DUOL vs COUR Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Duolingo offers faster-growing, consumer app-driven exposure to language learning, while Coursera provides a more diversified but slower-growing platform spanning consumer, enterprise, and degree-based online education.
Investors weighing Duolingo against Coursera are choosing between a high-growth, premium-valued consumer learning app and a more diversified, lower-growth education platform serving multiple customer segments.
COUR holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. COUR leads on both 1-year return (-50.34%) and forward P/E quality (7.52x vs 20.36x for DUOL), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, COUR is growing revenue faster (59.60%), while DUOL maintains the higher operating margin (11.68%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for COUR (+31.93%) than for DUOL (-13.67%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a fast-growing, highly engaged consumer education app
- Believe in continued expansion of Duolingo's subject offerings and monetization
- Are comfortable paying a premium valuation for sustained growth
- Can tolerate volatility tied to user engagement and growth metrics
- Prefer diversified exposure across consumer, enterprise, and degree-based education
- Value established partnerships with universities and enterprise customers
- Are comfortable with a slower-growth, more value-oriented profile
- Want exposure to enterprise upskilling and professional credentialing trends
| Metric | DUOL | COUR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 32.1 | 23.7 |
| AI ranki | #2050 | #3402 |
| Latest closei | $148.93 | $5.09 |
| 1M returni | -3.24% | -3.60% |
| 3M returni | +15.50% | -9.75% |
| 6M returni | +43.96% | -20.84% |
| 1Y returni | -56.34% | -50.34% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | DUOL | COUR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $4.51K (-54.9%) started 2025-10-16 | $4.97K (-50.3%) started 2025-10-15 |
| 5Y ago | $9.47K (-5.3%) started 2021-10-18 | $1.54K (-84.6%) started 2021-10-15 |
| 10Y ago | $11.09K (+10.9%) started 2021-07-28 | $1.13K (-88.7%) started 2021-03-31 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | DUOL | COUR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $7.25B | $1.77B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 18.39 | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | 20.36 | 7.52 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 5.42 | 0.75 |
| Analyst targeti | $134.29 | $8.17 |
| Target upsidei | -13.67% | +31.93% |
| Metric | DUOL | COUR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 18.30% | 59.60% |
| Earnings growthi | -27.50% | N/A |
| EPS growthi | -27.50% | N/A |
| FCF margini | +26.22% | +41.36% |
| Operating margini | 11.68% | -1.64% |
| Profit margini | 35.88% | -15.39% |
| ROIC proxyi | 34.42% | -15.20% |
| Return on equityi | 34.42% | -15.20% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | N/A |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| Debt/equityi | 6.11 | 0.83 |
| Current ratioi | 2.72 | 1.59 |
| Quick ratioi | 2.51 | 1.49 |
Over the past year, DUOL and COUR have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.33), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | DUOL | COUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -54.95% | -50.34% |
| CAGRi | -55.00% | -50.37% | |
| Volatilityi | 62.88% | 56.98% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.02 | -1.02 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.28 | -1.37 | |
| Max drawdowni | 72.76% | 56.76% | |
| Current drawdowni | 54.95% | 52.56% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 56.26% | 40.67% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 58.09% | 42.30% | |
| Max daily dropi | 25.49% | 14.72% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.24% | 21.59% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -5.35% | -84.59% |
| CAGRi | -1.09% | -31.21% | |
| Volatilityi | 65.19% | 58.78% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.24 | -0.43 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.35 | -0.65 | |
| Max drawdowni | 83.35% | 87.46% | |
| Current drawdowni | 72.46% | 86.24% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 37.82% | 66.71% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 45.34% | 68.79% | |
| Max daily dropi | 25.49% | 16.67% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 31.98% | 24.37% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +10.93% | -88.69% |
| CAGRi | +2.01% | -32.52% | |
| Volatilityi | 65.86% | 59.70% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.29 | -0.45 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.43 | -0.68 | |
| Max drawdowni | 83.35% | 92.00% | |
| Current drawdowni | 72.46% | 91.22% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 38.32% | 74.09% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 45.86% | 76.17% | |
| Max daily dropi | 25.49% | 16.67% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 31.98% | 24.53% |
| Category | DUOL | COUR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Duolingo, Inc. | Coursera, Inc. |
| Sector | Technology | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Software - Application | Education & Training Services |
| Core business | Duolingo operates a gamified language-learning app with a large global user base, monetizing primarily through subscriptions and, to a lesser extent, advertising and in-app purchases. | Coursera operates an online learning platform offering courses, certificates, and degrees in partnership with universities and industry organizations, serving individual learners, enterprises, and academic institutions. |
| Investor focus | Watch daily and monthly active user growth, subscriber conversion rates, and progress expanding beyond language learning into new subjects. | Watch growth across its Consumer, Enterprise, and Degrees segments, as well as progress toward sustained profitability. |
- Large, highly engaged global user base driven by gamified app design
- Strong subscription revenue growth and improving monetization per user
- Expanding product offerings beyond language learning, including math and literacy
- Diversified revenue base spanning individual consumers, enterprise, and university partners
- Established content partnerships with well-known universities and companies
- Positioned to benefit from demand for professional upskilling and credentialing
- Valuation reflects high growth expectations, raising sensitivity to any deceleration
- User growth and engagement trends can be volatile quarter to quarter
- Competitive pressure from other language-learning and AI-driven education tools
- Slower revenue growth relative to some other online education and consumer app peers
- Profitability has been inconsistent as the company invests in growth
- Competitive market for online learning content and enterprise training platforms
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