VALE vs RIO Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Vale and Rio Tinto ADRs by iron ore vs copper and iron ore diversification, Chinese steel demand sensitivity, climate transition metal exposure, dividend yield, and which mining major offers better long-term commodity upside.
Use this Vale vs Rio Tinto comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
VALE and RIO are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly. VALE leads on both 1-year return (+57.48%) and forward P/E quality (7.26x vs 10.43x for RIO), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +14.52% for VALE and +15.22% for RIO.
| Metric | VALE | RIO |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 53.0 | 53.7 |
| AI rank | #336 | #312 |
| Latest close | $14.79 | $91.22 |
| 1M return | -0.34% | -2.99% |
| 6M return | -6.04% | +7.41% |
| 1Y return | +57.48% | +50.47% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | VALE | RIO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $17.18K (+71.8%) started 2025-07-24 | $15.85K (+58.5%) started 2025-07-24 |
| 5Y ago | $19.63K (+96.3%) started 2021-07-26 | $24.96K (+149.6%) started 2021-07-26 |
| 10Y ago | $152.33K (+1423.3%) started 2016-07-25 | $183.18K (+1731.8%) started 2016-07-25 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | VALE | RIO |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $62.94B | $148.35B |
| Trailing P/E | 22.41 | 14.98 |
| Forward P/E | 7.26 | 10.43 |
| Price/Sales | 0.29 | 2.57 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.71 | 2.91 |
| Analyst target | $16.94 | $105.10 |
| Target upside | +14.52% | +15.22% |
| Metric | VALE | RIO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 2.70% | 14.60% |
| Earnings growth | 22.00% | -5.60% |
| EPS growth | +22.00% | -5.60% |
| FCF margin | +4.93% | +6.07% |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | 7.26% | 17.29% |
| ROIC proxy | 6.84% | 16.40% |
| Return on equity | 6.84% | 16.40% |
| Dividend yield | 8.49% | 4.39% |
| Beta | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| Debt/equity | 57.15 | 35.43 |
| Current ratio | 1.24 | 1.45 |
| Quick ratio | 0.67 | 0.92 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | VALE | RIO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +57.48% | +50.47% |
| CAGR | +57.53% | +50.51% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.47 | 1.39 | |
| Max drawdown | 21.16% | 20.74% | |
| Max daily drop | 6.27% | 5.56% | |
| Max wkly drop | 12.86% | 11.07% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +6.78% | +56.87% |
| CAGR | +1.32% | +9.44% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.09 | 0.30 | |
| Max drawdown | 49.81% | 35.25% | |
| Max daily drop | 8.09% | 6.44% | |
| Max wkly drop | 18.22% | 14.82% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +463.64% | +520.72% |
| CAGR | +18.89% | +20.04% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.52 | 0.61 | |
| Max drawdown | 57.60% | 37.47% | |
| Max daily drop | 18.01% | 9.42% | |
| Max wkly drop | 29.25% | 17.25% |
| Category | VALE | RIO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | VALE | RIO |
| Sector | N/A | N/A |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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