Last updated:
LIVE
SPCX
SpaceX · Aerospace & Defense
$136.97
+18.84% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
LUNR
Intuitive Machines, Inc. · Aerospace & Defense
$18.32
+30.02% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
SPCX
2
LUNR
1
Comparison scoreboard
SPCX LEADS 2/5AI Score
SPCX N/A
LUNR 35.8
1Y Return
SPCX N/A
LUNR +112.04%
Fwd P/E
SPCX ✓85.53
LUNR -114.50
Target Up.
SPCX +57.94%
LUNR ✓+59.66%
Op. Margin
SPCX ✓-1.80%
LUNR -18.10%
Metrics last refreshed: 8/23/2026
Quick take
SPCX vs LUNR Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
SpaceX is a large, diversified space infrastructure leader spanning launch and satellite broadband, while Intuitive Machines is a much smaller, specialized company focused on lunar landers and NASA-backed exploration missions.
Investors comparing SpaceX and Intuitive Machines are weighing a scaled, diversified space company against a niche, higher-risk lunar services provider dependent on a concentrated set of government contracts.
Live analysis · updated 8/23/2026
SPCX holds the edge across 2 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. On fundamentals, LUNR is growing revenue faster (309.80%), while SPCX maintains the higher operating margin (-1.80%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +57.94% for SPCX and +59.66% for LUNR.
Normalized 1Y performance
SPCX
LUNR
Recent returns
SPCX
LUNR
Analyst price targets & sentiment
SPCX · 18 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.7/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$75.00
analyst high$450.00
analyst mean$216.33
current price$136.97
+57.9% upside to analyst mean
LUNR · 8 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Strong Buy (1.3/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$11.00
analyst high$43.00
analyst mean$29.25
current price$18.32
+59.7% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
SPCX may suit investors who:
- Want broad exposure to launch services and satellite internet growth
- Value a company with an established operating history in space technology
- Are comfortable evaluating a recently public company with limited trading history
- Seek exposure to reusable rocket and constellation technology leadership
LUNR may suit investors who:
- Want targeted exposure to lunar exploration and NASA-backed programs
- Are comfortable with a small-cap company dependent on concentrated contracts
- Can tolerate high mission execution and technical risk
- Are looking for a speculative, niche space services investment
Performance & AI score
| Metric | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | N/A | 35.8 |
| AI rank | N/A | #1578 |
| Latest close | $136.97 | $18.32 |
| 1M return | +18.84% | +30.02% |
| 6M return | N/A | +0.71% |
| 1Y return | N/A | +112.04% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.51K (-14.9%) started 2026-06-12 | $21.2K (+112.0%) started 2025-08-21 |
| 5Y ago | $8.51K (-14.9%) started 2026-06-12 | $18.98K (+89.8%) started 2021-11-17 |
| 10Y ago | $8.51K (-14.9%) started 2026-06-12 | $18.98K (+89.8%) started 2021-11-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $1.81T | $2.94B |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | N/A |
| Forward P/E | 85.53 | -114.50 |
| Price/Sales | 78.35 | 6.00 |
| EV/Revenue | 154.08 | 9.16 |
| Analyst target | $216.33 | $29.25 |
| Target upside | +57.94% | +59.66% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 91.90% | 309.80% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growth | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margin | N/A | -16.32% |
| Operating margin | -1.80% | -18.10% |
| Profit margin | -35.66% | -26.64% |
| ROIC proxy | N/A | -30.77% |
| Return on equity | N/A | -30.77% |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Beta | 6.49 | 1.83 |
| Debt/equity | 31.21 | 52.82 |
| Current ratio | 5.12 | 1.66 |
| Quick ratio | 4.95 | 1.34 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
SPCX max drawdown48.78%
LUNR max drawdown75.08%
SPCX max wkly drop26.89%
LUNR max wkly drop33.01%
5Y risk snapshot
SPCX max drawdown48.78%
LUNR max drawdown97.43%
SPCX max wkly drop26.89%
LUNR max wkly drop76.48%
10Y risk snapshot
SPCX max drawdown48.78%
LUNR max drawdown97.43%
SPCX max wkly drop26.89%
LUNR max wkly drop76.48%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -14.90% | +112.04% |
| CAGR | -56.91% | +112.15% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.36 | 1.18 | |
| Max drawdown | 48.78% | 75.08% | |
| Max daily drop | 16.43% | 15.93% | |
| Max wkly drop | 26.89% | 33.01% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -14.90% | +89.84% |
| CAGR | -56.91% | +14.42% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.36 | 0.65 | |
| Max drawdown | 48.78% | 97.43% | |
| Max daily drop | 16.43% | 75.24% | |
| Max wkly drop | 26.89% | 76.48% | |
| 10Y | Growth | -14.90% | +89.84% |
| CAGR | -56.91% | +14.42% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.36 | 0.65 | |
| Max drawdown | 48.78% | 97.43% | |
| Max daily drop | 16.43% | 75.24% | |
| Max wkly drop | 26.89% | 76.48% |
Business comparison
| Category | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | SpaceX | Intuitive Machines, Inc. |
| Sector | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | SpaceX operates the world's leading commercial rocket launch business and the Starlink satellite internet constellation, and completed a landmark public listing in 2026. | Intuitive Machines is a smaller space services company that develops lunar landers and provides space infrastructure services, including missions conducted under NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services program. |
| Investor focus | Watch Starlink subscriber growth, launch cadence and reusability economics, and progress on next-generation vehicle development. | Watch NASA and government contract awards, lunar mission execution outcomes, and progress toward diversifying revenue beyond a small number of large customers. |
SPCX strengths
- Dominant position in commercial orbital launch with reusable rocket technology
- Large and growing Starlink satellite internet subscriber base
- Vertically integrated manufacturing giving cost advantages over competitors
LUNR strengths
- Established relationship with NASA through lunar lander service contracts
- First-mover experience among a small group of companies attempting commercial lunar landings
- Potential to expand into broader space infrastructure and communications services
Risks to watch — SPCX
- Newly public company with a limited track record as a publicly traded stock
- Heavy ongoing capital investment required for next-generation vehicle and constellation development
- Regulatory and spectrum considerations affect satellite constellation expansion
Risks to watch — LUNR
- Revenue remains concentrated among a small number of government contracts
- Lunar missions carry significant technical and execution risk with a history of partial mission outcomes across the industry
- Small company scale limits balance sheet cushion relative to program setbacks
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