score58.060.8
AI rank#245#192
Latest close$73.83$247.31
1M return-8.10%+3.67%
6M return-17.47%-0.03%
1Y return-40.70%+9.91%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodNFLXAMZN
1Y ago$5.85K (-41.5%)
started 2025-07-14
$10.96K (+9.6%)
started 2025-07-14
5Y ago$13.47K (+34.7%)
started 2021-07-14
$13.43K (+34.3%)
started 2021-07-14
10Y ago$75.32K (+653.2%)
started 2016-07-14
$66.73K (+567.3%)
started 2016-07-14

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricNFLXAMZN
Market cap$308.95B$2.64T
Trailing P/E23.6729.31
Forward P/E19.1024.81
Price/Sales13.153.49
EV/Revenue6.693.68
Analyst target$113.15$312.91
Target upside+54.21%+27.54%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricNFLXAMZN
Revenue growth16.20%16.60%
Earnings growth86.40%74.80%
EPS growth+86.40%+74.80%
FCF margin+55.44%+1.32%
Operating margin32.30%13.14%
Profit margin28.52%12.22%
ROIC proxy48.49%24.29%
Return on equity48.49%24.29%
Dividend yieldN/AN/A
Beta1.521.46
Debt/equity53.7953.30
Current ratio1.411.18
Quick ratio1.180.97
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
NFLX max drawdown91.27%
AMZN max drawdown21.74%
NFLX max wkly drop89.92%
AMZN max wkly drop14.09%
5Y risk snapshot
NFLX max drawdown91.69%
AMZN max drawdown55.77%
NFLX max wkly drop89.92%
AMZN max wkly drop20.35%
10Y risk snapshot
NFLX max drawdown91.69%
AMZN max drawdown56.15%
NFLX max wkly drop89.92%
AMZN max wkly drop20.35%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricNFLXAMZN
1YGrowth-41.50%+9.58%
CAGR-41.63%+9.62%
Sharpe ratio0.840.31
Max drawdown91.27%21.74%
Max daily drop89.81%8.27%
Max wkly drop89.92%14.09%
5YGrowth+34.74%+34.35%
CAGR+6.15%+6.09%
Sharpe ratio0.430.22
Max drawdown91.69%55.77%
Max daily drop89.81%14.05%
Max wkly drop89.92%20.35%
10YGrowth+653.21%+567.32%
CAGR+22.38%+20.91%
Sharpe ratio0.370.61
Max drawdown91.69%56.15%
Max daily drop89.81%14.05%
Max wkly drop89.92%20.35%
Business comparison
CategoryNFLXAMZN
CompanyNetflix, Inc.Amazon.com, Inc.
SectorCommunication ServicesConsumer Cyclical
IndustryEntertainmentInternet Retail
Core businessGlobal streaming platform with 300+ million subscribers across 190+ countries. Netflix earns revenue through monthly subscriptions (standard and ad-supported tiers) and is expanding into live events (boxing, NFL Christmas games) and gaming.AWS cloud, e-commerce, advertising, Prime membership (includes Prime Video), logistics, and Amazon Studios. Prime Video is bundled with Prime membership — most viewers are not paying separately for it.
Investor focusSubscriber growth, average revenue per user (ARM) from password sharing crackdown and ad tier, content spending ROI, operating margin expansion, and live content strategy.AWS margin expansion, Prime Video as a Prime membership retention tool vs standalone streaming, advertising business growth, and AI infrastructure investment.
NFLX strengths
  • Netflix is the global streaming market leader with the broadest international content library and brand recognition
  • Ad-supported tier creates a new revenue stream that monetizes price-sensitive subscribers who would otherwise churn
  • Password sharing crackdown has driven significant subscriber growth and pricing power validation
AMZN strengths
  • Prime Video is bundled with Prime membership — content investment is offset by Prime retention value across all of Amazon's businesses
  • Amazon Studios has produced award-winning originals (The Boys, Rings of Power) and won Thursday Night Football NFL rights
  • Amazon's advertising business growing rapidly with Prime Video ads adding a streaming advertising revenue stream
Risks to watch — NFLX
  • Content spending remains enormous — Netflix must continuously invest to prevent churn and subscriber growth
  • Live sports rights are expensive and Netflix has limited experience as a live sports broadcaster
  • Competition from Disney+, Max, Peacock, and Prime Video all spending heavily on content
Risks to watch — AMZN
  • Prime Video's value to Amazon is primarily as a Prime retention tool — standalone streaming economics are not clearly positive
  • AWS and AI capex competition with Microsoft, Google, and CoreWeave requires enormous ongoing investment
  • Content quality is inconsistent — Amazon Studios has had significant misses alongside its hits
Frequently asked questions
As a streaming business, Netflix is cleaner — its entire model depends on streaming success. Amazon's Prime Video is bundled, so Amazon wins if Prime membership grows regardless of streaming ROI. Netflix is the pure streaming bet; Amazon is a diversified technology investment where streaming is one of many growth drivers.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
NFLX
+2.8%BUY
AMZN
+1.1%HOLD

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