Data as of:
brimindinvest.com / compare / tost-vs-sqLIVE
TOST
Toast, Inc. · Payments and Restaurant Software
$32.22
+1.19% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
SQ
Block, Inc. · Payments and Financial Technology
N/A
N/A this month
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUP
AI Scorei
TOST 25.5
SQ N/A
1Y Returni
TOST -13.43%
SQ N/A
Fwd P/Ei
TOST 19.65
SQ N/A
Target Up.i
TOST +14.35%
SQ N/A
Op. Margini
TOST 7.44%
SQ N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 10/16/2026
Quick take

TOST vs SQ Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

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Toast offers focused exposure to restaurant-specific point-of-sale and payments software, while Block provides a more diversified fintech platform spanning merchant payments and consumer financial services through Cash App.

Investors weighing Toast against Block are choosing between a vertical-specific restaurant technology platform and a broader, more diversified consumer and merchant fintech company.

Live analysis · updated 10/16/2026

TOST and SQ are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.

Want a full valuation workup? 46-section report — AI Score, Monte Carlo forecast, bull/bear case, DCF, and more.
Normalized 1Y performance
TOST
SQ
Not enough data to chart yet.
Recent returns
TOST
SQ
Analyst price targets & sentiment

Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.

TOST
Price target range
analyst mean$38.92
current price$32.22
+14.3% upside to analyst mean
SQ
Price target data unavailable
N/A
Who should consider this stock?
TOST may suit investors who:
  • Want focused exposure to restaurant industry technology adoption
  • Believe in continued growth of Toast's location count and software attach rates
  • Are comfortable with a single-vertical business model
  • Value a bundled hardware, software, and payments approach
SQ may suit investors who:
  • Prefer diversified exposure across merchant payments and consumer fintech
  • Believe in continued growth and monetization of the Cash App ecosystem
  • Want exposure to a broader range of business types beyond restaurants
  • Are comfortable with regulatory and competitive risks in consumer fintech
Performance & AI score
Performance & AI score
MetricTOSTSQ
AI scorei25.5N/A
AI ranki#2637N/A
Latest closei$32.22N/A
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
PeriodTOSTSQ
1Y ago$8.61K (-13.9%)
started 2025-10-16
N/A
5Y ago$6.26K (-37.4%)
started 2021-10-18
N/A
10Y ago$5.15K (-48.5%)
started 2021-09-22
N/A

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
Valuation & upside potential
MetricTOSTSQ
Market capi$19.68BN/A
Trailing P/Ei43.09N/A
Forward P/Ei19.65N/A
Price/SalesiN/A2.46
EV/Revenuei2.64N/A
Analyst targeti$38.92N/A
Target upsidei+14.35%N/A
Growth, profitability & risk
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricTOSTSQ
Revenue growthi23.10%N/A
Earnings growthi100.00%N/A
EPS growthi+100.00%N/A
FCF margini+6.97%N/A
Operating margini7.44%N/A
Profit margini7.14%N/A
ROIC proxyi25.16%N/A
Return on equityi25.16%N/A
Dividend yieldiN/AN/A
Payout ratioi0.00%N/A
Dividend growth streakiN/AN/A
Betai1.731.54
Debt/equityiN/AN/A
Current ratioi2.40N/A
Quick ratioi1.68N/A
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
TOST max drawdowni42.77%
SQ max drawdowniN/A
TOST max wkly dropi21.48%
SQ max wkly dropiN/A
5Y risk snapshot
TOST max drawdowni80.56%
SQ max drawdowniN/A
TOST max wkly dropi36.74%
SQ max wkly dropiN/A
10Y risk snapshot
TOST max drawdowni80.56%
SQ max drawdowniN/A
TOST max wkly dropi36.74%
SQ max wkly dropiN/A
Performance metrics by period
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricTOSTSQ
1YGrowthi-13.85%N/A
CAGRi-13.87%N/A
Volatilityi46.65%N/A
Sharpe ratioi-0.18N/A
Sortino ratioi-0.25N/A
Max drawdowni42.77%N/A
Current drawdowni17.43%N/A
Avg drawdowni20.89%N/A
Ulcer Indexi23.56%N/A
Max daily dropi14.74%N/A
Max wkly dropi21.48%N/A
5YGrowthi-37.44%N/A
CAGRi-8.96%N/A
Volatilityi59.86%N/A
Sharpe ratioi0.07N/A
Sortino ratioi0.10N/A
Max drawdowni80.56%N/A
Current drawdowni50.60%N/A
Avg drawdowni57.99%N/A
Ulcer Indexi59.90%N/A
Max daily dropi22.84%N/A
Max wkly dropi36.74%N/A
10YGrowthi-48.46%N/A
CAGRi-12.27%N/A
Volatilityi59.97%N/A
Sharpe ratioi0.01N/A
Sortino ratioi0.01N/A
Max drawdowni80.56%N/A
Current drawdowni50.60%N/A
Avg drawdowni57.50%N/A
Ulcer Indexi59.52%N/A
Max daily dropi22.84%N/A
Max wkly dropi36.74%N/A
AI Prediction Signali
Members only
Next 5 trading days
TOST
+2.8%BUY
SQ
+1.1%HOLD
Next 30 trading days
TOST
+6.4%BUY
SQ
+3.2%HOLD

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Business comparison
Business comparison
CategoryTOSTSQ
CompanyToast, Inc.Block, Inc.
SectorTechnologyPayments and Financial Technology
IndustrySoftware - InfrastructureN/A
Core businessToast provides an integrated point-of-sale, payments, and restaurant management software platform designed specifically for restaurants and food service businesses.Block operates a diversified payments and fintech business, including the Square seller ecosystem for merchants and the Cash App consumer financial services platform.
Investor focusWatch location and customer growth, average revenue per location, and progress toward sustained profitability.Watch gross profit growth across Square and Cash App, Cash App monetization trends, and overall profitability progress.
TOST strengths
  • Purpose-built platform tailored specifically to restaurant industry workflows
  • Growing base of locations driving recurring software and payments revenue
  • Bundled hardware, software, and payments model that increases customer stickiness
SQ strengths
  • Diversified business spanning merchant payments and consumer financial services
  • Large, engaged Cash App user base with multiple monetization avenues
  • Broad merchant ecosystem serving businesses across many industries, not just restaurants
Risks to watch — TOST
  • Profitability has historically been thinner than more diversified payments peers
  • Restaurant industry exposure ties results to a single, competitive vertical
  • Competitive pressure from other point-of-sale and restaurant technology providers
Risks to watch — SQ
  • Cash App growth and monetization trends can be volatile and harder to predict
  • Regulatory scrutiny around consumer fintech and payments products
  • Competitive pressure from banks, fintechs, and other payment platforms
Frequently asked questions
Block offers broader diversification across merchant payments and consumer fintech through Cash App, while Toast offers more focused, vertical-specific exposure to restaurant technology adoption.
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Scoreboard verdict

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Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.

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Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.

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