FMC vs MOS Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
FMC Corp and Mosaic both serve the agricultural materials industry, but FMC focuses on specialty crop protection chemicals with patent-protected pricing power, while Mosaic produces essential crop nutrients like phosphate and potash that are more directly exposed to commodity fertilizer pricing cycles.
FMC offers exposure to innovation-driven crop protection chemistry with pricing power, while MOS offers exposure to commodity crop nutrient markets tied more directly to global fertilizer pricing cycles. The decision depends on whether you prefer specialty chemical innovation or commodity nutrient market exposure.
FMC holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MOS has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-40.93% vs -84.86%), though FMC has the better forward P/E setup (6.90x vs 14.70x for MOS). On fundamentals, MOS is growing revenue faster (-6.00%), while FMC maintains the higher operating margin (11.83%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for FMC (+18.45%) than for MOS (+12.15%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to innovation-driven, patent-protected crop protection chemistry
- Believe new active ingredient launches can offset generic competition on legacy products
- Prefer specialty chemicals with more differentiated pricing power than commodity products
- Are comfortable with demand volatility tied to weather and planting decisions
- Want exposure to essential global crop nutrient markets like phosphate and potash
- Believe vertically integrated mining operations provide a cost advantage over time
- Are comfortable with the cyclicality of commodity fertilizer pricing
- See global agricultural demand growth as a long-term tailwind for crop nutrient producers
| Metric | FMC | MOS |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 23.4 | 26.4 |
| AI ranki | #3360 | #2469 |
| Latest closei | $4.61 | $17.71 |
| 1M returni | -51.88% | -23.03% |
| 3M returni | -58.54% | -20.73% |
| 6M returni | -70.37% | -23.73% |
| 1Y returni | -84.86% | -40.93% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | FMC | MOS |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $1.51K (-84.9%) started 2025-10-27 | $5.99K (-40.1%) started 2025-10-27 |
| 5Y ago | $497.3 (-95.0%) started 2021-10-26 | $5.04K (-49.6%) started 2021-10-27 |
| 10Y ago | $1.13K (-88.7%) started 2016-10-26 | $9.91K (-0.9%) started 2016-10-27 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | FMC | MOS |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.42B | $7.5B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 27.92 | 158.00 |
| Forward P/Ei | 6.90 | 14.70 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.65 | 1.10 |
| Analyst targeti | $13.42 | $26.47 |
| Target upsidei | +18.45% | +12.15% |
| Metric | FMC | MOS |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | -17.50% | -6.00% |
| Earnings growthi | -77.60% | 239.50% |
| EPS growthi | -77.60% | +239.50% |
| FCF margini | +5.09% | -6.09% |
| Operating margini | 11.83% | -0.12% |
| Profit margini | -84.83% | -5.21% |
| ROIC proxyi | -88.38% | -5.07% |
| Return on equityi | -88.38% | -5.07% |
| Dividend yieldi | 2.82% | 3.73% |
| Payout ratioi | 223.08% | 628.57% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.41 | 0.82 |
| Debt/equityi | 265.05 | 52.25 |
| Current ratioi | 1.99 | 1.34 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.07 | 0.35 |
Over the past year, FMC and MOS have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.36), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | FMC | MOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -84.95% | -40.09% |
| CAGRi | -85.07% | -40.22% | |
| Volatilityi | 82.24% | 44.50% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.88 | -1.04 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -2.14 | -1.43 | |
| Max drawdowni | 84.95% | 44.93% | |
| Current drawdowni | 84.95% | 43.53% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 57.36% | 21.13% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 58.30% | 23.34% | |
| Max daily dropi | 46.52% | 9.96% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 56.09% | 19.52% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -95.03% | -53.53% |
| CAGRi | -45.14% | -14.22% | |
| Volatilityi | 51.67% | 42.18% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.96 | -0.26 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.17 | -0.36 | |
| Max drawdowni | 96.70% | 76.24% | |
| Current drawdowni | 96.70% | 75.63% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 50.04% | 49.57% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 58.77% | 53.01% | |
| Max daily dropi | 46.52% | 13.31% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 56.09% | 19.52% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -88.73% | -14.80% |
| CAGRi | -19.62% | -1.59% | |
| Volatilityi | 43.35% | 45.04% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.37 | 0.09 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.47 | 0.13 | |
| Max drawdowni | 96.70% | 80.82% | |
| Current drawdowni | 96.70% | 75.63% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 29.48% | 38.78% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 42.36% | 44.47% | |
| Max daily dropi | 46.52% | 27.51% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 56.09% | 40.15% |
| Category | FMC | MOS |
|---|---|---|
| Company | FMC Corporation | The Mosaic Company |
| Sector | Basic Materials | Basic Materials |
| Industry | Agricultural Inputs | Agricultural Inputs |
| Core business | A specialty agricultural chemicals company that develops and markets crop protection products, including herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides used by farmers to protect crop yields worldwide. | A producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, supplying fertilizer products to agricultural markets globally to support crop yield and soil fertility. |
| Investor focus | New active ingredient product launches and patent-protected pricing power, crop protection market share trends, and margin recovery following periods of channel destocking. | Phosphate and potash pricing trends, global fertilizer demand and planting cycle dynamics, and production cost management across its mining and processing operations. |
- Focus on innovative, patent-protected crop protection chemistries can support premium pricing relative to generic agricultural chemical competitors
- Global distribution network provides access to farmers across diverse growing regions and crop types
- Ongoing research and development investment supports a pipeline of new active ingredients to replace aging, genericized products
- Position as a leading global producer of phosphate and potash provides significant scale in essential crop nutrient markets
- Vertically integrated mining and processing operations provide some control over production costs relative to less integrated competitors
- Global distribution reach allows the company to serve diverse agricultural markets and capture demand across growing regions
- Crop protection demand can be volatile due to weather patterns, planting decisions, and channel inventory destocking cycles
- Patent expirations on legacy active ingredients expose the company to generic competition over time
- Currency fluctuations affect reported results given the company's substantial international revenue exposure
- Fertilizer prices are highly cyclical and sensitive to global supply and demand balances, weather patterns, and geopolitical events
- Capital-intensive mining operations require sustained investment to maintain production capacity over time
- Global fertilizer trade flows can be affected by geopolitical developments and trade policy changes in major producing and consuming regions
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