EXC vs PEG Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Exelon and PSEG both operate in the Northeast utility market, but Exelon is now a pure-play regulated distribution utility following its nuclear generation spinoff, while PSEG combines a regulated New Jersey utility with its own nuclear generation business, giving it more direct power price leverage.
EXC offers a simplified, pure-play regulated distribution utility model, while PEG offers a blend of regulated utility stability and nuclear generation upside. The decision depends on whether you prefer earnings simplicity or additional leverage to power prices through nuclear generation.
EXC holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. EXC leads on both 1-year return (-7.65%) and forward P/E quality (14.46x vs 15.66x for PEG), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, EXC is growing revenue faster (9.90%), while PEG maintains the higher operating margin (18.87%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for PEG (+16.78%) than for EXC (+11.27%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Prefer a simplified, pure-play regulated distribution utility model
- Value the stability of serving several major Mid-Atlantic and Midwest metropolitan areas
- Believe data center load growth in its territories supports rate base investment opportunities
- Want a utility investment thesis less complicated by generation asset exposure
- Want a blend of regulated utility stability and nuclear generation power price leverage
- Believe nuclear power's baseload reliability appeals to data center power demand
- Value a long-standing, concentrated regulatory relationship in New Jersey
- Are comfortable with the added earnings variability that comes with owning nuclear generation assets
| Metric | EXC | PEG |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 51.1 | 40.9 |
| AI ranki | #933 | #1079 |
| Latest closei | $44.43 | $72.02 |
| 1M returni | +9.19% | +7.00% |
| 3M returni | -6.52% | -9.76% |
| 6M returni | -5.31% | -10.80% |
| 1Y returni | -7.65% | -14.05% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | EXC | PEG |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.33K (-6.7%) started 2025-10-23 | $8.71K (-12.9%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $15.89K (+58.9%) started 2021-10-25 | $14.37K (+43.7%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $37.08K (+270.8%) started 2016-10-24 | $33.17K (+231.7%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | EXC | PEG |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $45.26B | $36.48B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 16.15 | 18.21 |
| Forward P/Ei | 14.46 | 15.66 |
| Price/Salesi | 1.82 | 3.72 |
| EV/Revenuei | 3.80 | 4.86 |
| Analyst targeti | $48.88 | $85.47 |
| Target upsidei | +11.27% | +16.78% |
| Metric | EXC | PEG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 9.90% | -8.90% |
| Earnings growthi | -0.20% | -42.70% |
| EPS growthi | -0.20% | -42.70% |
| FCF margini | -10.60% | +0.86% |
| Operating margini | 16.59% | 18.87% |
| Profit margini | 10.99% | 16.04% |
| ROIC proxyi | 9.71% | 11.83% |
| Return on equityi | 9.71% | 11.83% |
| Dividend yieldi | 3.82% | 3.66% |
| Payout ratioi | 60.29% | 64.68% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| Debt/equityi | 177.36 | 142.41 |
| Current ratioi | 1.09 | 0.88 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.72 | 0.49 |
Over the past year, EXC and PEG have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.61), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | EXC | PEG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -6.66% | -12.95% |
| CAGRi | -6.67% | -12.96% | |
| Volatilityi | 20.10% | 18.87% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.47 | -0.88 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.66 | -1.17 | |
| Max drawdowni | 20.06% | 23.45% | |
| Current drawdowni | 11.65% | 17.17% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 8.14% | 8.28% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 9.38% | 10.10% | |
| Max daily dropi | 3.27% | 4.03% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 7.02% | 6.23% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +37.91% | +26.81% |
| CAGRi | +6.65% | +4.87% | |
| Volatilityi | 20.98% | 20.60% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.20 | 0.12 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.28 | 0.16 | |
| Max drawdowni | 29.05% | 28.52% | |
| Current drawdowni | 11.65% | 22.66% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.75% | 11.01% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.85% | 12.81% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.56% | 6.77% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 15.10% | 11.02% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +159.36% | +136.38% |
| CAGRi | +10.00% | +8.99% | |
| Volatilityi | 23.98% | 21.98% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.33 | 0.30 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.47 | 0.42 | |
| Max drawdowni | 40.04% | 40.78% | |
| Current drawdowni | 11.65% | 22.66% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 9.55% | 7.92% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 12.43% | 10.55% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.09% | 11.19% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.20% | 21.52% |
| Category | EXC | PEG |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Exelon Corporation | Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated |
| Sector | Utilities | Utilities |
| Industry | Utilities - Regulated Electric | Utilities - Regulated Electric |
| Core business | A regulated electric and natural gas utility holding company operating multiple distribution utilities across the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest United States, following the separation of its competitive nuclear generation business. | A diversified energy holding company operating a regulated New Jersey electric and gas utility alongside a nuclear generation business, positioning it with both stable regulated earnings and nuclear power price leverage. |
| Investor focus | Regulated rate base growth across its distribution utility subsidiaries, data center load growth capture in its service territories, and regulatory relationship quality across multiple state jurisdictions. | Nuclear fleet capacity factor and power price realization, regulated New Jersey utility rate base growth, and data center power demand contracting potential. |
- Focus on pure-play regulated distribution utility operations following its generation business separation simplifies the investment thesis
- Service territories spanning several major Mid-Atlantic and Midwest metropolitan areas provide a stable, diversified customer base
- Growing data center and large commercial load demand in its territories supports rate base investment opportunities
- Combination of regulated utility operations and nuclear generation provides both earnings stability and leverage to power price trends
- Concentrated New Jersey service territory provides a stable regulatory relationship built over a long operating history
- Nuclear generation capacity offers potential for long-term power purchase agreements with data center and large commercial customers
- Operating across multiple state regulatory jurisdictions requires navigating varied rate case outcomes and political dynamics
- Focus on regulated distribution alone provides less diversification than utilities with generation or renewable business segments
- Aging infrastructure across some service territories requires sustained capital investment to maintain reliability
- Nuclear generation earnings carry more exposure to wholesale power price volatility than fully regulated distribution utility earnings
- Concentrated New Jersey service territory provides less geographic diversification than multi-state utility peers
- Nuclear plant operations carry unique regulatory, safety, and maintenance complexity relative to conventional generation
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