ORCL vs MSFT Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
MSFT holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MSFT has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+5.07% vs -55.71%), though ORCL has the better forward P/E setup (13.81x vs 21.78x for MSFT). On fundamentals, ORCL is growing revenue faster (20.60%), while MSFT maintains the higher operating margin (45.11%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ORCL (+61.83%) than for MSFT (+10.89%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | ORCL | MSFT |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 49.3 | 60.9 |
| AI ranki | #502 | #139 |
| Latest closei | $134.47 | $539.44 |
| 1M returni | -4.19% | +8.51% |
| 3M returni | +8.26% | +34.49% |
| 6M returni | -24.60% | +28.36% |
| 1Y returni | -55.71% | +5.07% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ORCL | MSFT |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $4.3K (-57.0%) started 2025-10-16 | $10.54K (+5.4%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $15.44K (+54.4%) started 2021-10-18 | $18.7K (+87.0%) started 2021-10-18 |
| 10Y ago | $46.12K (+361.2%) started 2016-10-17 | $117.92K (+1079.2%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ORCL | MSFT |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $434.52B | $3.81T |
| Trailing P/Ei | 25.92 | 28.58 |
| Forward P/Ei | 13.81 | 21.78 |
| Price/Salesi | 8.75 | 11.87 |
| EV/Revenuei | 8.54 | 11.65 |
| Analyst targeti | $244.12 | $569.45 |
| Target upsidei | +61.83% | +10.89% |
| Metric | ORCL | MSFT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 20.60% | 17.70% |
| Earnings growthi | 21.90% | 31.70% |
| EPS growthi | +21.90% | +31.70% |
| FCF margini | -36.43% | +4.99% |
| Operating margini | 36.20% | 45.11% |
| Profit margini | 25.37% | 40.30% |
| ROIC proxyi | 53.38% | 34.04% |
| Return on equityi | 53.38% | 34.04% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.33% | 0.71% |
| Payout ratioi | 31.35% | 19.83% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.72 | 1.10 |
| Debt/equityi | 388.87 | 29.12 |
| Current ratioi | 1.11 | 1.23 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.01 | 1.10 |
Over the past year, ORCL and MSFT have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.46), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ORCL | MSFT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -57.04% | +5.44% |
| CAGRi | -57.10% | +5.45% | |
| Volatilityi | 57.25% | 32.79% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.27 | 0.19 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.76 | 0.29 | |
| Max drawdowni | 63.26% | 34.91% | |
| Current drawdowni | 57.04% | 0.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 44.39% | 17.19% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 46.05% | 19.81% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.83% | 9.99% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.10% | 14.43% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +46.55% | +81.12% |
| CAGRi | +7.95% | +12.63% | |
| Volatilityi | 44.19% | 28.17% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.29 | 0.40 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.45 | 0.60 | |
| Max drawdowni | 64.98% | 37.15% | |
| Current drawdowni | 59.04% | 0.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 19.95% | 12.22% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 26.25% | 15.69% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.79% | 9.99% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.10% | 14.43% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +300.73% | +951.30% |
| CAGRi | +14.90% | +26.53% | |
| Volatilityi | 36.45% | 27.78% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.44 | 0.83 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.67 | 1.23 | |
| Max drawdowni | 64.98% | 37.15% | |
| Current drawdowni | 59.04% | 0.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.73% | 7.65% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 19.24% | 11.63% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.79% | 14.74% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.10% | 16.36% |
| Category | ORCL | MSFT |
|---|---|---|
| Company | ORCL | MSFT |
| Sector | Technology | Technology |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Software - Infrastructure |
| Core business | Oracle Corporation offers products and services that build, run and support enterprise information technology frameworks worldwide. | Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide. |
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