BROS vs SBUX Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Dutch Bros and Starbucks by unit count growth potential, drive-thru vs cafe model economics, loyalty program maturity, margin expansion trajectory, and whether Dutch Bros' rapid expansion can justify its premium vs a discounted Starbucks.
Use this Dutch Bros vs Starbucks comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
SBUX holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. SBUX leads on both 1-year return (+10.19%) and forward P/E quality (35.09x vs 50.77x for BROS), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for BROS (+24.35%) than for SBUX (+0.91%).
| Metric | BROS | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 35.2 | 39.5 |
| AI rank | #1669 | #1193 |
| Latest close | $64.00 | $103.25 |
| 1M return | -4.69% | -0.27% |
| 6M return | +5.54% | +5.77% |
| 1Y return | +9.48% | +10.19% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | BROS | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.95K (+9.5%) started 2025-07-24 | $10.94K (+9.4%) started 2025-07-25 |
| 5Y ago | $17.45K (+74.5%) started 2021-09-15 | $9.86K (-1.4%) started 2021-07-26 |
| 10Y ago | $17.45K (+74.5%) started 2021-09-15 | $26.38K (+163.8%) started 2016-07-25 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | BROS | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $11.18B | $120.23B |
| Trailing P/E | 100.00 | 80.53 |
| Forward P/E | 50.77 | 35.09 |
| Price/Sales | 6.40 | 2.80 |
| EV/Revenue | 5.67 | 3.72 |
| Analyst target | $79.58 | $106.45 |
| Target upside | +24.35% | +0.91% |
| Metric | BROS | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 30.80% | 8.80% |
| Earnings growth | -0.10% | 32.60% |
| EPS growth | -0.10% | +32.60% |
| FCF margin | +2.27% | -3.39% |
| Operating margin | N/A | 8.42% |
| Profit margin | 4.61% | 3.89% |
| ROIC proxy | 13.80% | N/A |
| Return on equity | 13.80% | N/A |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 2.35% |
| Beta | 2.32 | 0.97 |
| Debt/equity | 126.06 | N/A |
| Current ratio | 1.33 | 0.92 |
| Quick ratio | 1.11 | 0.26 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | BROS | SBUX |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +9.48% | +9.35% |
| CAGR | +9.48% | +9.38% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.35 | 0.30 | |
| Max drawdown | 37.11% | 16.90% | |
| Max daily drop | 9.35% | 5.03% | |
| Max wkly drop | 18.05% | 9.21% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +74.48% | -10.33% |
| CAGR | +12.15% | -2.16% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.43 | -0.05 | |
| Max drawdown | 70.09% | 43.68% | |
| Max daily drop | 26.94% | 15.88% | |
| Max wkly drop | 45.10% | 18.87% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +74.48% | +114.86% |
| CAGR | +12.15% | +7.95% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.43 | 0.25 | |
| Max drawdown | 70.09% | 43.68% | |
| Max daily drop | 26.94% | 16.20% | |
| Max wkly drop | 45.10% | 21.22% |
| Category | BROS | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| Company | BROS | SBUX |
| Sector | N/A | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | N/A | Restaurants |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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