GOOS vs RL Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Canada Goose and Ralph Lauren both trade on premium brand positioning, but Canada Goose concentrates its identity around a narrow, high-margin outerwear category with strong seasonality, while Ralph Lauren spans a much broader, diversified lifestyle apparel portfolio built over decades.
Canada Goose offers a concentrated bet on aspirational outerwear demand and China growth potential, while Ralph Lauren offers a diversified, more seasoned lifestyle brand with broader category exposure. Consider whether you prefer Canada Goose's niche upside or Ralph Lauren's diversified brand stability.
RL holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. RL has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+6.73% vs -46.14%), though GOOS has the better forward P/E setup (9.97x vs 16.93x for RL). RL leads on both revenue growth (14.00%) and operating margin (18.39%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for RL (+26.17%) than for GOOS (+15.61%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Believe in continued demand for premium performance outerwear among aspirational luxury consumers
- See upside in Canada Goose's efforts to expand into new product categories and reduce seasonal concentration
- Are comfortable with China market exposure as a key growth and risk driver for the brand
- Want a smaller, more concentrated bet on a single premium apparel niche rather than a diversified portfolio
- Prefer a diversified, globally recognized lifestyle brand spanning apparel, accessories, and home categories
- Value Ralph Lauren's long track record of disciplined brand elevation and full-price selling
- Believe continued direct-to-consumer and Asian expansion will support durable brand growth
- Want a heritage brand with lower reliance on any single seasonal product category
| Metric | GOOS | RL |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 24.1 | 53.4 |
| AI ranki | #3429 | #342 |
| Latest closei | $7.46 | $335.10 |
| 1M returni | -14.94% | -11.34% |
| 6M returni | -30.80% | -1.50% |
| 1Y returni | -46.14% | +6.73% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | GOOS | RL |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $5.39K (-46.1%) started 2025-09-18 | $10.67K (+6.7%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $2.05K (-79.5%) started 2021-09-20 | $36.01K (+260.1%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $4.64K (-53.6%) started 2017-03-16 | $48.88K (+388.8%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | GOOS | RL |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $801.79M | $21.09B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 19.55 | 22.17 |
| Forward P/Ei | 9.97 | 16.93 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 0.93 | 2.65 |
| Analyst targeti | $9.49 | $446.71 |
| Target upsidei | +15.61% | +26.17% |
| Metric | GOOS | RL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 10.30% | 14.00% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | 21.60% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | +21.60% |
| FCF margini | +9.25% | +10.53% |
| Operating margini | -87.30% | 18.39% |
| Profit margini | 3.70% | 11.76% |
| ROIC proxyi | 12.18% | 37.54% |
| Return on equityi | 12.18% | 37.54% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 1.13% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 23.55% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.77 | 1.37 |
| Debt/equityi | 153.40 | 110.37 |
| Current ratioi | 2.33 | 2.04 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.87 | 1.32 |
Over the past year, GOOS and RL have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.45), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | GOOS | RL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -46.14% | +6.73% |
| CAGRi | -46.16% | +6.73% | |
| Volatilityi | 44.14% | 34.79% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.28 | 0.23 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.54 | 0.36 | |
| Max drawdowni | 49.28% | 19.59% | |
| Current drawdowni | 48.94% | 19.11% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.37% | 5.70% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 25.98% | 7.63% | |
| Max daily dropi | 19.44% | 5.19% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 19.71% | 10.89% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -79.51% | +229.05% |
| CAGRi | -27.20% | +26.93% | |
| Volatilityi | 52.84% | 37.00% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.42 | 0.71 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.59 | 1.05 | |
| Max drawdowni | 87.04% | 36.51% | |
| Current drawdowni | 85.95% | 19.11% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 69.08% | 9.86% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 71.22% | 13.35% | |
| Max daily dropi | 23.69% | 16.27% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.66% | 22.86% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -53.61% | +301.67% |
| CAGRi | -7.76% | +14.92% | |
| Volatilityi | 54.39% | 38.65% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.04 | 0.44 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.06 | 0.64 | |
| Max drawdowni | 90.18% | 55.14% | |
| Current drawdowni | 89.35% | 19.11% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 56.05% | 16.10% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 62.61% | 20.67% | |
| Max daily dropi | 30.86% | 16.27% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 33.24% | 26.36% |
| Category | GOOS | RL |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Canada Goose Holdings Inc. | Ralph Lauren Corporation |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Apparel Manufacturing | Apparel Manufacturing |
| Core business | A premium outerwear company designing, manufacturing, and marketing performance luxury parkas and jackets, along with an expanding range of apparel, sold through wholesale, direct-to-consumer, and international retail channels. | A global lifestyle apparel company designing and marketing apparel, accessories, and home products under the Ralph Lauren and Polo brand names, distributed through wholesale, direct-to-consumer, and international channels. |
| Investor focus | Growth in Asian markets including China, direct-to-consumer channel expansion, and success diversifying the product range beyond cold-weather outerwear. | Direct-to-consumer channel growth, international expansion particularly in Asia, and the brand elevation strategy supporting premium pricing across categories. |
- Strong brand heritage built around authentic performance credentials in extreme cold-weather protection
- Premium pricing power supported by manufacturing quality and a scarcity-oriented brand positioning
- Expansion into adjacent categories and warmer-weather products offers a path to reduce seasonal revenue concentration
- Decades-long brand heritage with globally recognized Ralph Lauren and Polo identity across generations of consumers
- Diversified product categories spanning apparel, accessories, and home goods reduce reliance on any single item type
- Brand elevation efforts have supported reduced promotional activity and improved full-price selling over time
- Revenue remains heavily concentrated in cold-weather months, creating seasonal demand and inventory management risk
- Growth ambitions in China carry exposure to shifting Chinese luxury consumer sentiment and macroeconomic conditions
- Relatively niche product category makes the brand more exposed to shifts in aspirational discretionary spending than diversified apparel peers
- Maintaining premium brand positioning requires ongoing discipline around distribution and discounting practices
- Faces competition from both legacy heritage apparel brands and newer aspirational lifestyle labels
- International revenue exposure introduces currency translation effects and regional consumer demand variability
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