CNH vs AGCO Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
CNH (CNH Industrial) and AGCO are both major agricultural machinery manufacturers navigating the same farm equipment downcycle after 2021-2023 highs — CNH has dual agricultural brands (Case IH and New Holland) plus construction equipment, while AGCO is a pure-play agricultural equipment company with the premium Fendt brand as its jewel. CNH offers diversification; AGCO offers pure agricultural equipment purity with premium brand positioning.
CNH vs AGCO is multi-brand agricultural plus construction diversification (CNH's Case IH, New Holland Agriculture, and CASE Construction covering the full equipment spectrum) versus pure-play agricultural premium brand focus (AGCO's Fendt-led pure farm equipment portfolio with Precision Planting technology growth) — breadth versus focus within the agricultural machinery cycle.
AGCO holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. CNH has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+16.70% vs -0.76%), though AGCO has the better forward P/E setup (16.25x vs 19.36x for CNH). On fundamentals, CNH is growing revenue faster (2.00%), while AGCO maintains the higher operating margin (5.73%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +1.28% for CNH and +2.78% for AGCO.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want agricultural equipment exposure with partial construction equipment diversification — CNH's CASE Construction provides some counter-cyclical revenue when farm capex softens
- Value CNH's North American large row-crop equipment strength through Case IH, which shares a duopoly with John Deere in large combine harvesters and planters
- See the Iveco separation as simplifying CNH into a more focused agriculture-and-construction equipment company with clearer capital allocation priorities
- Want pure-play agricultural equipment exposure with the Fendt premium brand as a unique quality differentiation in the European tractor market and a growing premium tractor position in North America
- Value AGCO's Precision Planting platform as a technology growth layer above traditional equipment cycles — recurring software and sensing revenue as farmers adopt precision planting technology
- Believe in agricultural equipment's secular growth from food security, farm productivity improvement, and global population growth as a long-term demand driver regardless of near-term farm income cycles
| Metric | CNH | AGCO |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.6 | 36.3 |
| AI ranki | #926 | #1286 |
| Latest closei | $11.95 | $106.20 |
| 1M returni | -14.64% | -14.21% |
| 3M returni | +12.74% | -7.93% |
| 6M returni | +14.79% | -7.88% |
| 1Y returni | +16.70% | -0.76% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CNH | AGCO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.44K (+14.4%) started 2025-10-16 | $9.75K (-2.5%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $7.16K (-28.4%) started 2021-10-18 | $8.43K (-15.7%) started 2021-10-18 |
| 10Y ago | $15.95K (+59.5%) started 2016-10-17 | $20.67K (+106.7%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CNH | AGCO |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $21.36B | $8.48B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 53.14 | 16.75 |
| Forward P/Ei | 19.36 | 16.25 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.23 | 1.07 |
| Analyst targeti | $13.46 | $124.47 |
| Target upsidei | +1.28% | +2.78% |
| Metric | CNH | AGCO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 2.00% | -1.00% |
| Earnings growthi | -35.30% | -74.40% |
| EPS growthi | -35.30% | -74.40% |
| FCF margini | +3.11% | +4.35% |
| Operating margini | 5.54% | 5.73% |
| Profit margini | 1.71% | 5.15% |
| ROIC proxyi | 3.91% | 11.83% |
| Return on equityi | 3.91% | 11.83% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.80% | 0.99% |
| Payout ratioi | 40.00% | 16.18% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 1.22 | 1.09 |
| Debt/equityi | 335.04 | 66.05 |
| Current ratioi | 4.88 | 1.32 |
| Quick ratioi | 3.95 | 0.45 |
Over the past year, CNH and AGCO have moved strongly in the same direction (correlation of 0.78), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CNH | AGCO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +14.35% | -2.50% |
| CAGRi | +14.38% | -2.50% | |
| Volatilityi | 42.87% | 36.15% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.42 | -0.01 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.66 | -0.02 | |
| Max drawdowni | 24.75% | 29.92% | |
| Current drawdowni | 17.01% | 24.41% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.39% | 12.43% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 14.37% | 14.98% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.40% | 7.78% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 15.44% | 15.72% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -28.40% | -15.74% |
| CAGRi | -6.47% | -3.37% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.38% | 35.86% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.11 | -0.04 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.16 | -0.06 | |
| Max drawdowni | 53.03% | 49.03% | |
| Current drawdowni | 39.12% | 28.56% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 35.12% | 22.55% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 36.99% | 24.67% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.84% | 11.23% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 17.17% | 18.37% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +59.55% | +106.70% |
