DOV vs EMR Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Dover and Emerson Electric are both diversified industrial conglomerates that have actively reshaped their portfolios, but Dover maintains a broader multi-segment industrial manufacturing structure while Emerson has increasingly concentrated around automation software and solutions.
Dover offers diversified industrial exposure with a long dividend growth track record, while Emerson offers a more concentrated bet on the automation software transition. Consider whether you prefer Dover's diversified stability or Emerson's automation-focused growth positioning.
DOV holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. EMR has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+26.93% vs +17.06%), though DOV has the better forward P/E setup (17.06x vs 21.42x for EMR). EMR leads on both revenue growth (7.00%) and operating margin (26.92%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for DOV (+24.26%) than for EMR (+10.72%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want diversified exposure across multiple industrial manufacturing segments and end markets
- Value a long track record of consistent dividend growth and disciplined capital allocation
- Believe active portfolio reshaping through acquisitions and divestitures will continue sharpening margins
- Prefer a broad industrial conglomerate over a more narrowly focused automation pure-play
- Believe the shift toward automation software and solutions will drive higher-margin, recurring revenue growth
- Value Emerson's global installed base supporting durable services and upgrade revenue
- Are comfortable with ongoing integration risk as the portfolio concentrates around core automation competencies
- Want exposure to the broader industrial automation and digitalization theme
| Metric | DOV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 54.4 | 54.3 |
| AI ranki | #299 | #302 |
| Latest closei | $210.37 | $170.74 |
| 1M returni | +10.90% | +8.59% |
| 3M returni | +3.09% | +14.87% |
| 6M returni | -7.08% | +21.58% |
| 1Y returni | +17.06% | +26.93% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | DOV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.64K (+16.4%) started 2025-10-29 | $12.51K (+25.1%) started 2025-10-29 |
| 5Y ago | $13.58K (+35.8%) started 2021-11-01 | $20.51K (+105.1%) started 2021-11-01 |
| 10Y ago | $52.39K (+423.9%) started 2016-10-31 | $54.18K (+441.8%) started 2016-10-31 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | DOV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $26.76B | $86.56B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 24.02 | 34.03 |
| Forward P/Ei | 17.06 | 21.42 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 3.36 | 5.27 |
| Analyst targeti | $246.89 | $171.81 |
| Target upsidei | +24.26% | +10.72% |
| Metric | DOV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 6.90% | 7.00% |
| Earnings growthi | 14.10% | 23.00% |
| EPS growthi | +14.10% | +23.00% |
| FCF margini | +10.76% | +19.89% |
| Operating margini | 18.69% | 26.92% |
| Profit margini | 13.48% | 13.83% |
| ROIC proxyi | 14.91% | 12.80% |
| Return on equityi | 14.91% | 12.80% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.06% | 1.43% |
| Payout ratioi | 24.33% | 47.98% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.16 | 1.24 |
| Debt/equityi | 42.32 | 67.68 |
| Current ratioi | 1.98 | 0.90 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.31 | 0.62 |
Over the past year, DOV and EMR have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.58), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | DOV | EMR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +16.36% | +25.15% |
| CAGRi | +16.38% | +25.19% | |
| Volatilityi | 24.71% | 31.68% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.56 | 0.73 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.80 | 1.05 | |
| Max drawdowni | 20.24% | 23.74% | |
| Current drawdowni | 9.83% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.54% | 8.06% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 9.74% | 9.97% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.80% | 6.26% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 9.06% | 8.22% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +29.71% | +88.81% |
| CAGRi | +5.35% | +13.58% | |
| Volatilityi | 25.21% | 27.76% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.16 | 0.44 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.22 | 0.63 | |
| Max drawdowni | 35.56% | 29.61% | |
| Current drawdowni | 9.83% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.39% | 8.49% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.26% | 10.41% | |
| Max daily dropi | 9.10% | 8.65% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 14.35% | 15.00% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +349.39% | +321.80% |
| CAGRi | +16.23% | +15.49% | |
| Volatilityi | 26.66% | 29.29% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.53 | 0.49 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.76 | 0.69 | |
| Max drawdowni | 45.24% | 50.77% | |
| Current drawdowni | 9.83% | 0.00% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 9.38% | 9.19% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.04% | 11.95% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.31% | 18.96% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.13% | 28.66% |
| Category | DOV | EMR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Dover Corporation | Emerson Electric Co. |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Specialty Industrial Machinery |
| Core business | A diversified global manufacturer producing equipment and components across segments including engineered products, clean energy and fueling, imaging and identification, and pumps and process solutions. | A global technology and software company providing automation solutions and industrial software for process, hybrid, and discrete manufacturing customers across a range of end markets. |
| Investor focus | Organic revenue growth across diversified segments, portfolio reshaping through acquisitions and divestitures, and margin expansion progress. | Automation software and solutions revenue growth, margin expansion following portfolio simplification, and integration progress from recent acquisitions. |
- Diversified segment structure spreads exposure across multiple industrial end markets, reducing single-cycle dependency
- Active portfolio management through targeted acquisitions and divestitures has sharpened focus on higher-margin niches
- Long track record of consistent dividend growth reflects disciplined capital allocation
- Increasing focus on automation software and solutions positions the company toward higher-margin, recurring revenue streams
- Portfolio simplification efforts have concentrated the business around core automation competencies
- Global installed base across process and discrete manufacturing provides a durable services and upgrade revenue stream
- Diversified conglomerate structure can make it harder for investors to cleanly value individual segment growth drivers
- Some segments remain exposed to cyclical industrial capital spending and end-market demand fluctuations
- Portfolio reshaping activity introduces integration and divestiture execution risk
- Transition toward a more automation-software-centric portfolio still carries execution and integration risk
- Underlying end markets remain tied to capital spending cycles in energy, chemicals, and manufacturing
- Competitive automation and industrial software landscape includes both established players and newer entrants
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