NFLX vs CMCSA Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
NFLX and CMCSA sit on opposite sides of the media transition. Netflix is the scaled streaming winner, now growing through price, advertising, and engagement while generating real free cash flow. Comcast owns the broadband pipe and valuable theme parks, producing large cash flow and buybacks, while facing broadband competition and the decline of its traditional networks.
Use this NFLX vs CMCSA comparison to decide between growth and cash return. Netflix is the growth asset, with the question being how much more price and advertising revenue it can extract. Comcast is a cash-return story, where the debate is whether broadband subscriber losses are cyclical competition or a permanent structural shift.
NFLX holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. CMCSA leads on both 1-year return (-30.69%) and forward P/E quality (7.47x vs 21.39x for NFLX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. NFLX leads on both revenue growth (13.40%) and operating margin (33.38%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NFLX (+14.61%) than for CMCSA (+11.17%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want the scaled leader in global streaming
- Believe the advertising tier adds a meaningful second revenue stream
- Value the shift from cash consumption to substantial free cash flow
- Accept high developed market penetration and unpredictable content outcomes
- Want high cash generation, a substantial dividend, and steady buybacks
- Value broadband and theme parks as durable assets
- Are willing to buy a business trading at a modest valuation
- Accept broadband competition and declining cable network economics
| Metric | NFLX | CMCSA |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 57.5 | 27.6 |
| AI ranki | #186 | #2330 |
| Latest closei | $71.15 | $21.91 |
| 1M returni | -12.66% | -19.45% |
| 6M returni | -23.85% | -22.66% |
| 1Y returni | -40.90% | -30.69% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | NFLX | CMCSA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $5.89K (-41.1%) started 2025-09-25 | $6.93K (-30.7%) started 2025-09-25 |
| 5Y ago | $12.01K (+20.1%) started 2021-09-27 | $4.84K (-51.6%) started 2021-09-27 |
| 10Y ago | $75.24K (+652.4%) started 2016-09-26 | $10.22K (+2.2%) started 2016-09-26 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | NFLX | CMCSA |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $340.28B | $96.03B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 25.70 | 8.67 |
| Forward P/Ei | 21.39 | 7.47 |
| Price/Salesi | 13.15 | 1.05 |
| EV/Revenuei | 7.19 | 1.43 |
| Analyst targeti | $93.66 | $30.08 |
| Target upsidei | +14.61% | +11.17% |
| Metric | NFLX | CMCSA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 13.40% | -1.20% |
| Earnings growthi | 11.10% | -66.80% |
| EPS growthi | +11.10% | -66.80% |
| FCF margini | +52.49% | +10.17% |
| Operating margini | 33.38% | 17.23% |
| Profit margini | 28.22% | 8.97% |
| ROIC proxyi | 49.54% | 11.49% |
| Return on equityi | 49.54% | 11.49% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 4.88% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 42.31% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.51 | 0.65 |
| Debt/equityi | 55.24 | 100.47 |
| Current ratioi | 1.14 | 0.80 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.92 | 0.65 |
Over the past year, NFLX and CMCSA have moved barely in the same direction (correlation of 0.02), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | NFLX | CMCSA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -41.11% | -30.71% |
| CAGRi | -41.16% | -30.74% | |
| Volatilityi | 1285.63% | 32.59% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.23 | -1.10 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 12.15 | -1.39 | |
| Max drawdowni | 91.04% | 32.54% | |
| Current drawdowni | 42.68% | 32.54% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 27.92% | 15.15% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 31.03% | 17.53% | |
| Max daily dropi | 90.03% | 12.90% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 89.92% | 14.54% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +20.06% | -56.70% |
| CAGRi | +3.73% | -15.43% | |
| Volatilityi | 577.95% | 27.76% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.58 | -0.63 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 5.15 | -0.82 | |
| Max drawdowni | 91.69% | 57.73% | |
| Current drawdowni | 46.87% | 57.73% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 30.00% | 30.19% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 37.59% | 32.44% | |
| Max daily dropi | 90.03% | 12.90% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 89.92% | 14.54% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +652.43% | -18.36% |
| CAGRi | +22.37% | -2.01% | |
| Volatilityi | 409.31% | 27.03% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.46 | -0.11 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 3.80 | -0.14 | |
| Max drawdowni | 91.69% | 60.53% | |
| Current drawdowni | 46.87% | 60.53% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 20.48% | 21.23% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 28.48% | 26.90% | |
| Max daily dropi | 90.03% | 12.90% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 89.92% | 15.15% |
| Category | NFLX | CMCSA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Netflix, Inc. | Comcast Corporation |
| Sector | Communication Services | Communication Services |
| Industry | Entertainment | Telecom Services |
| Core business | Global subscription streaming service producing and licensing film and series content, with a growing advertising-supported tier, live event programming, and games. | Diversified media and connectivity company operating residential and business broadband, wireless resale, the NBCUniversal studios and networks, the Peacock streaming service, and theme parks including recently expanded US capacity. |
| Investor focus | Revenue growth by region, advertising tier scale and pricing, engagement, content spending efficiency, operating margin, and free cash flow. | Broadband subscriber trends and average revenue per user, wireless growth, Peacock losses narrowing, theme park attendance and margins, and buybacks. |
- Largest global streaming subscriber base with content spending scale rivals struggle to match
- Advertising tier opens a lower price point and a second revenue stream from the same content
- Now generates substantial free cash flow rather than consuming it
- Broadband generates high-margin recurring cash flow from an existing network
- Theme parks provide a valuable asset base with pricing power, recently expanded
- Strong cash generation funds a substantial dividend and continuous buybacks
- Developed market penetration is high, so growth increasingly relies on price and advertising rather than new subscribers
- Content is a continuous expense, with hits difficult to predict
- Competes against deep-pocketed technology platforms for both content and attention
- Broadband subscriber losses to fixed wireless and fibre competitors are the central concern
- Traditional cable networks face structural decline as viewers cut the cord
- Peacock competes at a scale disadvantage against larger streaming services
Compare more than two at a time
This page is a fixed writeup on NFLX and CMCSA. Our comparison engine is the interactive version: load up to five tickers, switch timeframes, and get the correlation, drawdown, and overlap analysis that a static page can't show.
Add three more names beside NFLX and CMCSA, mixing stocks and ETFs in the same table — useful when the real question is which of a whole peer group to own.
AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.
Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.
A scatter plot of forward P/E against return on equity, plus drawdown and 30-day rolling volatility charts, to separate what is cheap from what is merely beaten down.
For ETFs, a top-holdings comparison that exposes hidden overlap between funds. Every comparison exports to CSV for your own spreadsheet work.
Two comparisons a week are free without an account. A 14-day trial removes the limit and adds AI price forecasts, stock rankings, saved watchlists, and the intrinsic value calculator — no credit card required.
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.
Full valuation workup with AI Score, Monte Carlo forecast, and bull/bear case — free preview, premium data from $3.99.