KGC vs AU Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
KGC and AU are both mid-to-large gold producers whose earnings ultimately follow the gold price, differing in cost position and geography. Kinross is more weighted to the Americas with a strong focus on cost discipline and free cash flow. AngloGold is more geographically spread with greater African exposure, a higher cost base, and growth projects in Nevada.
Use this KGC vs AU comparison to decide how much operating leverage you want. A higher-cost producer like AngloGold gains more percentage profit from a rising gold price but suffers more if it falls. Kinross' lower costs mean steadier cash generation with less amplification in either direction.
KGC holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. AU has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+48.69% vs +6.38%), though KGC has the better forward P/E setup (9.78x vs 10.27x for AU). KGC leads on both revenue growth (29.50%) and operating margin (52.48%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for KGC (+20.07%) than for AU (+10.25%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Prefer gold exposure with a lower average jurisdiction risk profile
- Value demonstrated cost discipline and free cash flow focus
- Want organic growth from a development pipeline rather than acquisitions
- Accept West African political and security exposure
- Want greater operating leverage to a rising gold price
- Value geographic diversification and Nevada growth assets
- Believe cost reduction efforts will narrow the gap to lower-cost peers
- Accept African political, power, and currency risk plus project delivery history
| Metric | KGC | AU |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 63.3 | 64.7 |
| AI ranki | #98 | #80 |
| Latest closei | $25.05 | $99.03 |
| 1M returni | -22.49% | -16.15% |
| 6M returni | -12.60% | +11.06% |
| 1Y returni | +6.38% | +48.69% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | KGC | AU |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.68K (+6.8%) started 2025-09-25 | $15.05K (+50.5%) started 2025-09-25 |
| 5Y ago | $56.45K (+464.5%) started 2021-09-27 | $64.31K (+543.1%) started 2021-09-27 |
| 10Y ago | $73.16K (+631.6%) started 2016-09-26 | $62.13K (+521.3%) started 2016-09-26 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | KGC | AU |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $35.5B | $52.81B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 11.38 | 14.00 |
| Forward P/Ei | 9.78 | 10.27 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 3.91 | 4.57 |
| Analyst targeti | $35.93 | $115.13 |
| Target upsidei | +20.07% | +10.25% |
| Metric | KGC | AU |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 29.50% | 27.00% |
| Earnings growthi | 64.80% | 50.10% |
| EPS growthi | +64.80% | +50.10% |
| FCF margini | +35.36% | +33.46% |
| Operating margini | 52.48% | 51.19% |
| Profit margini | 37.52% | 32.20% |
| ROIC proxyi | 36.99% | 44.73% |
| Return on equityi | 36.99% | 44.73% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.54% | 4.33% |
| Payout ratioi | 5.51% | 61.66% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 1.41 | 0.75 |
| Debt/equityi | 7.73 | 16.68 |
| Current ratioi | 2.89 | 2.71 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.90 | 2.00 |
Over the past year, KGC and AU have moved strongly in the same direction (correlation of 0.88), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | KGC | AU |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +6.38% | +50.50% |
| CAGRi | +6.39% | +50.59% | |
| Volatilityi | 55.56% | 61.03% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.31 | 0.91 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.43 | 1.30 | |
| Max drawdowni | 40.66% | 41.62% | |
| Current drawdowni | 33.94% | 22.79% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 16.78% | 16.97% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 20.74% | 21.13% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.77% | 13.22% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 16.61% | 18.16% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +416.57% | +543.05% |
| CAGRi | +38.93% | +45.16% | |
| Volatilityi | 45.39% | 49.88% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.86 | 0.91 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.24 | 1.37 | |
| Max drawdowni | 55.22% | 52.80% | |
| Current drawdowni | 33.94% | 22.79% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 18.35% | 19.42% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 23.86% | 24.43% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.77% | 13.22% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 18.80% | 18.83% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +554.02% | +521.27% |
| CAGRi | +20.67% | +20.05% | |
| Volatilityi | 46.97% | 49.92% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.54 | 0.53 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.79 | 0.78 | |
| Max drawdowni | 67.89% | 67.92% | |
| Current drawdowni | 33.94% | 22.79% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 25.29% | 32.13% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 30.97% | 36.50% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.38% | 20.59% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 37.70% | 32.72% |
| Category | KGC | AU |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Kinross Gold Corporation | AngloGold Ashanti plc |
| Sector | Basic Materials | Basic Materials |
| Industry | Gold | Gold |
| Core business | Mid-tier gold producer with operations in the Americas and West Africa, including Tasiast in Mauritania and Paracatu in Brazil, plus a development project in Ontario. Focused on cost discipline and free cash flow rather than production growth at any price. | Global gold producer with operations across Africa, Australia, and the Americas, including the Obuasi redevelopment in Ghana, and development projects in Nevada following portfolio changes and a corporate domicile move. |
| Investor focus | All-in sustaining costs, free cash flow at prevailing gold prices, development project progress, reserve replacement, and capital return. | All-in sustaining costs and cost reduction progress, Obuasi ramp-up, Nevada project development, jurisdiction and currency exposure, and capital return. |
- Portfolio weighted toward the Americas, reducing average jurisdiction risk
- Cost control has been a management priority, improving free cash flow
- Development pipeline provides organic growth without large acquisitions
- Large, geographically diverse production base across multiple continents
- Nevada development assets offer growth in a low-risk jurisdiction
- Significant leverage to gold prices from a relatively higher cost base
- Exposure to West African operations carries political and security risk
- Reserve life requires continued exploration success or acquisitions
- Earnings ultimately depend on the gold price, which the company cannot control
- Costs have historically run above the best-performing peers
- Substantial African exposure brings political, power supply, and currency risk
- Obuasi and other projects have had a history of delays and revisions
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