SPCX vs LUNR Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
SpaceX is a large, diversified space infrastructure leader spanning launch and satellite broadband, while Intuitive Machines is a much smaller, specialized company focused on lunar landers and NASA-backed exploration missions.
Investors comparing SpaceX and Intuitive Machines are weighing a scaled, diversified space company against a niche, higher-risk lunar services provider dependent on a concentrated set of government contracts.
SPCX holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. SPCX leads on both 3-month return (+13.36%) and forward P/E quality (87.68x vs -85.10x for LUNR), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, LUNR is growing revenue faster (309.80%), while SPCX maintains the higher operating margin (-1.80%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for LUNR (+123.65%) than for SPCX (+58.00%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want broad exposure to launch services and satellite internet growth
- Value a company with an established operating history in space technology
- Are comfortable evaluating a recently public company with limited trading history
- Seek exposure to reusable rocket and constellation technology leadership
- Want targeted exposure to lunar exploration and NASA-backed programs
- Are comfortable with a small-cap company dependent on concentrated contracts
- Can tolerate high mission execution and technical risk
- Are looking for a speculative, niche space services investment
| Metric | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 32.3 | 29.8 |
| AI ranki | N/A | #2194 |
| Latest closei | $148.62 | $11.57 |
| 1M returni | +3.58% | -16.58% |
| 3M returni | +13.36% | -13.91% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.23K (-7.7%) started 2026-06-12 | $8.98K (-10.2%) started 2025-10-15 |
| 5Y ago | $9.23K (-7.7%) started 2026-06-12 | $11.99K (+19.9%) started 2021-11-17 |
| 10Y ago | $9.23K (-7.7%) started 2026-06-12 | $11.99K (+19.9%) started 2021-11-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.85T | $2.13B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | 87.68 | -85.10 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 160.10 | 7.35 |
| Analyst targeti | $222.32 | $29.50 |
| Target upsidei | +58.00% | +123.65% |
| Metric | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 91.90% | 309.80% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growthi | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margini | N/A | -16.32% |
| Operating margini | -1.80% | -18.10% |
| Profit margini | -35.66% | -26.64% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | -30.77% |
| Return on equityi | N/A | -30.77% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 0.00% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | N/A | 1.86 |
| Debt/equityi | 31.21 | 52.82 |
| Current ratioi | 5.12 | 1.66 |
| Quick ratioi | 4.95 | 1.34 |
Over the past year, SPCX and LUNR have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.31), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -7.66% | -10.17% |
| CAGRi | -20.78% | -10.18% | |
| Volatilityi | 83.26% | 112.78% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.41 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.12 | 0.66 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 75.89% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.69% | 74.68% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 30.74% | 31.52% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 32.25% | 40.88% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 15.93% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 33.01% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -7.66% | +19.90% |
| CAGRi | -20.78% | +3.77% | |
| Volatilityi | 83.26% | 166.54% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.59 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.12 | 1.39 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 97.43% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.69% | 85.89% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 30.74% | 64.42% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 32.25% | 74.96% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 75.24% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 76.48% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -7.66% | +19.90% |
| CAGRi | -20.78% | +3.77% | |
| Volatilityi | 83.26% | 166.54% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.59 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.12 | 1.39 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 97.43% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.69% | 85.89% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 30.74% | 64.42% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 32.25% | 74.96% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 75.24% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 76.48% |
| Category | SPCX | LUNR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | SpaceX | Intuitive Machines, Inc. |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Core business | SpaceX operates the world's leading commercial rocket launch business and the Starlink satellite internet constellation, and completed a landmark public listing in 2026. | Intuitive Machines is a smaller space services company that develops lunar landers and provides space infrastructure services, including missions conducted under NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services program. |
| Investor focus | Watch Starlink subscriber growth, launch cadence and reusability economics, and progress on next-generation vehicle development. | Watch NASA and government contract awards, lunar mission execution outcomes, and progress toward diversifying revenue beyond a small number of large customers. |
- Dominant position in commercial orbital launch with reusable rocket technology
- Large and growing Starlink satellite internet subscriber base
- Vertically integrated manufacturing giving cost advantages over competitors
- Established relationship with NASA through lunar lander service contracts
- First-mover experience among a small group of companies attempting commercial lunar landings
- Potential to expand into broader space infrastructure and communications services
- Newly public company with a limited track record as a publicly traded stock
- Heavy ongoing capital investment required for next-generation vehicle and constellation development
- Regulatory and spectrum considerations affect satellite constellation expansion
- Revenue remains concentrated among a small number of government contracts
- Lunar missions carry significant technical and execution risk with a history of partial mission outcomes across the industry
- Small company scale limits balance sheet cushion relative to program setbacks
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