ABEV vs STZ Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Ambev's dominant Brazilian-and-Latin-American brewing scale against Constellation Brands' US-focused Mexican-beer-import growth.
Use this Ambev vs Constellation Brands comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
STZ holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. ABEV has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+38.29% vs -12.50%), though STZ has the better forward P/E setup (10.55x vs 14.14x for ABEV). On fundamentals, ABEV is growing revenue faster (0.30%), while STZ maintains the higher operating margin (35.93%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for STZ (+30.71%) than for ABEV (+10.60%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | ABEV | STZ |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 28.6 | 28.0 |
| AI ranki | #2360 | #2391 |
| Latest closei | $3.02 | $128.18 |
| 1M returni | -0.33% | -1.88% |
| 6M returni | +3.72% | -12.98% |
| 1Y returni | +38.29% | -12.50% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ABEV | STZ |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.87K (+38.7%) started 2025-09-04 | $8.79K (-12.1%) started 2025-09-04 |
| 5Y ago | $15.26K (+52.6%) started 2021-09-07 | $6.89K (-31.1%) started 2021-09-07 |
| 10Y ago | $10.81K (+8.1%) started 2016-09-06 | $9.98K (-0.2%) started 2016-09-06 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ABEV | STZ |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $46.57B | $22.32B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 15.10 | 12.46 |
| Forward P/Ei | 14.14 | 10.55 |
| Price/Salesi | 0.53 | 3.00 |
| EV/Revenuei | 0.36 | 3.65 |
| Analyst targeti | $3.34 | $170.83 |
| Target upsidei | +10.60% | +30.71% |
| Metric | ABEV | STZ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 0.30% | -3.30% |
| Earnings growthi | 24.60% | 30.70% |
| EPS growthi | +24.60% | +30.70% |
| FCF margini | +22.50% | +24.41% |
| Operating margini | 23.74% | 35.93% |
| Profit margini | 18.41% | 20.14% |
| ROIC proxyi | 18.40% | 23.69% |
| Return on equityi | 18.40% | 23.69% |
| Dividend yieldi | 5.28% | 3.13% |
| Betai | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| Debt/equityi | 3.32 | 123.20 |
| Current ratioi | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.67 | 0.25 |
Over the past year, ABEV and STZ have moved barely in the same direction (correlation of 0.13), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ABEV | STZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +38.29% | -12.13% |
| CAGRi | +38.32% | -12.15% | |
| Volatilityi | 31.50% | 29.94% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.04 | -0.43 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.72 | -0.61 | |
| Max drawdowni | 18.72% | 23.10% | |
| Current drawdowni | 11.70% | 23.10% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 6.40% | 10.26% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 8.00% | 12.11% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.63% | 8.04% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.20% | 10.68% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +18.69% | -35.06% |
| CAGRi | +3.49% | -8.28% | |
| Volatilityi | 30.06% | 25.19% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.11 | -0.40 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.17 | -0.52 | |
| Max drawdowni | 38.91% | 51.94% | |
| Current drawdowni | 11.70% | 51.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 15.27% | 18.77% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.41% | 25.20% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.63% | 17.09% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.46% | 18.31% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -30.16% | -12.76% |
| CAGRi | -3.53% | -1.36% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.33% | 27.22% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.06 | -0.08 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.09 | -0.11 | |
| Max drawdowni | 72.26% | 53.53% | |
| Current drawdowni | 44.04% | 51.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 44.76% | 14.97% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 48.74% | 20.52% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.08% | 17.09% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 31.49% | 28.09% |
| Category | ABEV | STZ |
|---|---|---|
| Company | ABEV | STZ |
| Sector | N/A | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Beverages - Brewers | Beverages - Brewers |
| Core business | Ambev S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, draft beer, soft drinks, malt and food, and other beverages in Brazil, Central America and Caribbean, Latin America South,… | Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. |
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