brimindinvest.com / compare / main-vs-arccLIVE
MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation · Financials - Business Development Company (BDC)
$50.97
+1.38% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation · Financials - Business Development Company (BDC)
$18.03
-0.43% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
MAIN
1
ARCC
2
ARCC LEADS 2/5
Comparison scoreboard
ARCC LEADS 2/5
AI Score
MAIN 32.3
ARCC N/A
1Y Return
MAIN -6.33%
ARCC -7.62%
Fwd P/E
MAIN 12.94
ARCC 9.36
Target Up.
MAIN +12.48%
ARCC +15.19%
Op. Margin
MAIN N/A
ARCC N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take

MAIN vs ARCC Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

MAIN (Main Street Capital) and ARCC (Ares Capital) are both leading Business Development Companies providing private credit to U.S. middle-market companies, but with significant differences in size, management structure, and target market — Main Street is internally managed, focuses on lower middle-market companies (smaller businesses), pays monthly dividends, and trades at a premium to NAV reflecting management quality; Ares Capital is the world's largest BDC, externally managed by Ares Management, invests in larger middle-market companies with a massive diversified portfolio, and has an exceptional NAV preservation track record.

MAIN vs ARCC is internally managed premium BDC with LMM focus and monthly income (Main Street's aligned management structure, lower middle-market specialty, monthly dividend schedule, and supplemental dividends providing total income superior to externally managed peers — at the cost of a premium NAV multiple) versus the world's largest externally managed BDC with institutional-scale credit (Ares Capital's massive portfolio, Ares Management platform, exceptional NAV stability track record, and diversified middle-market exposure — with external management fees reducing net returns versus internal peers) — BDC quality premium versus BDC scale and diversification.

Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026

ARCC holds the edge across 2 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MAIN has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-6.33% vs -7.62%), though ARCC trades at the lower forward P/E (9.36x vs 12.94x). Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +12.48% for MAIN and +15.19% for ARCC.

Normalized 1Y performance
MAIN
ARCC
Recent returns
MAIN
ARCC
Analyst price targets & sentiment
MAIN · 6 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Hold (2.9/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$50.00
analyst high$70.00
analyst mean$57.33
current price$50.97
+12.5% upside to analyst mean
ARCC · 13 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.7/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$19.00
analyst high$23.00
analyst mean$20.77
current price$18.03
+15.2% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
MAIN may suit investors who:
  • Value internally managed BDC structure as eliminating external management fee drag and providing better long-term alignment between management and shareholders — MAIN employees eat their own cooking
  • Appreciate the monthly dividend payment schedule combined with supplemental semi-annual dividends as providing the most income-friendly distribution cadence in the BDC sector
  • Are focused on lower middle-market credit exposure where deal terms are generally more favorable (higher interest rates, stronger protections) and competition from large institutional lenders is limited
ARCC may suit investors who:
  • Want the world's largest BDC's scale advantage — 400+ portfolio companies providing exceptional diversification and ARCC's access to larger credits unavailable to smaller BDCs
  • Value Ares Capital's exceptional track record of NAV preservation through multiple credit cycles (2008-2009 financial crisis, COVID 2020) as evidence of superior underwriting discipline at scale
  • Prefer a BDC where Ares Management's $400B+ alternative asset platform provides proprietary deal flow and sector expertise across the full range of middle-market private credit strategies
Performance & AI score
MetricMAINARCC
AI score32.3N/A
AI rank#2094N/A
Latest close$50.97$18.03
1M return+1.38%-0.43%
6M return-12.54%-5.92%
1Y return-6.33%-7.62%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodMAINARCC
1Y ago$10.09K (+0.9%)
started 2025-06-18
$10.22K (+2.2%)
started 2025-06-18
5Y ago$29.27K (+192.8%)
started 2021-06-18
$27.66K (+176.6%)
started 2021-06-18
10Y ago$101.91K (+919.1%)
started 2016-06-20
$153.81K (+1438.1%)
started 2016-06-20

