CMG vs SBUX Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Chipotle and Starbucks by same-store sales trajectory, digital ordering adoption, unit growth pipeline, margin expansion potential, and which restaurant brand offers better long-term returns.
Use this Chipotle vs Starbucks comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
CMG holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. SBUX has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+10.19% vs -30.50%), though CMG has the better forward P/E setup (25.42x vs 35.09x for SBUX). On fundamentals, SBUX is growing revenue faster (8.80%), while CMG maintains the higher operating margin (13.27%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for CMG (+25.40%) than for SBUX (+0.91%).
| Metric | CMG | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 49.5 | 39.5 |
| AI rank | #538 | #1193 |
| Latest close | $31.79 | $103.25 |
| 1M return | +0.32% | -0.27% |
| 6M return | -22.22% | +5.77% |
| 1Y return | -30.50% | +10.19% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CMG | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.8K (-32.0%) started 2025-07-25 | $10.94K (+9.4%) started 2025-07-25 |
| 5Y ago | $8.8K (-12.0%) started 2021-07-26 | $9.86K (-1.4%) started 2021-07-26 |
| 10Y ago | $36K (+260.0%) started 2016-07-25 | $26.38K (+163.8%) started 2016-07-25 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CMG | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $44.18B | $120.23B |
| Trailing P/E | 31.60 | 80.53 |
| Forward P/E | 25.42 | 35.09 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | 2.80 |
| EV/Revenue | 4.00 | 3.72 |
| Analyst target | $43.19 | $106.45 |
| Target upside | +25.40% | +0.91% |
| Metric | CMG | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 7.40% | 8.80% |
| Earnings growth | -17.90% | 32.60% |
| EPS growth | -17.90% | +32.60% |
| FCF margin | +8.96% | -3.39% |
| Operating margin | 13.27% | 8.42% |
| Profit margin | 11.96% | 3.89% |
| ROIC proxy | 49.23% | N/A |
| Return on equity | 49.23% | N/A |
| Dividend yield | N/A | 2.35% |
| Beta | 0.96 | 0.97 |
| Debt/equity | 217.88 | N/A |
| Current ratio | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| Quick ratio | 0.78 | 0.26 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CMG | SBUX |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -32.01% | +9.35% |
| CAGR | -32.09% | +9.38% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.96 | 0.30 | |
| Max drawdown | 39.73% | 16.90% | |
| Max daily drop | 18.18% | 5.03% | |
| Max wkly drop | 23.26% | 9.21% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -12.03% | -10.33% |
| CAGR | -2.53% | -2.16% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.04 | -0.05 | |
| Max drawdown | 58.89% | 43.68% | |
| Max daily drop | 18.18% | 15.88% | |
| Max wkly drop | 23.26% | 18.87% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +260.01% | +114.86% |
| CAGR | +13.67% | +7.95% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.41 | 0.25 | |
| Max drawdown | 58.89% | 43.68% | |
| Max daily drop | 18.18% | 16.20% | |
| Max wkly drop | 28.03% | 21.22% |
| Category | CMG | SBUX |
|---|---|---|
| Company | CMG | SBUX |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | N/A | Restaurants |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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