| CAGRi | +4.78% | +7.53% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.16% | 35.49% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.19 | 0.26 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.27 | 0.37 | |
| Max drawdowni | 66.90% | 54.18% | |
| Current drawdowni | 39.12% | 32.18% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 28.81% | 19.19% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 33.27% | 22.89% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.95% | 18.78% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 29.30% | 34.24% |
| Category | CNH | AGCO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | CNH Industrial N.V. | AGCO Corporation |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery |
| Core business | CNH Industrial is a global agricultural and construction equipment manufacturer — owning Case IH and New Holland Agriculture (tractors, combines, planters) for farming, CASE Construction Equipment and New Holland Construction (excavators, wheel loaders) for construction, and financial services for equipment financing. CNH is separating its Iveco truck/bus business to become more focused on agriculture and construction. | AGCO Corporation is a pure-play agricultural equipment manufacturer — owning Fendt (premium German tractors), Massey Ferguson (global economy to mid-range tractors and combines), Challenger (rubber-tracked tractors for large farms), and Valtra (Scandinavian specialty tractors). AGCO also acquired Precision Planting to expand its precision agriculture technology business. |
| Investor focus | Investors track CNH's agricultural equipment revenue (the largest segment), market share in large row-crop equipment (combines, large tractors), precision agriculture technology investment, construction equipment cycle, Iveco separation impact on the remaining business, and the CNH financial services portfolio. | Investors track AGCO's revenue by brand and region, Fendt market share in Europe (the premium market where AGCO is strongest), Precision Planting technology growth, dealer inventory levels, and the agricultural equipment cycle as farm income normalizes from its 2021-2023 highs. |
- Brand portfolio diversity — Case IH serves the North American row-crop farmer market while New Holland serves European and emerging market farmers; two major brands give CNH coverage across different customer loyalty groups
- Construction equipment diversification — the CASE Construction segment provides partial counter-cyclicality to agricultural equipment; construction spending and farm capex cycles don't always coincide
- Scale in North American large row-crop equipment — combine harvesters and large planters are a duopoly (Deere and CNH's Case IH), giving Case IH significant pricing power in North American grain farming
- Fendt premium brand positioning — Fendt is consistently ranked as the highest-quality tractor brand in Europe and has been gaining share in North American high-horsepower tractor market; premium brand commands pricing power and loyal customers
- Pure-play agricultural focus — unlike CNH's construction equipment exposure, AGCO is 100% agricultural equipment, simplifying strategy and allowing capital allocation entirely around farm equipment cycles
- Precision Planting technology platform — the 2021 acquisition of Precision Planting (planter attachments, connectivity, agronomic data tools) provides a growing technology services revenue stream alongside traditional equipment sales
- Agricultural equipment downcycle — after record high farm income in 2021-2023, equipment demand is normalizing downward; CNH faces order slowdown and dealer inventory buildup that will pressure volumes and pricing
- Two-brand complexity — maintaining separate engineering, manufacturing, and dealer networks for Case IH and New Holland creates higher fixed costs than a single-brand strategy
- Technology investment requirements — precision agriculture, autonomous machinery, and electrification require massive R&D investment that smaller CNH-scale competitors may not be able to fund
- Fendt concentration in Europe creates exposure to European agricultural policy, currency (EUR/USD), and agricultural conditions that may differ from North American cycles
- No construction equipment diversification — AGCO has no alternative revenue stream when agricultural equipment demand declines, unlike CNH's partial construction offset
- North American market position — AGCO competes against Deere and CNH in North America from a smaller market share position; building North American market share requires significant dealer network development investment
Compare more than two at a time
This page is a fixed writeup on CNH and AGCO. Our comparison engine is the interactive version: load up to five tickers, switch timeframes, and get the correlation, drawdown, and overlap analysis that a static page can't show.
Add three more names beside CNH and AGCO, mixing stocks and ETFs in the same table — useful when the real question is which of a whole peer group to own.
AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.
Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.
A scatter plot of forward P/E against return on equity, plus drawdown and 30-day rolling volatility charts, to separate what is cheap from what is merely beaten down.
For ETFs, a top-holdings comparison that exposes hidden overlap between funds. Every comparison exports to CSV for your own spreadsheet work.
Two comparisons a week are free without an account. A 14-day trial removes the limit and adds AI price forecasts, stock rankings, saved watchlists, and the intrinsic value calculator — no credit card required.
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.