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricMAINARCC
Market cap$4.74B$12.95B
Trailing P/E10.7311.06
Forward P/E12.949.36
Price/Sales8.324.20
EV/Revenue12.839.31
Analyst target$57.33$20.77
Target upside+12.48%+15.19%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricMAINARCC
Revenue growth2.20%4.20%
Earnings growth-58.70%-64.10%
EPS growth-58.70%-64.10%
FCF margin+41.95%+29.50%
Operating marginN/AN/A
Profit margin74.86%37.30%
ROIC proxy14.37%8.29%
Return on equity14.37%8.29%
Dividend yield6.05%10.31%
Beta0.730.62
Debt/equity82.11112.91
Current ratio0.240.38
Quick ratio0.240.32
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
MAIN max drawdown22.43%
ARCC max drawdown19.35%
MAIN max wkly drop12.12%
ARCC max wkly drop6.80%
5Y risk snapshot
MAIN max drawdown27.06%
ARCC max drawdown21.76%
MAIN max wkly drop14.42%
ARCC max wkly drop15.16%
10Y risk snapshot
MAIN max drawdown64.53%
ARCC max drawdown56.77%
MAIN max wkly drop45.65%
ARCC max wkly drop41.83%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricMAINARCC
1YGrowth-6.33%-7.62%
CAGR-6.34%-7.63%
Sharpe ratio-0.32-0.58
Max drawdown22.43%19.35%
Max daily drop7.56%3.94%
Max wkly drop12.12%6.80%
5YGrowth+83.51%+52.35%
CAGR+12.91%+8.79%
Sharpe ratio0.470.30
Max drawdown27.06%21.76%
Max daily drop7.96%8.76%
Max wkly drop14.42%15.16%
10YGrowth+232.53%+228.98%
CAGR+12.78%+12.66%
Sharpe ratio0.410.42
Max drawdown64.53%56.77%
Max daily drop21.93%23.55%
Max wkly drop45.65%41.83%
Business comparison
CategoryMAINARCC
CompanyMain Street Capital CorporationAres Capital Corporation
SectorFinancials - Business Development Company (BDC)Financials - Business Development Company (BDC)
IndustryN/AN/A
Core businessMain Street Capital Corporation is an internally managed Business Development Company (BDC) that provides long-term debt and equity capital to lower middle-market companies (LMM — typically with revenues of $10M-$150M) and middle-market companies (revenues of $150M-$1.5B). Main Street's investment portfolio includes first-lien secured debt, second-lien debt, subordinated debt, and equity co-investments alongside its debt positions. Main Street is headquartered in Houston, Texas, and is unusual among BDCs in being internally managed — Main Street employs its own investment professionals rather than contracting an external asset manager, which aligns management incentives with shareholders and reduces management fees.Ares Capital Corporation is the world's largest Business Development Company by total assets, managed by Ares Management Corporation (a leading alternative asset manager). ARCC provides financing solutions across the capital structure — first-lien senior secured loans, unitranche loans, second-lien loans, subordinated debt, and preferred equity — to middle-market private companies (typically revenue of $100M-$3B). ARCC also participates in broadly syndicated leveraged loans. Ares Capital is externally managed by Ares Management and benefits from Ares's scale, global sourcing capabilities, and expertise across credit, private equity, and real assets.
Investor focusInvestors track Main Street's net investment income (NII — the income generated from the debt portfolio after expenses), the regular monthly dividend (Main Street pays monthly dividends rather than quarterly — a distinctive feature), the supplemental dividend (Main Street's practice of paying additional semi-annual dividends from excess NII and realized gains), net asset value (NAV) per share, and non-accrual rate (percentage of the portfolio not paying interest).Investors track ARCC's net investment income and dividend coverage, NAV per share (as ARCC has consistently maintained or grown NAV over time — a critical measure of credit quality), non-accrual rate and credit quality metrics, new investment originations (volume and yield on new deals), and leverage ratio (debt-to-equity, regulated by BDC rules at a maximum of 1:1 debt-to-equity).
MAIN strengths
  • Internally managed structure eliminates the external management fee drag and aligns incentives with shareholders — Main Street's employees (including the investment team) own MAIN stock and are compensated in part through it; external BDC managers charge base management fees (typically 1.5% of assets) and incentive fees on income and capital gains; Main Street eliminates these external fees, resulting in higher net returns to shareholders per dollar of gross portfolio return
  • Monthly dividend payment schedule with consistent supplemental dividends provides attractive income — Main Street has maintained monthly dividend payments through market cycles (including COVID); the supplemental semi-annual dividends provide upside sharing of exceptional earnings; the combination provides reliable and growing income to income-oriented investors
  • Lower middle-market focus provides higher-yielding, less competitively crowded investment opportunities — LMM companies (revenue $10M-$150M) are too small for large institutional lenders but large enough to have established businesses; this segment has fewer competing capital providers than the broader middle market, allowing Main Street to negotiate better terms and higher interest rates
