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XPER
Xperi Inc. · Technology - Entertainment IP & Software
$7.94
+4.20% this month
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MSCI
MSCI Inc. · Technology - Financial Data & Analytics
$581.19
+0.61% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
XPER
2
MSCI
2
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUPAI Score
XPER 22.4
MSCI ✓58.4
1Y Return
XPER +2.45%
MSCI ✓+5.95%
Fwd P/E
XPER ✓6.10
MSCI 26.62
Target Up.
XPER ✓+43.58%
MSCI +14.93%
Op. Margin
XPER N/A
MSCI 53.70%
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take
XPER vs MSCI Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
XPER (Xperi) and MSCI are both IP and data licensing businesses but serving completely different markets — Xperi licenses entertainment technology IP (HD Radio in cars, DTS audio in electronics, TiVo for Smart TVs) with royalties tied to consumer electronics production cycles, while MSCI licenses financial indexes and ESG data to institutional investors with revenue tied to asset management industry growth. MSCI is a high-quality financial data institution; Xperi is a consumer electronics IP licensing business in transition.
XPER vs MSCI is entertainment technology IP licensing navigating platform transition (Xperi's automotive audio royalties and TiVo platform evolution in a streaming-disrupted media landscape) versus essential financial data infrastructure with network effects (MSCI's dominant index benchmarks powering the passive investing ecosystem with asset-based fee economics that scale with ETF AUM growth) — transitional IP licensing versus financial data infrastructure with structural tailwinds.
Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026
XPER and MSCI are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly. MSCI has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+5.95% vs +2.45%), though XPER trades at the lower forward P/E (6.10x vs 26.62x). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for XPER (+43.58%) than for MSCI (+14.93%).
Normalized 1Y performance
XPER
MSCI
Recent returns
XPER
MSCI
Analyst price targets & sentiment
XPER · 5 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$9.00
analyst high$13.00
analyst mean$11.40
current price$7.94
+43.6% upside to analyst mean
MSCI
Price target range
analyst mean$688.56
current price$581.19
+14.9% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
XPER may suit investors who:
- →Want smaller-cap entertainment technology IP exposure with HD Radio in virtually all U.S. new vehicles providing a near-permanent automotive royalty stream
- →Value Xperi's DTS audio technology licensing as a stable IP royalty business in consumer electronics and automotive audio
- →See TiVo's smart TV platform evolution as a potential re-rating catalyst if Xperi can successfully transition from legacy DVR associations to modern content discovery software
MSCI may suit investors who:
- →Want the highest-quality financial data infrastructure company whose index dominance creates self-reinforcing network effects — the more ETFs track MSCI indexes, the more institutional investors measure against MSCI benchmarks, the more ETF issuers must license MSCI indexes
- →Value MSCI's asset-based fee economics as a passive exposure to the growth of global institutional asset management — as ETF AUM grows, MSCI's revenue grows without proportional cost increases
- →Prefer MSCI's combination of recurring subscription revenue, asset-based fee upside, and ESG data growth as a durable, high-quality financial data compounding business
Performance & AI score
| Metric | XPER | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 22.4 | 58.4 |
| AI rank | #4130 | #192 |
| Latest close | $7.94 | $581.19 |
| 1M return | +4.20% | +0.61% |
| 6M return | +36.43% | +3.60% |
| 1Y return | +2.45% | +5.95% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | XPER | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.25K (+2.5%) started 2025-06-18 | $10.69K (+6.9%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $3.45K (-65.5%) started 2022-09-20 | $12.26K (+22.6%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | $3.45K (-65.5%) started 2022-09-20 | $94.93K (+849.3%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | XPER | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $383.28M | $43.57B |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | 34.26 |
| Forward P/E | 6.10 | 26.62 |
| Price/Sales | 0.85 | N/A |
| EV/Revenue | 0.84 | 15.38 |
| Analyst target | $11.40 | $688.56 |
| Target upside | +43.58% | +14.93% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | XPER | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 0.20% | 14.10% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | 49.10% |
| EPS growth | N/A | +49.10% |
| FCF margin | +8.41% | +37.23% |
| Operating margin | N/A | 53.70% |
| Profit margin | -10.22% | 40.74% |
| ROIC proxy | -11.08% | N/A |
| Return on equity | -11.08% | N/A |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 1.37% |
| Beta | 0.95 | 1.23 |
| Debt/equity | 16.58 | N/A |
| Current ratio | 2.36 | 0.86 |
| Quick ratio | 2.00 | 0.78 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
XPER max drawdown37.22%
MSCI max drawdown18.07%
XPER max wkly drop23.74%
MSCI max wkly drop11.32%
5Y risk snapshot
XPER max drawdown80.35%
MSCI max drawdown43.74%
XPER max wkly drop42.54%
MSCI max wkly drop16.00%
10Y risk snapshot
XPER max drawdown80.35%
MSCI max drawdown43.74%
XPER max wkly drop42.54%
MSCI max wkly drop18.28%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | XPER | MSCI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +2.45% | +6.89% |
| CAGR | +2.45% | +6.90% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.16 | 0.22 | |
| Max drawdown | 37.22% | 18.07% | |
