ASML vs ONTO Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare ASML's dominant lithography franchise against Onto Innovation's smaller but growing process control and inspection equipment business for advanced chip nodes.
Use this ASML vs Onto Innovation comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
ONTO holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. ONTO leads on both 1-year return (+109.81%) and forward P/E quality (21.84x vs 28.30x for ASML), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, ONTO is growing revenue faster (35.30%), while ASML maintains the higher operating margin (37.06%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ONTO (+52.60%) than for ASML (+26.93%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | ASML | ONTO |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 73.4 | 64.9 |
| AI ranki | #30 | #84 |
| Latest closei | $1,591.48 | $244.16 |
| 1M returni | -13.70% | -26.39% |
| 6M returni | +14.56% | +24.18% |
| 1Y returni | +83.50% | +109.81% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ASML | ONTO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $18.12K (+81.2%) started 2025-09-16 | $20.25K (+102.5%) started 2025-09-16 |
| 5Y ago | $17.94K (+79.4%) started 2021-09-16 | $30.94K (+209.4%) started 2021-09-16 |
| 10Y ago | $155.72K (+1457.2%) started 2016-09-16 | $69.11K (+591.1%) started 2019-10-28 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ASML | ONTO |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $652.32B | $15.56B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 57.47 | 95.34 |
| Forward P/Ei | 28.30 | 21.84 |
| Price/Salesi | 9.64 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 1025.67 | 10.87 |
| Analyst targeti | $2,155.62 | $388.45 |
| Target upsidei | +26.93% | +52.60% |
| Metric | ASML | ONTO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 21.30% | 35.30% |
| Earnings growthi | 28.50% | 75.40% |
| EPS growthi | +28.50% | +75.40% |
| FCF margini | +23.88% | +18.12% |
| Operating margini | 37.06% | 22.97% |
| Profit margini | 30.11% | 11.84% |
| ROIC proxyi | 53.94% | 6.83% |
| Return on equityi | 53.94% | 6.83% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.53% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 29.72% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 1.36 | 1.59 |
| Debt/equityi | 9.09 | 76.55 |
| Current ratioi | 1.33 | 9.73 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.72 | 8.17 |
Over the past year, ASML and ONTO have moved strongly in the same direction (correlation of 0.74), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ASML | ONTO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +81.18% | +102.49% |
| CAGRi | +81.29% | +102.75% | |
| Volatilityi | 46.66% | 71.84% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.42 | 1.28 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 2.18 | 1.94 | |
| Max drawdowni | 22.05% | 42.31% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.00% | 35.48% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 5.99% | 9.98% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 8.06% | 13.70% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.82% | 12.46% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 13.94% | 26.06% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +79.36% | +209.42% |
| CAGRi | +12.40% | +25.35% | |
| Volatilityi | 43.59% | 59.16% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.38 | 0.61 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.55 | 0.87 | |
| Max drawdowni | 57.27% | 62.82% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.00% | 35.48% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.56% | 21.63% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 26.38% | 27.32% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.26% | 30.21% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 19.20% | 30.37% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +1457.22% | +591.08% |
| CAGRi | +31.60% | +32.41% | |
| Volatilityi | 39.31% | 58.05% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.78 | 0.70 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.13 | 1.01 | |
| Max drawdowni | 57.37% | 62.82% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.00% | 35.48% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 14.31% | 18.74% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 19.80% | 24.58% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.35% | 30.21% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.42% | 30.37% |
| Category | ASML | ONTO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | ASML | ONTO |
| Sector | Technology | Technology |
| Industry | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | Semiconductor Equipment & Materials |
| Core business | ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. | Onto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that perform macro-defect inspection and metrology in the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, China, Sout… |
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