ARCC strengths
  • World's largest BDC with $21B+ in total assets provides scale-based sourcing and diversification — ARCC's scale gives it access to larger, more complex credits; scale also provides portfolio diversification (400+ portfolio companies) that minimizes single-credit concentration risk
  • Ares Management's platform provides deal sourcing and expertise across credit strategies — Ares Management's $400B+ in assets under management across private credit, equity, and real assets generates deal flow across market segments that ARCC can access; the Ares platform also provides expertise in sectors where ARCC invests
  • Exceptional long-term track record of NAV stability through credit cycles — ARCC has maintained its NAV per share over multiple credit cycles (2008-2009 financial crisis, COVID 2020) without the NAV dilution that afflicted many BDC peers; conservative underwriting and early risk management when portfolio companies show stress has protected ARCC's book value
Risks to watch — MAIN
  • Main Street's smaller portfolio size limits diversification versus larger BDCs — MAIN's portfolio is approximately $4-5B versus ARCC's $21B; concentration in any single credit can meaningfully impact NII and NAV
  • Lower middle-market focus means higher credit risk from smaller, less diversified borrowers — LMM companies have less financial flexibility and fewer refinancing options if revenues deteriorate; default rates in LMM portfolios can exceed middle-market default rates in severe downturns
  • MAIN typically trades at a significant premium to NAV (1.5-1.7x book value) — this premium reflects Main Street's internal management quality and consistent dividend track record; at elevated premiums, new investors are effectively paying more than book value per dollar of invested assets
Risks to watch — ARCC
  • External management fee creates a structural return disadvantage versus internally managed peers like MAIN — Ares Management charges ARCC a base management fee (approximately 1.0-1.5% of assets) and an incentive fee on income and capital gains; these fees reduce the net return to ARCC shareholders versus what they would earn from a fee-free internal management structure
  • Larger average investment sizes in the middle and upper-middle market mean more competition from large banks, CLO managers, and other institutional lenders — the broadly syndicated leveraged loan market (where ARCC also participates) is highly competitive with narrower spreads than the lower middle market
  • BDC leverage limits constrain growth — BDCs are regulated under the Investment Company Act and face statutory leverage limits; ARCC manages leverage conservatively, which limits return on equity relative to MAIN's leverage profile
Frequently asked questions
A Business Development Company (BDC) is a closed-end investment company regulated under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (with special rules under the 1980 Small Business Investment Incentive Act) that invests primarily in the debt and equity securities of private U.S. companies — particularly small and mid-size businesses (the 'middle market') that typically cannot access the public debt markets (bond markets) or broadly syndicated leveraged loan markets because they are too small. BDC structure: BDCs are required to invest at least 70% of assets in 'qualifying assets' (primarily debt and equity of eligible portfolio companies — private U.S. companies with market value under $250M); BDCs must elect to be regulated investment companies (RICs) and distribute at least 90% of their taxable income to shareholders to avoid entity-level taxation (similar to REITs); BDC leverage: BDCs may leverage up to 1:1 debt-to-equity (since a 2018 rule change from the prior 1:1 asset coverage rule — allowing more leverage than before). How BDCs generate income: BDCs make loans to private companies at high interest rates (typically SOFR + 5-10% for floating rate loans, often totaling 8-14% all-in yields); BDCs also make equity co-investments alongside their loans; interest income from the debt portfolio minus BDC operating expenses = net investment income (NII); NII is distributed as dividends; gains from equity co-investments are distributed as capital gain distributions. Why middle-market companies borrow from BDCs: bank regulatory constraints (post-Basel III) make banks less willing to hold middle-market leveraged loans; BDCs fill the funding gap left by banks; BDC loans are typically floating rate, secured (first or second lien on assets), and carry covenants providing lender protections; BDC borrowers pay higher rates than large-cap leveraged loans but gain flexible, relationship-oriented capital.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
MAIN
+2.8%BUY
ARCC
+1.1%HOLD

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