| Max daily drop | 14.72% | 8.91% | |
| Max wkly drop | 23.74% | 11.32% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -65.48% | +17.50% |
| CAGR | -24.74% | +3.28% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.38 | 0.11 | |
| Max drawdown | 80.35% | 43.74% | |
| Max daily drop | 42.42% | 13.49% | |
| Max wkly drop | 42.54% | 16.00% | |
| 10Y | Growth | -65.48% | +758.45% |
| CAGR | -24.74% | +24.00% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.38 | 0.70 | |
| Max drawdown | 80.35% | 43.74% | |
| Max daily drop | 42.42% | 13.49% | |
| Max wkly drop | 42.54% | 18.28% |
Business comparison
| Category | XPER | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Xperi Inc. | MSCI Inc. |
| Sector | Technology - Entertainment IP & Software | Financial Services |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Xperi is an entertainment technology IP licensing and software company — operating the TiVo consumer media experience platform (Smart TV software, TiVo streaming devices, TiVo+), HD Radio technology (embedded in automotive dashboards), Perceive AI inference chips for edge devices, and DTS audio technology (licensed to electronics manufacturers for spatial audio). Xperi licenses its IP to consumer electronics manufacturers, automakers, and cable operators. | MSCI is a leading provider of financial indexes, analytics, and ESG data — operating the MSCI global equity indexes (used as benchmarks for $14+ trillion in institutional assets), ESG ratings and research (rating corporate sustainability for institutional investors), real estate analytics (IPD/MSCI real estate benchmarks), and factor analytics (Barra risk models). MSCI's products are essential infrastructure for global institutional investment management. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Xperi's licensing revenue (HD Radio automotive royalties, DTS audio licensing), TiVo platform operator and consumer product revenue, and the transition from a patent licensing model toward recurring platform software revenue as Xperi deploys TiVo and DTS in automotive and Smart TV contexts. | Investors track MSCI's subscription revenue growth across Indexes, Analytics, and ESG segments, net new AUM tracked to MSCI indexes (which drives asset-based fees from ETF issuers), organic subscription revenue retention, ESG data revenue growth, and MSCI's pricing power as institutional investors become increasingly dependent on MSCI data for passive investing and sustainability mandates. |
XPER strengths
- →HD Radio embedded in virtually every new car dashboard — Xperi's HD Radio technology is in over 95% of new U.S. vehicle models, generating per-vehicle royalties from auto OEMs; this is a durable recurring royalty stream tied to vehicle production volumes
- →DTS audio spatial audio licensing to consumer electronics — DTS's spatial audio technology (competitor to Dolby) is licensed to AV receiver manufacturers, headphone companies, and content platforms for premium audio experiences
- →TiVo platform for Pay TV operators and Smart TVs — TiVo's DVR legacy has evolved toward a Smart TV platform providing entertainment discovery, content aggregation, and advertising solutions for pay TV operators and consumer electronics manufacturers
MSCI strengths
- →MSCI index dominance creates a network effect moat — the MSCI EM (Emerging Markets), MSCI EAFE, and MSCI ACWI indexes are the dominant benchmarks for institutional equity investing in non-U.S. markets; ETF providers, pension funds, and endowments are built around MSCI benchmarks, creating self-reinforcing demand for MSCI licensing
- →Asset-based fees scale with passive investing growth — ETF issuers (BlackRock iShares, Vanguard, State Street) pay MSCI a basis point fee on the AUM in their MSCI-indexed ETFs; as passive investing grows and ETF AUM rises, MSCI's asset-based fee revenue grows without adding new customers
- →ESG data becoming institutionally mandated — institutional investors, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds increasingly require ESG ratings for their portfolios; MSCI ESG ratings are among the most widely used, creating a durable demand base as ESG integration becomes standard practice
Risks to watch — XPER
- →AM/FM radio listening secular decline affects HD Radio value — as streaming music (Spotify, Apple Music) displaces traditional broadcast radio, the value of superior AM/HD Radio quality diminishes for consumers who use car audio for streaming, not radio
- →TiVo brand faces relevance challenge against Roku, Fire TV, Google TV — TiVo's legacy association with DVR recording is less relevant in the streaming era; rebuilding TiVo as a smart TV platform competes against well-funded streaming platform competitors
- →Licensing model disruption risk — as consumer electronics manufacturers develop more in-house audio and entertainment software, demand for third-party licensed technology from Xperi could decline over time
Risks to watch — MSCI
- →MSCI index fee pressure from competing index providers — S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P Global), FTSE Russell (LSEG), and Bloomberg indexes compete with MSCI; index benchmark switching is rare but happens; competitive fee pressure can compress MSCI's licensing rates
- →Passive investing growth rate moderation — MSCI's asset-based fees benefit from passive investing's growth; if active management regains popularity or ETF AUM growth slows, MSCI's asset-based revenue growth moderates
- →ESG data quality and political controversy — ESG ratings methodologies are contested; different providers give different ratings to the same company; political opposition to ESG investing in the U.S. creates headwinds for ESG data adoption growth
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