NEE vs PCG Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
NextEra Energy and PG&E are both large US electric utilities, but NextEra combines a stable, well-regarded Florida utility with a leading renewable energy development platform, while PG&E operates a California utility working through an ongoing operational and financial turnaround following past wildfire liability issues.
NextEra Energy offers exposure to a well-established, growth-oriented utility and renewable energy platform, while PG&E offers a higher-risk, potentially higher-reward turnaround bet tied to successful wildfire mitigation and regulatory rebuilding in California. Consider whether you prefer NextEra's established stability and growth or PG&E's turnaround potential and elevated risk.
NEE holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. NEE has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-0.89% vs -23.82%), though PCG has the better forward P/E setup (7.39x vs 18.65x for NEE). NEE leads on both revenue growth (12.40%) and operating margin (31.52%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for PCG (+55.90%) than for NEE (+20.22%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a stable, well-established regulated utility combined with renewable energy growth
- Prefer a long track record of consistent dividend growth over turnaround uncertainty
- Believe long-term clean energy demand growth supports continued renewable expansion
- Are seeking lower operational and regulatory risk than a utility still in turnaround mode
- Are comfortable with elevated risk in exchange for turnaround upside potential
- Believe ongoing wildfire mitigation and grid hardening investments can restore long-term stability
- See a large, essential California customer base as a durable long-term rate base growth opportunity
- Are willing to monitor regulatory rate case outcomes and residual wildfire liability risk closely
| Metric | NEE | PCG |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 51.3 | 27.2 |
| AI ranki | #436 | #2381 |
| Latest closei | $82.10 | $12.63 |
| 1M returni | +6.60% | +1.77% |
| 3M returni | -8.55% | -29.24% |
| 6M returni | -13.83% | -23.96% |
| 1Y returni | -0.89% | -23.82% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | NEE | PCG |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.86K (-1.4%) started 2025-10-23 | $7.75K (-22.5%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $11.71K (+17.1%) started 2021-10-25 | $10.94K (+9.4%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $41.24K (+312.4%) started 2016-10-24 | $2.24K (-77.6%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | NEE | PCG |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $170.72B | $29.36B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 18.39 | 9.59 |
| Forward P/Ei | 18.65 | 7.39 |
| Price/Salesi | 5.88 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 10.07 | 3.74 |
| Analyst targeti | $98.39 | $20.78 |
| Target upsidei | +20.22% | +55.90% |
| Metric | NEE | PCG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 12.40% | 0.10% |
| Earnings growthi | 53.10% | 39.80% |
| EPS growthi | +53.10% | +39.80% |
| FCF margini | -61.91% | -23.80% |
| Operating margini | 31.52% | 24.79% |
| Profit margini | 32.40% | 11.83% |
| ROIC proxyi | 11.68% | 9.32% |
| Return on equityi | 11.68% | 9.32% |
| Dividend yieldi | 3.05% | 1.42% |
| Payout ratioi | 43.89% | 14.81% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.65 | 0.28 |
| Debt/equityi | 161.68 | 189.45 |
| Current ratioi | 0.53 | 1.22 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.35 | 0.52 |
Over the past year, NEE and PCG have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.33), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | NEE | PCG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -1.38% | -22.52% |
| CAGRi | -1.38% | -22.54% | |
| Volatilityi | 21.20% | 34.67% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.17 | -0.69 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.24 | -0.83 | |
| Max drawdowni | 22.87% | 37.47% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.12% | 33.91% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.97% | 11.42% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 10.12% | 14.91% | |
| Max daily dropi | 4.63% | 20.06% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 6.96% | 26.84% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +6.60% | +8.86% |
| CAGRi | +1.29% | +1.71% | |
| Volatilityi | 26.89% | 29.25% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.02 | 0.05 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.02 | 0.07 | |
| Max drawdowni | 44.97% | 44.60% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.12% | 41.45% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 15.05% | 12.87% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.84% | 17.08% | |
| Max daily dropi | 8.97% | 20.06% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.71% | 26.84% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +226.24% | -78.36% |
| CAGRi | +12.56% | -14.20% | |
| Volatilityi | 25.48% | 60.14% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.42 | -0.02 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.59 | -0.04 | |
| Max drawdowni | 44.97% | 94.65% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.12% | 82.12% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 9.58% | 66.91% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.46% | 71.75% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.42% | 52.36% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 24.36% | 64.19% |
| Category | NEE | PCG |
|---|---|---|
| Company | NextEra Energy, Inc. | PG&E Corporation |
| Sector | Utilities | Utilities |
| Industry | Utilities - Regulated Electric | Utilities - Regulated Electric |
| Core business | A large electric utility holding company operating a regulated Florida utility alongside one of the largest renewable energy generation portfolios in the world, combining stable regulated returns with growth from wind, solar, and battery storage development. | A regulated electric and natural gas utility serving Northern and Central California, working through an ongoing operational and safety turnaround following past wildfire liability issues, while investing in grid hardening and modernization. |
| Investor focus | Renewable energy capacity addition growth, regulated Florida utility rate base expansion, and dividend growth track record supported by both segments. | Progress on wildfire mitigation and grid hardening investments, regulatory rate case outcomes, and the company's path toward restored financial and dividend stability. |
- Combines a stable, regulated Florida utility business with one of the largest renewable energy development platforms globally
- Long track record of consistent dividend growth reflects durable earnings growth across both regulated and renewable segments
- Scale and experience in wind, solar, and battery storage development position it well to benefit from long-term clean energy demand growth
- Serves a large, essential customer base across Northern and Central California with significant embedded rate base growth potential
- Ongoing grid hardening and wildfire mitigation investments are supported by regulatory rate case mechanisms that allow cost recovery
- Turnaround progress and improved safety practices have gradually rebuilt regulatory and investor confidence over time
- Renewable energy development projects carry execution risk tied to permitting, interconnection, and supply chain timelines
- Higher interest rates raise financing costs for capital-intensive renewable energy and utility infrastructure investment
- Valuation has historically reflected a premium for its renewable growth platform, leaving less room for error if growth slows
- Past wildfire liability issues created significant financial strain and continue to carry residual legal and reputational risk
- California's wildfire risk environment requires sustained, costly grid hardening investment with no guarantee against future incidents
- Regulatory relationships and rate case outcomes remain critical and carry more uncertainty than in more stable regulatory jurisdictions
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