EOG vs OXY Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
EOG Resources and Occidental Petroleum are both major Permian Basin producers, but EOG is known for its disciplined multi-basin shale strategy and consistent capital returns, while Occidental combines Permian scale with a chemicals business and an ambitious carbon capture initiative, alongside a more leveraged balance sheet.
EOG offers a disciplined, capital-return-focused shale operator with a diversified basin portfolio, while OXY offers Permian scale plus carbon capture optionality alongside higher leverage. The choice depends on whether you prioritize balance sheet discipline or leveraged upside with decarbonization optionality.
OXY holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. OXY has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+47.68% vs +46.89%), though EOG has the better forward P/E setup (9.95x vs 15.41x for OXY). On fundamentals, EOG is growing revenue faster (58.70%), while OXY maintains the higher operating margin (45.44%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +11.59% for EOG and +13.07% for OXY.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a disciplined, multi-basin shale operator with a strong capital allocation track record
- Value consistent shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks across commodity cycles
- Prefer a stronger balance sheet with lower leverage relative to some E&P peers
- Believe operational efficiency and well productivity give EOG a durable cost advantage
- Want leveraged exposure to Permian Basin oil production growth
- Are drawn to the additional market attention created by a prominent long-term investor's stake
- See long-term optionality in the company's early leadership in carbon capture technology
- Are comfortable with higher balance sheet leverage in exchange for potential upside
| Metric | EOG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 47.0 | 45.7 |
| AI ranki | #820 | #729 |
| Latest closei | $155.17 | $60.43 |
| 1M returni | +9.75% | +4.05% |
| 3M returni | +8.12% | +9.69% |
| 6M returni | +10.19% | +1.84% |
| 1Y returni | +46.89% | +47.68% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | EOG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $14.74K (+47.4%) started 2025-11-04 | $15.08K (+50.8%) started 2025-11-04 |
| 5Y ago | $25.39K (+153.9%) started 2021-11-04 | $19.48K (+94.8%) started 2021-11-04 |
| 10Y ago | $30.79K (+207.9%) started 2016-11-04 | $15.71K (+57.1%) started 2016-11-04 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | EOG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $75.19B | $59.08B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 11.16 | 17.43 |
| Forward P/Ei | 9.95 | 15.41 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 1.52 |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.94 | 3.28 |
| Analyst targeti | $159.96 | $66.83 |
| Target upsidei | +11.59% | +13.07% |
| Metric | EOG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 58.70% | 53.40% |
| Earnings growthi | 109.40% | 964.90% |
| EPS growthi | +109.40% | +964.90% |
| FCF margini | +16.76% | +15.83% |
| Operating margini | 40.72% | 45.44% |
| Profit margini | 25.73% | 30.32% |
| ROIC proxyi | 22.51% | 10.63% |
| Return on equityi | 22.51% | 10.63% |
| Dividend yieldi | 2.85% | 1.89% |
| Payout ratioi | 31.40% | 28.41% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| Debt/equityi | 25.89 | 34.51 |
| Current ratioi | 1.85 | 1.41 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.58 | 1.04 |
Over the past year, EOG and OXY have moved strongly in the same direction (correlation of 0.82), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | EOG | OXY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +47.42% | +50.77% |
| CAGRi | +47.54% | +50.91% | |
| Volatilityi | 29.60% | 35.10% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.33 | 1.24 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.93 | 1.87 | |
| Max drawdowni | 14.32% | 27.63% | |
| Current drawdowni | 5.20% | 8.77% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 4.93% | 8.50% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 6.36% | 10.98% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.47% | 7.11% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 9.38% | 12.01% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +106.24% | +86.67% |
| CAGRi | +15.58% | +13.30% | |
| Volatilityi | 32.31% | 37.72% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.47 | 0.40 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.67 | 0.60 | |
| Max drawdowni | 33.42% | 50.77% | |
| Current drawdowni | 5.20% | 17.62% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.13% | 22.15% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.18% | 25.22% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.80% | 11.01% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 21.39% | 26.59% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +123.35% | +15.59% |
| CAGRi | +8.37% | +1.46% | |
| Volatilityi | 39.18% | 49.04% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.29 | 0.20 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.41 | 0.28 | |
| Max drawdowni | 77.13% | 88.39% | |
| Current drawdowni | 5.20% | 17.62% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 21.14% | 31.93% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 28.07% | 39.42% | |
| Max daily dropi | 32.01% | 52.01% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 47.47% | 63.08% |
| Category | EOG | OXY |
|---|---|---|
| Company | EOG Resources, Inc. | Occidental Petroleum Corporation |
| Sector | Energy | Energy |
| Industry | Oil & Gas E&P | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Core business | An independent exploration and production company focused on domestic shale oil and natural gas development, with a multi-basin portfolio anchored by premium acreage in the Permian, Eagle Ford, and other US shale plays. | An integrated energy company with substantial Permian Basin oil and gas production, a chemicals manufacturing segment, and a growing carbon capture and sequestration business aimed at industrial decarbonization. |
| Investor focus | Well productivity and drilling cost efficiency, capital discipline and free cash flow generation, and shareholder return consistency through dividends and buybacks. | Permian Basin production growth and cost trends, debt reduction progress following past acquisitions, and the scaling and monetization of carbon capture technology investments. |
- Disciplined, returns-focused capital allocation approach has been a hallmark of the company's operating philosophy across commodity cycles
- Premium multi-basin acreage portfolio provides operational flexibility and reduces reliance on any single shale play
- Strong balance sheet management has historically supported consistent shareholder returns through both dividends and buybacks
- Leading Permian Basin acreage position provides significant scale in one of the most productive US shale regions
- Notable investment backing from a prominent long-term investor has drawn additional market attention to the stock
- Early leadership in carbon capture technology creates potential long-term optionality tied to industrial decarbonization trends
- Earnings remain fundamentally tied to oil and natural gas price cycles despite operational efficiency advantages
- Well productivity in mature core acreage areas may decline over time as the highest-quality drilling locations are developed
- Domestic shale-focused strategy provides less geographic diversification than internationally diversified oil majors
- Elevated debt levels following past acquisitions require continued cash flow discipline to reduce leverage over time
- Carbon capture business remains early-stage and its long-term profitability and scale are not yet proven at commercial levels
- Chemicals segment earnings add cyclicality tied to industrial demand beyond core oil and gas price exposure
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